Debate: Adjuvant vs. Neoadjuvant Therapy for Urothelial Cancer

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Debate: Adjuvant vs. Neoadjuvant Therapy for Urothelial Cancer Kala Sridhar, MD, MSc, FRCPC Medical Oncologist, Princess Margaret Hospital GU Medical Oncology Site Group Head Associate Professor, University of Toronto Toronto, Ontario Robert Siemens, MD, FRCPC Professor, Departments of Urology (Chair), Oncology, Biomedical and Molecular Sciences Director of Centre of Applied Urological Research Queen s University Kingston, Ontario

Debate: Touchpad Questions

Do you refer all patients who undergo cystectomy to medical oncology? 1. Yes 2. No 1 2

What percentage of your patients receive neoadjuvant chemotherapy? 1. < 10% 2. 10 30 3. 30 50 4. > 50% 1 2 3 4

What percentage of your patients receive adjuvant chemotherapy? 1. < 10% 2. 10 30 3. 30 50 4. > 50% 1 2 3 4

Point Counter Point Debate Neoadjuvant vs Adjuvant for MIBC Mount Tremblant January 19, 2017 Kala S. Sridhar MD, MSc, FRCPC Medical Oncologist, Princess Margaret Hospital Head, GU Medical Oncology Site Group Associate Professor, University of Toronto Toronto, ON

Introduction MIBC is a potentially curable disease Cystectomy and pelvic node dissection Many patients will recur and die of this disease Due to the presence of micrometastases Chemotherapy given early can potentially eradicate micrometastases and prevent recurrence Recent studies performed after 2010, suggest that use of NC is increasing Suggests real progress! Quek ML, J Urol 2005

Top Ten Reasons to give Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy

1. MIBC is a Systemic Disease! Major cause of death is not due local disease but micrometastatic disease NC is the quickest and most efficient way to deal with the biggest threat to the patient NC is given when the disease burden is at its lowest and so has the greatest chance for benefit

2. Evidence that NC is better Systematic Review and Metaanalysis NC improves 5 year OS by 5%, decreased risk mortality by 14% (p=0.003) European Urology 2005

2. Evidence that NC is Better This degree of evidence is acceptable breast and colon cancers Breast A meta analyses of 17723 women showed a survival benefit of 7% and 15% decreased mortality at 10yrs for women <50 SOC Colon Pooled analysis of 3302, showed a survival benefit of 7% at 5 years SOC EBCTCG Lance 1998 Gill S, JCO 2004

3. pcr linked to better OS Patients who achieve a pcr have a better survival Grossman et al with MVAC 38% had a pcr at cystectomy and 5 year OS was 85%!! Grossman HB, NEJM 2003

4. Guidelines Guidelines in both North America and Europe support the use of NC

5. Assessment of Chemosensitivity Midway imaging can determine if a patient is responding and continues full course, or is not and stops early and goes to surgery Personalizing treatment

6. Ease of Administration Patients are elderly, frail, with comorbidities Chemotherapy is better tolerated before surgery In 1142 patients, 30% have Gr 2+ post op complications within 90 days of surgery In upper tract disease nephrectomy can compromise renal function and ability to give chemoetherapy Bottom Line: Many patients planned for AC will simply never get it Donat SM, Euro Urol 2009

7. Many patients are upstaged! High discrepancy between clinical staging and pathological staging (using current imaging strategies role for PET??) 43 73% of patients with T2 disease pre cystectomy were upstaged on pathology and miss the window for NC At the time of cystectomy and pelvic node dissection 16 22% of patients with T2 disease will have microscopic lymph node metastases Canter D, BJUInt 2011 Dickstwein RJ JCO 2011 Ghoneim M, Jurol 1997 Leissner, J, BJUI 2000 Stein J, JCO 2001

8. A solution to surgical wait times? In most centers NC can be initiated quickly and may even be completed before a surgical date is available A recent study by Park would suggest that delay in time to surgery is not an issue in patients getting NC Park JC et al J Urol 2015

9. Eligibility for Immunotherapy Trials Trials of immunotherapy in the perioperative setting are ongoing Many trials allow cisplatin based neoadjuvant chemotherapy, but NOT adjuvant chemotherapy as this is the setting where immunotherapy is given

10. NC provides the ideal setting for Clinical Trials, Biomarkers, Imaging... A strategy using NC permits collection of tumor pre and post treatment, imaging studies etc Will help us develop novel approaches in the future

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy should be the standard of care in all eligible patients * However, for those who cannot receive NC I will concede AC has a role..

Thank you for your attention

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MIBC Population Level Survival Among all cases in Ontario 5 yr OS 30% (95% CI 28-31%) 5 yr CSS 34% (95% CI 32-36%) CSS OS Booth, Cancer, 2014

What is KNOWN about Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for MIBC? RCTs and 2 meta-analyses suggest modest (~5%) improvement in OS with NACT Treatment guidelines recommend use of NACT in MIBC Poor uptake in the general population 1-15% in Canada and US Delay definitive therapy, limited risk stratification, real-world effectiveness? ABC Meta-Analysis Eur Urol 2005 Grossman NEJM, 2003 Griffiths JCO, 2011 ABC meta-analysis, Lancet 2003

What is KNOWN about Adjuvant Chemotherapy for MIBC? RCTs for ACT are limited with conflicting results Cochrane meta-analysis shows a 9% improvement in OS. However quality of evidence is poor. Current guidelines do not strongly endorse ACT given the limited evidence Still utilized more frequently than NACT! ABC Meta-Analysis Eur Urol 2005 Sternberg Urology 2007 Winquist J Urol 2004 Paz-Ares JCO 2010 Cogentti Ann Oncol 2012 Sternberg Lancet Oncol 2015 Segal Can J Urol 2002

What is NOT KNOWN about NACT/ACT for MIBC? Predictive clinical/biomarkers for benefit Factors associated with utilization and how to improve utilization in routine practice What are the toxicities of NACT/ACT in the general population? Does ACT improve survival in this disease?

RCTs Precise measures of efficacy under ideal conditions Poor measure of effectiveness under real life conditions Limited information on toxicity Applicability to clinical practice can be limited Population based studies Difficulty in eliminating bias and confounders of effect Can estimate effectiveness in the general population Assess toxicity under real life conditions Evaluate uptake of treatment in general population

Health Services Research Queen s Cancer Research Institute Population-based database Ontario Cancer Registry Hospital discharge data Statistics Canada Regional cancer center clinical databases ICES 1990-2014 81,566 prostate cancer 6,145 bladder cancer 1,490 testes cancer

Ontario: NACT/ACT Utilization 2944 MIBC cases

Utilization across regions (NACT%/ACT%) 3% / 31% 2% / 23% 4% / 15% 4% / 19% 5% / 22% 3% / 12%

Ontario Referral Patterns MIBC Cystectomy N=2944 Seen by MO pre-op N= 520 (18%) Not seen by MO pre-op N= 2424 (82%) NACT N= 128 (25%) No NACT N= 392 (75%) Small fraction of patients (18%) seen by MO pre-op -higher T stage, younger age, low co-morbidity Only a small fraction seen by MO actually received NACT Booth et al Urol Oncol 2014

Adjuvant Chemotherapy: Survival Overall Survival Cancer Specific Survival 5 year OS Multivariate analysis 5 year CSS Multivariate analysis HR (95%CI) P value HR (95%CI) P value Age, years <0.001 0.012 20-49 (n=88) 42% 0.6 (0.5-0.8) 45% 0.8 (0.5-1.1) 50-59 (n=305) 39% 0.7 (0.6-0.8) 37% 0.9 (0.7-1.1) 60-69 (n=646) 35% 0.7 (0.6-0.8) 38% 0.9 (0.7-1.0) 70-79 (n=1051) 28% 0.9 (0.8-1.0) 31% 1.1 (0.9-1.2) 80+ (n=524) 21% Ref 30% Ref Charlson co-morbidity score <0.001 0.023 0 (n=1799) 32% 0.7 (0.6-0.8) 35% 0.7 (0.6-0.9) 1-2 (n=676) 26% 0.8 (0.7-1.0) 33% 0.8 (0.6-1.0) 3+ (n=139) 16% Ref 21% Ref T stage <0.001 <0.001 <T3 (n=754) 50% Ref 55% Ref T3-T4 (n=1860) 22% 1.7 (1.6-2.0) 25% 1.9 (1.7-2.2) N stage <0.001 N negative (n=1132) 42% Ref 46% Ref <0.001 N positive (n=672) 18% 1.9 (1.7-2.1) 18% 2.0 (1.7-2.2) NX (n=810) 24% 1.4 (1.3-1.6) 30% 1.4 (1.3-1.6) ACT <0.001 <0.001 Yes (n=514) 30% 0.7 (0.6-0.8) 29% 0.7 (0.6-0.8) No (n=2100) 30% Ref 35% Ref ACT is associated with improved OS (HR 0.70) and improved CSS (HR 0.70). Results consistent in propensity score analysis

Clinical Implications Case #1: 54 year old male with minimal co-morbidity T3 tumor, node positive disease Predicted 5 yr OS Surgery alone = 12% (95%CI 8-19%) Surgery with ACT = 23% (95%CI 17-31%) Case #2: 76 year old female with moderate co-morbidity T2 tumor, N0 disease, LVI Predicted 5 yr OS Surgery alone = 32% (95%CI 16-29%) Surgery with ACT = 45% (95CI 27-45%)

Conclusions 1. Contrary to treatment guidelines use of NACT is low and use of ACT is high and increasing. 2. ACT is associated with a substantial improvement in OS and CSS in the general population. 3. Despite the current level of evidence and guidelines most urologists and many MO appear to prefer ACT.