Monitoring the Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS & UNGASS indicators

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Monitoring the Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS & UNGASS indicators José Antonio Izazola Chief, AIDS Financing and Economics Division Evidence, Monitoring and Policy Department UNAIDS Assessment 6.3 NASA 1

Unless commitment is made, there are only promises and hopes; but no plans. Peter F. Drucker 2

NASA? 3

United Nations General Assembly Special Session on HIV/AIDS Antecedents (1) United Nations General Assembly Special Session on HIV/AIDS on June 2001. During the Assembly, a Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS was endorsed by the leaders of 189 countries. Related initiatives Universal Access by 2010 The declaration stated that the Millennium Development Goal of stopping and reverting the tendency of the HIV/AIDS epidemic should be achieved by the year 2015 4

United Nations General Assembly Special Session on HIV/AIDS Antecedents (2) The Declaration established the need for monitoring global and national commitment: submission of periodic reports Set of basic indicators was established in 2002 The indicators allow to follow up the accomplishment of the different goals of the Declaration: In 2003: reports from 103 countries many of them were incomplete, the HIV Financing indicator was significantly underreported For the 2006 review there were reports from 95 countries on domestic spending: only 63 reported data for 2005 UNGASS Comprehensive Reviews: 2006, 2008, 2011 5

United Nations General Assembly Special Session on HIV/AIDS Targets UNGASS 2001 targets: (ensuring adequacy, sustainability and results-orientation of the resources for the global response) (reaching a target of 7-10 billion of annual HIV/AIDS expenditure in low and middle income countries by 2005) (Increasing and prioritizing national HIV/AIDS allocations and ensuring adequate allocations by all ministries and other relevant stakeholders) 6

2005 Country progress towards 2001 Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS Global targets (low- and middle-income income countries) [1/2] GLOBAL RESULTS 2005 GLOBAL TARGETS 2005 Total annual expenditure* US$ 8 297 000 000; ($7.5 US$8.5 Bn) US$7.0 US$10.0 Bn Global target achieved Percentage of youth aged 15 24 who correctly identify ways of preventing HIV transmission and who reject major misconceptions about HIV transmission** MALE: 33% (Country range: 7% 50% coverage), (n=16) FEMALE: 20% (Country range: 8% 44% coverage), (n=17) 90% coverage No country achieved this Percentage of HIV-positive pregnant women receiving antiretroviral prophylaxis*** 9% (Country range: 1% 59% coverage), (n=41) 80% coverage No country achieved this Percentage of people with advanced HIV infection receiving antiretroviral therapy**** 20% (Country range: 1% 100% coverage), (n=116) 1 300 000 people on treatment 50% coverage (3 million people on treatment) 21 countries achieved this Global target not achieved * See Financing chapter ** Demographic and Health Survey/AIDS Indicator Survey, 2001 2005 (MEASURE DHS, 2006) *** Stover et al. (2006) **** 3 by 5 Report (WHO/UNAIDS, 2006) Assessment 3.1a NASA 7

Low- and middle-income income countries reporting on domestic expenditure for the review of the DoC. March, 2006 Reported on Indicator no. 1 8

US$ million 10 000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 Total annual resources available for AIDS 1986 Signing of Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS, UNGASS World Bank MAP launch 8.9 billion 8.3 billion 10 billion 4000 3000 2000 Less than US$ 1 million UNAIDS Gates Foundation PEPFAR 1000 59 212 257 292 1623 Global Fund 0 1986 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 Notes: [1] 1986-2000 figures are for international funds only [2] Domestic funds are included from 2001 onwards [i] 1996-2005 data: Extracted from 2006 Report on the Global AIDS Epidemic (UNAIDS, 2006) [ii] 1986-1993 data: AIDS in the World II. Edited by Jonathan Mann and Daniel J. M. Tarantola (1996) 9

Resources Available for AIDS from all Sources compared to Resources Needed, 2006 $6.0 Gap $3.2 Estimated Domestic (public and OOPE) $1.8 $3.9 All Other International (Multilateral, Private) Donor Governments USD billions $14.9 Total Global Resource Needs in Low & Middle Income Countries 10

International AIDS Assistance: G8/EC & Other Donor Governments, Summary Data Table, 2006 Bilateral Global Fund Total Government Commitment Disbursement Adjusted (58%) Commitment Disbursement Canada $ 63.3 $ 63.1 $ - $ 63.3 $ 63.1 France $ 40.4 $ 40.4 $ 166.5 $ 206.8 $ 206.8 Germany $ 122.4 $ 121.8 $ 51.1 $ 173.5 $ 172.9 Ireland $ 75.4 $ 75.4 $ 15.3 $ 90.7 $ 90.7 Italy $ 7.5 $ 7.5 $ - $ 7.5 $ 7.5 Japan $ 31.1 $ 31.1 $ 75.5 $ 106.6 $ 106.6 Netherlands $ 883.2 $ 301.1 $ 44.5 $ 927.7 $ 345.6 Sweden $ 130.1 $ 130.1 $ 47.7 $ 177.8 $ 177.8 United Kingdom $ 670.1 $ 670.1 $ 109.8 $ 779.9 $ 779.9 United States $ 2,362.8 $ 1,320.9 $ 268.9 $ 2,631.7 $ 1,589.8 European Commission $ 116.8 $ 98.3 $ 67.9 $ 184.8 $ 166.2 Other Governments $ 116.5 $ 91.2 $ 96.0 $ 212.5 $ 187.2 TOTAL $ 4,619.6 $ 2,951.1 $ 943.3 $ 5,562.9 $ 3,894.3 USD millions 11

DAC-bilateral aid to health commitments, annual averages. USD million, constant 2005 prices 12

Trends in HIV and AIDS - per- capita domestic public expenditures in selected low-income Sub Saharan African Countries HIV per capita spending US$ $1.10 $1.00 $0.90 $0.80 $0.70 $0.65 $0.60 $0.50 $0.49 $0.40 $0.31 $0.30 $0.15 $0.22 $0.20 $0.10 $0.00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Year 13

Per capita AIDS expenditures from low- and middle- income countries USD Per capita HIV and AIDS expenditures by country income level 2.50 2.00 1.92 1.90 2.24 2.12 2.04 2.21 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.63 0.64 0.54 0.18 0.28 0.31 0.23 0.15 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 0.83 0.22 Low income Lower middle Higher middle Low income SSA 0.09 0.72 0.49 0.28 0.72 0.65 0.19 14

NASA: Sources of HIV spending in three countries, 2004 Country A Country B Country C World Bank credit 32% Public 9% Bilateral 35% World Bank loan 27% Global Fund 2% Public 36% All donors 14% Global Fund 9% Multilateral (excluding GF) 15% Multilateral (excluding GF) 3% Bilateral 32% Public 86% HIV and AIDS spending per capita US$ 1.87 US$ 0.059 US$ 0.28 Source: UNAIDS, based on Assessments. Assessment 10.11 NASA 15

National Funding Matrix Since different countries may use different methodologies to monitor the flow of AIDS funding Assessments National Health Accounts and ad hoc Resource Flows Surveys The National Funding Matrix includes a simple spreadsheet that allows financial data from any of these three methodologies to be easily entered, calculated, reviewed and reported. Sources: Countries reporting on UNGASS on domestic public expenditure; UNAIDS estimates Assessment 11.3 NASA 16

UNGASS Indicator 1 Domestic and International AIDS by Categories and Financing Sources PURPOSE APPLICABILITY FREQUENCY To collect accurate and consistent data on how funds are spent at the national level and where those funds are sourced All countries Calendar or Fiscal Year Data MEASUREMENT TOOL Assessment. National Health Accounts / AIDS sub-account. Resource Flows Survey / NAIDS/UNFPA/NIDI METHOD OF MEASUREMENT: Actual expenditures classified by eight AIDS Categories (ASC) and by financing source, including public expenditure from its own sources and from international sources Sources: Countries reporting on UNGASS on domestic public expenditure; UNAIDS estimates Assessment 11.3 NASA 17

AIDS Categories 1. Prevention 2. Treatment and care 3. Orphan and vulnerable children 4. Programme management 5. Human resources for AIDS 6. Social protection 7. Enabling environment & community development 8. Research: AIDS related 18

REPORTING TO UNGASS Expenditure on HIV and AIDS MANDATORY (as agreed in the UNGASS DoC) RECOMMENDED (Components of the total figure to be reported) OPTIONAL Functions TOTAL Total USD $ Central (National) ORIGIN OF THE SOURCES by FINANCING AGENT PUBLIC INTERNATIONAL Subnational Development Bank Reimbursable Bilaterals PRIVATE Corporations Multilaterals Development Banks Grants UN GF (nonreimbursable) Out-ofpocket 1. Prevention 2. Care and Treatment 3. Orphans and Vulnerable children 4. Program Management costs 5. Incentives for Human Resources 6. Social Mitigation 7. Community development and enhanced environment 8. Research 19

Summary 1. There is a sharp increase in the international and domestic funds for HIV. 2. One third is from domestic sources 3. There is need to coordinate the inflows according to the specific activities and intended beneficiaries 4. There are several tools to account for the total money for HIV; NASA is a tool that offers detailed information for HIV health and non-health service provision There is alignment between tools: e.g. NHA and NASA 20

Vision for NASA Ideally: Each country would have an annual NASA on time to be used in the formulation of next year s operational plan Careful analyses of the expenditure activity-wise and the targeted beneficiaries can support resource allocation analysis: Resource Needs GOALS 21

Thank you! 22