FRUIT AND VEGETABLES CONSUMPTION AND PREVENTION OF CHRONIC DIET-RELATED NON- COMMUNICABLE DISEASES. Mike Rayner Chair EHN Expert Group on Nutrition

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British Heart Foundation Health Promotion Research Group FRUIT AND VEGETABLES CONSUMPTION AND PREVENTION OF CHRONIC DIET-RELATED NON- COMMUNICABLE DISEASES Mike Rayner Chair EHN Expert Group on Nutrition Member States Meeting jointly with the Advisory Group on "Fruit and Vegetables" and the School Fruit Scheme Experts Group Wednesday 28 March 2012, Bruxelles

Presentation aims To present EHN s new report (published 23 rd November 2011) focusing on what it says about fruit and vegetables To say why EHN thinks its report is both necessary and timely To outline what it says: The problem Population dietary goals Policy options

1998 2002

Purpose Summarise current thinking on diet (and physical activity)and CVD Propose population dietary goals for European populations Make policy recommendations for improving diets at both European and national levels

Methodology Meetings of EHN Nutrition Expert Group Experts commissioned to review particular topics to a predefined protocol EHN Annual Workshop and General Assembly in 2010 discusses policy recommendations Rounds of consultation with EHN members Launch in November 2011

Why report is necessary (p9) CVD causes death and disability on a massive scale across the region hitting the region s poor countries and the poorer groups in wealthier countries hardest Although progress has been made, not everyone has benefited

Figure 2. Deaths by cause, women, latest available year, Europe

Health inequalities in Europe (p 12) Between European countries there is: a 19-year gap in life expectancy for men (15 for women) a 21-year gap in healthy life expectancy for men (19 for women) Within European countries there is: differences of up to 10 years in male life expectancy between highest and lowest socio-economic groups CVD accounts for 40% of differences in mortality between highest and lowest educational groups

Prevention is key (p 14) CVD is largely preventable We know prevention works Reducing CVD mortality in Ukrainian males to Japanese rates would be a reduction of 90% Even small changes to risk factor levels can dramatically reduce death and disability Prevention efforts have a much greater impact if directed at the whole population A preventive approach is cost-effective Diet-related ill health in the UK costs the health system 7.0 billion Euros (physical activity 1.1. billion Euros)

EHN s new population goals (p15)

EHN s new population goals (Table 1) Component Intermediate targets Longer-term goals Total fat <30% E 20-25% E Saturated fat <10% E <7% E Trans fats <1% E <0.5% E Polyunsaturated fat 6-11% E 5-8% E + ALA and very long chain PUFAs Monounsaturated fat 8-13% E 7.5%-9.5% E Fruit and veg. >400g per day >600g per day Salt <5g per day <4g per day Physical activity >150 mins moderate > than this intensity per week +1 hour per day on most days BMI (average for adults) <23 21 Total carbohydrates >55% E 60-70% E Added sugar <10% E <5% E Sugar sweetened drinks As little as possible Zero Dietary fibre (NSP) >20g per day >25g per day

Population goals Fruit and veg Fibre (NSP) Total fat Saturated fat Salt >440 g/person/day >18 g/person/day 33% total energy 10% total energy 6 g/person/day Smoking 21%

PRIME (Preventable Risk Integrated ModEl) Diet Physical activity Smoking Alcohol consumption Energy balance Obesity Blood cholesterol Blood pressure Cardiovascular disease Coronary heart disease Stroke Hypertensive disease Heart failure Aortic aneurysm Pulmonary embolism Rheumatic heart disease Diabetes Cancer Mouth, larynx, pharynx Oesophagus Lung Pancreas Colorectum Breast Endometrium Gallbladder Kidney Stomach Liver Myeloid leukaemia Cervix Bladder Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease Kidney disease Liver disease Epilepsy

PRIME (Preventable Risk Integrated ModEl) 29,136 1,988 Diet Physical activity Smoking Alcohol consumption Energy balance Obesity Blood cholesterol Blood pressure Cardiovascular disease Coronary heart disease Stroke Hypertensive disease Heart failure Aortic aneurysm Pulmonary embolism Rheumatic heart disease Diabetes Cancer Mouth, larynx, pharynx Oesophagus Lung Pancreas Colorectum Breast Endometrium Gallbladder Kidney Stomach Liver Myeloid leukaemia Cervix Bladder Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease Kidney disease Liver disease Epilepsy 25,211 12 5,465 182

PRIME (Preventable Risk Integrated ModEl) 29,136 15,176 Diet Physical activity Smoking Alcohol consumption Energy balance Obesity Blood cholesterol Blood pressure Cardiovascular disease Coronary heart disease Stroke Hypertensive disease Heart failure Aortic aneurysm Pulmonary embolism Rheumatic heart disease Diabetes Cancer Mouth, larynx, pharynx Oesophagus Lung Pancreas Colorectum Breast Endometrium Gallbladder Kidney Stomach Liver Myeloid leukaemia Cervix Bladder Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease Kidney disease Liver disease Epilepsy 28,950 98 11,928 1,415

PRIME (Preventable Risk Integrated ModEl) 29,136 15,176 Diet Physical activity Smoking Alcohol consumption Energy balance Obesity Blood cholesterol Blood pressure Cardiovascular disease Coronary heart disease Stroke Hypertensive disease Heart failure Aortic aneurysm Pulmonary embolism Rheumatic heart disease Diabetes Cancer Mouth, larynx, pharynx Oesophagus Lung Pancreas Colorectum Breast Endometrium Gallbladder Kidney Stomach Liver Myeloid leukaemia Cervix Bladder Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease Kidney disease Liver disease Epilepsy 28,950 98 11,928 1,415

Fruit and vegetables Dietary fibre CHD Physical activity levels Energy balance Total energy intake Total fat Obesity MUFA Stroke PUFA Saturated fat Total serum cholesterol Trans fat Dietary cholesterol Cancer Salt Blood pressure Scarborough P, Nnoam K, Clarke D, Rayner M, Capewell S. Modelling the impact of a healthy diet on cardiovascular disease and cancer mortality. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 2010, doi:10.1136/jech.2010.114520

12,306 Fruit and vegetables 4,094 Dietary fibre CHD Physical activity levels Total energy intake Energy balance 18,206 4,619 Total fat MUFA PUFA Saturated fat Obesity Total serum cholesterol Stroke 5,088 Trans fat Dietary cholesterol Cancer 5,465 10,077 Salt Blood pressure

12,306 Fruit and vegetables 4,094 Dietary fibre CHD Physical activity levels Total energy intake Energy balance 18,206 4,619 Total fat MUFA PUFA Saturated fat Obesity Total serum cholesterol Stroke 5,088 Trans fat Dietary cholesterol Cancer 5,465 10,077 Salt Blood pressure

Summary of results of review of reviews (fruit and veg) carried out by Lock and Colllingridge for EHN Authors of review Date Main results Dauchet, Amouyel, Hercberg, Dallongeville, 2006 9 cohort studies He, Nowson, Lucas, MacGregor 2007 12 cohort studies Mente, de Koning, Shannon, Anand 2009 9 cohort studies Huxley, Neil 2003 7 cohort studies Pereira, O'Reilly, Augustsson, Fraser, Goldbourt, Heitmann, et al 2004 11 cohort studies CHD risk reduced by 4% for each additional portion per day CHD risk reduced by 7% for those eating 3-5v servings/day and 17% for those eating 5+ servings/day (compared with those eating 3 servings/day) CHD risk reduced by 21% for 5+ servings/day compared with those with low intakes CHD risk reduced by 20% for those in top third of intakes compared with those in bottom third of intakes (measured by flavanol levels) CHD risk reduced by 16% for high fruit fibre intakes but by 0% for high vegetable fibre intakes.

Other key points re. population goals Folate and anti-oxidants: not currently enough evidence to justify a goal Alcohol: not more than 20g per day for men and 10 g per day for women is recommended Breastfeeding: exclusive breastfeeding for at least 6 months is recommended Goals mean a shift towards a plant based diet Fish: goals consistent with twice weekly consumption of oily fish but declining stocks Sustainability: need for consistency between goals aimed at promoting health and those aimed at protecting the environment

CO 2 CH 4 CVD N 2 O

Figure 25 Adherence to traditional Mediterraneantype diet in Catalonia, Spain

The policy context: (p47) A new global framework WHO (2003) Diet, nutrition and the prevention of chronic disease WHO (2004) Global strategy on diet, physical activity and health UN (2011) Political declaration of the High-level Meeting of the General Assembly on the prevention and control of noncommunicable diseases European action plans WHO Action plan for food and nutrition policy 2000-2005 WHO Action plan for food and nutrition 2007-2012 WHO (2006) European charter on counteracting obesity EU strategy EC (2007) A strategy for Europe on nutrition, overweight and obesity

Marketing theory provides a framework for categorising population-based approaches to improving diets Voluntary public health interventions (social marketing) Public health regulation (of commercial marketing) 1. Product Product reformulation Compositional standards 2. Promotion (advertising) 3. Place (availability) Front-of-pack labelling Health and nutrition claims Advertising Place-based promotions (pile-them-high) 4. Price Price-based promotions (buy-one-get-one-free) Front-of-pack labelling Health and nutrition claims Advertising Public meal provision Planning and licensing (e.g. fast-food outlets) Agricultural subsidies Health related taxes and subsidies ```

Marketing theory provides a framework for categorising EHN s policy recommendations National governments 1. Product Ban on artificial trans fats Reformulation (e.g. salt) 2. Promotion (advertising) 3. Place (availability) Ban on the advertising of unhealthy foods to children Mandatory traffic-light labelling in restaurants Procurement standards for public institutions Planning and licensing laws 4. Price Health related taxes and subsidies EU Ban on artificial trans fats Reformulation (e.g. salt) Ban on the advertising of unhealthy foods to children Mandatory traffic-light labelling on food packets A robust np model for health claims Funds for Regional Development CAP subsidies to promote healthier foods