The Risk of Hemorrhage after Radiosurgery for Cerebral Arteriovenous Malformations

Similar documents
Influenced by the high morbidity and mortality associated

Despite recent progress in microsurgical techniques, endovascular

Microsurgical Resection of Incompletely Obliterated Intracranial Arteriovenous Malformations Following Stereotactic Radiosurgery

Estimating the Risks of Adverse Radiation Effects After Gamma Knife Radiosurgery for Arteriovenous Malformations

Long-term control of large pontine arteriovenous malformation using gamma knife therapy: a review with illustrative case

DECISION MAKING IN AVM TREATMENT STRATEGY TREATMENT BOARD SYSTEM AT TOHOKU UNIVERSITY

Spetzler-Martin Grade III arteriovenous malformations. Radiosurgery for Spetzler-Martin Grade III arteriovenous malformations.

Long term neuroimaging and clinical outcome of brain Arteriovenous Malformations (bavm) treated with stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS).

ANALYSIS OF TREATMENT OUTCOMES WITH LINAC BASED STEREOTACTIC RADIOSURGERY IN INTRACRANIAL ARTERIOVENOUS MALFORMATIONS

Clinical Commissioning Policy: Arteriovenous Malformations. December Reference : NHSCB/D5/4

Supratentorial cerebral arteriovenous malformations : a clinical analysis

Xiaochuan Huo, PhD, Yuhua Jiang, PhD, Xianli Lv, PhD, Hongchao Yang, MD, Yang Zhao, MD, and

Seizure control of Gamma Knife radiosurgery for non-hemorrhagic arteriovenous malformations

EMBOLIZATION OF ARTERIOVENOUS FISTULA AFTER RADIOSURGERY FOR MULTIPLE CEREBRAL ARTERIOVENOUS MALFORMATIONS

Methods. Treatment options for intracranial arteriovenous malformations

Over the last 25 years the management options for. Stereotactic radiosurgery for arteriovenous malformations of the cerebellum.

Radiographic and statistical analysis of Brain Arteriovenous Malformations.

Michael K. Morgan, MD, 1 Markus K. Hermann Wiedmann, MD, 1 Marcus A. Stoodley, PhD, 1 and Gillian Z. Heller, PhD 2

Neurosurgical decision making in structural lesions causing stroke. Dr Rakesh Ranjan MS, MCh, Dip NB (Neurosurgery)

Long term effects of Gamma knife Radiosurgery for treatment of cerebral arteriovenous malformations

Intracranial arteriovenous malformations (AVMs)

Diagnosis and Management of AVM in the Pregnant Patient

Transarterial Embolisation of Cerebral Arteriovenous Malformations

Endovascular Treatment of Cerebral Arteriovenous Malformations. Bs. Nguyễn Ngọc Pi Doanh- Bs Đặng Ngọc Dũng Khoa Ngoại Thần Kinh

T HE controversy surrounding the indications for

VASCULAR MALFORMATIONS. Owen Samuels, MD Adam Webb, MD Emory University

Arteriovenous malformations in the basal ganglia and thalamus: management and results in 101 cases

Life after ARUBA: Management of Unruptured Brain Arteriovenous Malformations (AVMs)

Alt h o u g h infratentorial AVMs comprise only

DOWNLOAD PDF RADIOSURGERY FOR CAVERNOUS MALFORMATIONS IN BASAL GANGLIA, THALAMUS AND BRAINSTEM KIDA, Y

Delayed Radiation Necrosis 7 Years After Gamma Knife Surgery for Arteriovenous Malformation

Stereotactic Radiosurgery and Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy

Gamma Knife Radiosurgeryin Medium-sized Arteriovenous Malformations: Preliminary Report

Selected radiosurgery cases from the Rotating Gamma Institute Debrecen, Hungary

Leksell Gamma Knife Icon. Treatment information

Stereotactic radiosurgery with neoadjuvant embolization of larger arteriovenous malformations: An institutional experience

Hemorrhagic vestibular schwannoma: an unusual clinical entity Case report

Otolaryngologist s Perspective of Stereotactic Radiosurgery

S tereotactic radiosurgery, whether delivered by a gamma

What Is an Arteriovenous malformation (AVM)?

Staged-Volume Radiosurgery of Large AVMs

Cerebral arteriovenous malformations (AVMs) are

IMAGE-GUIDED RADIOSURGERY USING THE GAMMA KNIFE

Radiosurgery for arteriovenous malformations

Serial Follow-up MR Imaging after Gamma Knife Radiosurgery for Vestibular Schwannoma

Brain AVM with Accompanying Venous Aneurysm with Intracerebral and Intraventricular Hemorrhage

Cerebral haemorrhage from a remote varix in the venous outflow of an arteriovenous malformation treated successfully by embolisation

Neurological Change after Gamma Knife Radiosurgery for Brain Metastases Involving the Motor Cortex

Survival and Intracranial Control of Patients With 5 or More Brain Metastases Treated With Gamma Knife Stereotactic Radiosurgery

Epidemiology And Treatment Of Cerebral Aneurysms At An Australian Tertiary Level Hospital

Forward treatment planning techniques to reduce the normalization effect in Gamma Knife radiosurgery

Case Report Hypofractionated Stereotactic Radiosurgery in a Large Bilateral Thalamic and Basal Ganglia Arteriovenous Malformation

Radiosurgery for unruptured cerebral arteriovenous malformations in pediatric patients

Biomedical Research 2017; 28 (2):

Stereotactic Radiosurgery and Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy

Summary of some of the landmark articles:

The treatment of brain arteriovenous malformations. Neurologic Complications of Arteriovenous Malformation Embolization Using Liquid Embolic Agents

Results of acoustic neuroma radiosurgery: an analysis of 5 years experience using current methods

Stereotactic Radiosurgery and Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy

Spontaneous occlusion of a cerebral arteriovenous malformation after subtotal endovascular embolisation

Vascular Malformations of the Brain: A Review of Imaging Features and Risks

Long-term results of gamma knife surgery for growth hormone producing pituitary adenoma: is the disease difficult to cure?

Occlusive hyperemia: a theory for the hemodynamic complications following resection of intracerebral arteriovenous malformations

The clinical significance of persistent trigeminal nerve contrast enhancement in patients who undergo repeat radiosurgery

Local control of brain metastases by stereotactic radiosurgery in relation to dose to the tumor margin

Brain Edema after Repeat Gamma Knife Radiosurgery for a Large Arteriovenous Malformation: A Case Report

Gamma Knife Radiosurgery A tool for treating intracranial conditions. CNSA Annual Congress 2016 Radiation Oncology Pre-congress Workshop

Arteriovenous Malformations in the Pediatric Population: Review of the Existing Literature

Gamma Knife Surgery for Brain Metastasis from Renal Cell Carcinoma : Relationship Between Radiological Characteristics and Initial Tumor Response

Stereotactic Radiosurgery. Extracranial Stereotactic Radiosurgery. Linear accelerators. Basic technique. Indications of SRS

LONG-TERM FOLLOW-UP OF ACOUSTIC SCHWANNOMA RADIOSURGERY WITH MARGINAL TUMOR DOSES OF 12 TO 13 Gy

Leksell Gamma Knife References 1992 December Gamma Knife Radiosurgery

I ntracranial haemorrhage is the main cause of morbidity and

Proposal of Classification of Aneurysms Coexisting with Avm and Possible Treatment Strategies

Stereotactic Diffusion Tensor Tractography For Gamma Knife Stereotactic Radiosurgery

Stereotactic Radiosurgery and Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy

KEY WORDS: Arteriovenous malformation, Complications, Outcome, Radiosurgery

England. Clinical Commissioning Policy: Radiosurgery/Radiotherapy for Cavernous Venous Malformations (Cavernomas)

A lthough more than 90% of intracranial meningiomas are

Unruptured Epileptogenic Brain Arteriovenous Malformations

Although intracranial arteriovenous malformations

Selective disconnection of cortical venous reflux as treatment for cranial dural arteriovenous fistulas

The outcome of treatment for arteriovenous malformations of the brain: A five-year retrospective series from the Philippines

Stereotactic Radiosurgery and Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy

Treatment of Unruptured Vertebral Artery Dissecting Aneurysms

The preliminary investigation of application of single-staged hybrid operation in treatment of complex cerebral arteriovenous malformation.

Use of the Leksell gamma knife C with automatic positioning system for the treatment of meningioma and vestibular schwannoma

Update on IGKRF Activities

Delayed Radiation Necrosis With Extensive Brain Edema After Gamma Knife Radiosurgery for Multiple Cerebral Cavernous Malformations

We have previously reported good clinical results

Modern Management of ICH

A Population-Based Study on the Uptake and Utilization of Stereotactic Radiosurgery (SRS) for Brain Metastasis in Nova Scotia

Brain Arteriovenous Malformations Endovascular Therapy and Associated Therapeutic Protocols Jorge Guedes Cabral de Campos

Specialised Services Policy: CP22. Stereotactic Radiosurgery

Explaining All of the Options for AVM: Cerebral Arteriovenous Malformation

Transarterial Embolization of Cerebral Arteriovenous Malformations: Improvement of Results with Experience

7 TI - Radiosurgery of angiographically occult vascular malformations. AU - Kida Y, et al.

Surgical Neurology International

Cerebrovascular Malformations in the Elderly Indications for Treatment

Transcription:

The new england journal of medicine original article The Risk of Hemorrhage after Radiosurgery for Cerebral Arteriovenous Malformations Keisuke Maruyama, M.D., Nobutaka Kawahara, M.D., Ph.D., Masahiro Shin, M.D., Ph.D., Masao Tago, M.D., Ph.D., Junji Kishimoto, M.A., Hiroki Kurita, M.D., Ph.D., Shunsuke Kawamoto, M.D., Ph.D., Akio Morita, M.D., Ph.D., and Takaaki Kirino, M.D., Ph.D. abstract From the Departments of Neurosurgery (K.M., N.K., M.S., H.K., S.K., A.M., T.K.), Radiology (M.T.), and Clinical Bioinformatics (J.K.), University of Tokyo Hospital, Tokyo. Address reprint requests to Dr. Maruyama at the Department of Neurosurgery, University of Tokyo Hospital, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-8655, Japan, or at kskmaru-tky@umin.ac.jp. N Engl J Med 2005;352:146-53. Copyright 2005 Massachusetts Medical Society. background Angiography shows that stereotactic radiosurgery obliterates most cerebral arteriovenous malformations after a latency period of a few years. However, the effect of this procedure on the risk of hemorrhage is poorly understood. methods We performed a retrospective observational study of 500 patients with malformations who were treated with radiosurgery with use of a gamma knife. The rates of hemorrhage were assessed during three periods: before radiosurgery, between radiosurgery and the angiographic documentation of obliteration of the malformation (latency period), and after angiographic obliteration. results Forty-two hemorrhages were documented before radiosurgery (median follow-up, 0.4 year), 23 during the latency period (median follow-up, 2.0 years), and 6 after obliteration (median follow-up, 5.4 years). As compared with the period between diagnosis and radiosurgery, the risk of hemorrhage decreased by 54 percent during the latency period (hazard ratio, 0.46; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.26 to 0.80; P=0.006) and by 88 percent after obliteration (hazard ratio, 0.12; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.05 to 0.29; P<0.001). The risk was significantly reduced during the period after obliteration, as compared with the latency period (hazard ratio, 0.26; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.10 to 0.68; P=0.006). The reduction was greater among patients who presented with hemorrhage than among those without hemorrhage at presentation and similar in analyses that took into account the delay in confirming obliteration by means of angiography and analyses that excluded data obtained during the first year after diagnosis. conclusions Radiosurgery significantly decreases the risk of hemorrhage in patients with cerebral arteriovenous malformations, even before there is angiographic evidence of obliteration. The risk of hemorrhage is further reduced, although not eliminated, after obliteration. 146

hemorrhage after radiosurgery for cerebral arteriovenous malformations during the past two decades, stereotactic radiosurgery has been widely used to treat cerebral arteriovenous malformations, 1-7 providing angiographic evidence of cure (obliteration of the malformation) in 80 to 95 percent of patients after a latency period of three to five years. 2,8-11 Hemorrhage has been reported to occur in 2 to 5 percent of patients per year between the time of radiosurgery and angiographic obliteration of the malformation; however, it has been unclear whether and to what extent the risk is reduced during this period as compared with the risk before radiosurgery. 4,12-19 The extent to which the risk of hemorrhage is further reduced after angiographic obliteration is also unclear. To address these questions, we performed a retrospective study involving 500 patients who were treated with stereotactic radiosurgery at our institute. methods patients Between July 1990 and June 2003, 531 consecutive patients with angiographically visible cerebral arteriovenous malformations underwent stereotactic radiosurgery at our institute. Our institutional review board did not require informed consent for study participation because the study relied on information obtained as part of routine clinical care. The selection criterion for radiosurgery was, in principle, the finding of small malformations (less than 3 cm) in critical, or eloquent, areas of the brain (including the sensorimotor, language, or visual cortex; the hypothalamus or thalamus; the internal capsule; the brain stem; the cerebellar peduncles; and the deep cerebellar nuclei) that, if injured, result in disabling neurologic deficits. 20 Surgical resection, rather than radiosurgery, was generally recommended for other types of malformation considered to be amenable to a surgical approach, although some patients chose radiosurgery because of its noninvasive nature. Radiosurgery was recommended for patients with coexisting conditions, such as chronic renal failure necessitating hemodialysis or respiratory dysfunction, who were considered at high risk for complications if they underwent direct surgery under general anesthesia. If a patient was considered a suitable candidate for radiosurgery, the procedure was performed within three months after evaluation at our center. In 10 patients with an aneurysm associated with the malformation, management involved clipping in 2 patients, 1 of whom later underwent embolization of the malformation; wrapping in 1 patient, who later underwent embolization of the malformation; embolization alone in 1 patient; and observation in 6 patients. The treatments in these 10 patients did not change the angiographic appearance of the malformations. radiosurgery technique Stereotactic radiosurgery was performed with the patient under local anesthesia, which was supplemented with intravenous sedation when necessary, in a single session with the use of a gamma knife (Elekta Instruments), which irradiated the malformation defined by imaging. Radiosurgery was guided by angiography alone until February 1992; thereafter, computed tomography (CT) or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was included. Image-integrated treatment planning was performed jointly by neurosurgeons and radiation oncologists with the aid of commercially available software (KULA or Leksell GammaPlan, Elekta Instruments). During radiosurgery, the patients lay on a gamma-knife couch and were attached to a gamma-knife collimator helmet with a stereotactic frame. In principle, the dose applied to the margin of each malformation was designed to be at least 20 Gy with the use of 50 percent isodose lines; however, doses were occasionally reduced, depending on the volume and location of malformations or the patient s status. follow-up evaluations Patients were evaluated clinically every six months after radiosurgery. Whenever patients had any acute deterioration in their neurologic condition, they were asked to come to our institute or to see their referring physicians, who, in turn, provided us with the appropriate information. Hemorrhage was defined as a clinically symptomatic event (sudden onset of headache, seizure, focal deficits, death, or a combination of these) along with signs of fresh bleeding from the previously diagnosed arteriovenous malformations, detected by means of CT or MRI. 21 Every year after radiosurgery until the end of 1992, patients underwent serial cerebral angiography; less invasive imaging techniques, such as MRI or CT, were used every six months thereafter. Angiography was generally delayed until obliteration was suggested by these studies. 22 Angiographic obliteration was defined as the absence of abnormal vessels in the former nidus of the malformation, the disappearance or normalization of draining 147

The new england journal of medicine veins from the area, and a normal circulation time on angiography. 23 The determination that obliteration of the malformation had occurred was made independently by both neurosurgeons and neuroradiologists who were aware of the patients histories. Clinical follow-up was continued even after obliteration in the majority of patients, and if malformations were not occluded, patients were asked to undergo angiography again 6 to 12 months later. A second radiosurgical treatment was generally recommended if obliteration was not observed by three years after the initial treatment. Information on all patients was prospectively entered into a computer database at the time of their treatment and at each clinical follow-up visit. The dates of diagnosis, radiosurgical treatment, previous or additional hemorrhage, angiographic obliteration, and the last follow-up visit were included in the analyses, along with data on the initial clinical presentation and treatment history. The observation period was divided into the following three intervals: before radiosurgery, the interval from diagnosis to radiosurgery; the latency period, the interval from radiosurgery to angiographic obliteration; and after obliteration, the interval from angiographic obliteration to the end of the follow-up period (Fig. 1). 42 Had hemorrhages before radiosurgery 23 Had hemorrhages during the latency period 6 Had hemorrhages after obliteration 500 Candidates for radiosurgery 458 Underwent radiosurgery without a new hemorrhage Arteriovenous malformation obliterated in 250 Data on 244 censored Data on 185 censored Figure 1. Flow Diagram of the Study Population. The observation period was divided into three intervals: before radiosurgery, defined as the period from diagnosis to radiosurgery; the latency period, defined as the period from radiosurgery to angiographic obliteration; and after obliteration, defined as the period from angiographic obliteration to the end of follow-up. statistical analysis We used a time-dependent Cox proportional-hazards model to analyze the effect of radiosurgery on the incidence of intracranial hemorrhage, with use of SPSS software, version 11. 24,25 We defined two sets of trinary time-dependent covariates for example, as 1 for the period before radiosurgery, as 0 for the latency period, and as 1 for the period after obliteration. The primary end point was the first hemorrhage after the date of diagnosis. For patients who had received other treatments before radiosurgery, the last date of the previous treatment was substituted for the time of diagnosis in an attempt to eliminate any effects of this therapy. Data on patients who underwent a second radiosurgical treatment were censored at that time. Data on patients who declined to undergo angiography to confirm obliteration were censored on the date of the first less invasive imaging study that suggested obliteration. In the overall analysis, the patients were also divided into two groups: those initially presenting with hemorrhage and those without hemorrhage at presentation. Next, we included hemorrhage as an initial clinical presentation in the analysis as a fixed covariate. Finally, we added six conditions (three intervals each among patients presenting with hemorrhage and those presenting without hemorrhage) in defining time-dependent covariates. To compare the results of these two models, we used the likelihoodratio test to detect interaction terms between presentation with or without hemorrhage and trinary time-dependent covariates. To adjust for potential biases, we performed four additional analyses as follows. First, for patients who had received previous treatment, we reanalyzed the data including the period between diagnosis and previous treatment in the period before radio- 148

hemorrhage after radiosurgery for cerebral arteriovenous malformations surgery. Second, because the exact date of obliteration was unclear (since obliteration was identified only after the fact, at the time of angiography), we performed a secondary analysis assuming that obliteration occurred six months before it was confirmed by angiography, as previously described. 15 Third, because the rate of repeated hemorrhages from ruptured arteriovenous malformations is reported to be highest in the first year and to decline rapidly thereafter, 26-28 we reanalyzed the data excluding the data from the first year after diagnosis. Fourth, because we could not eliminate the possibility that hemorrhage occurred in patients for whom no information was available after radiosurgery, we performed an analysis including all 531 patients and assuming that all patients without any information had hemorrhages three months after radiosurgery (within the recommended six-month follow-up interval) and that in patients whose neurologic state was stable, malformations were obliterated at three years (when most malformations are expected to have been obliterated). The reduction in the incidence of hemorrhage in the periods after radiosurgery was calculated as 100 (1 hazard ratio). A two-sided P value of less than 0.05 was considered to indicate statistical significance. The annual hemorrhage rate was calculated as the number of hemorrhages divided by the sum of the observation periods. The cumulative rate of obliteration was calculated according to the Kaplan Meier method. 29 35 patients. The median observation period was 7.8 years (Table 1). For most patients who had a long delay between diagnosis and radiosurgery, the interval reflected the time between diagnosis and referral to our institute. The cumulative rates of obliteration were 81 percent at four years and 91 percent at six years. Transient radiation-induced neurologic deterioration was noted in 26 patients (5.2 percent) between 1 and 34 months (median, 7) after radiosurgery (dysesthesia in 11 patients, hemiparesis in 9, aphasia in 1, and cranial-nerve deficits in 5). Seven patients (1.4 percent) had persistent neurologic deterioration (three had dysesthesia, two had hemiparesis, one had aphasia, and one had cranial-nerve deficits). Hemorrhage occurred before radiosurgery in 42 of 500 patients (median follow-up, 0.4 year), during the latency period in 23 of 458 patients (median follow-up, 2.0 years), and after obliteration in 6 of 250 patients (median follow-up, 5.4 years) (Fig. 1). Repeated angiography in the six patients who had a hemorrhage after obliteration revealed no recanalization of the original malformations; we previously reported on the clinical course and imaging studies of one of these patients. 8 Of 29 hemorrhages observed during the latency period or after obliteration, 19 were directly confirmed at our institute (12 immediately after clinical presentation and 7 after diagnosis by referring physicians). Seven patients died suddenly from hemorrhages, and we reviewed the radiologic studies provided by the referring physicians. In the case of three patients, the diagnosis of hemorrhage was made by the referring physicians, but radiologic test results were not provided. Of the 429 patients without additional hemorrhages, 319 reached the latest cutoff of our data set. Reasons for censoring data on patients without complete follow-up included loss to follow-up (63 patients), refusal to undergo angiography to confirm obliteration (25 patients), a second radiosurgical treatment (16 patients), and death from unrelated causes (lung cancer in 2 and gastric cancer, pneumonia, suicide, and ileus in 1 patient each). As compared with the overall risk of hemorrhage before radiosurgery, the risk was reduced by 54 percent during the latency period after radiosurgery (hazard ratio, 0.46; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.26 to 0.80; P=0.006) and by 88 percent after obliteration (hazard ratio, 0.12; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.05 to 0.29; P<0.001) (Table 2). As compared with the risk of hemorrhage during the laresults Of the 531 patients, 31 were unable to return for serial follow-up after radiosurgery for personal reasons and were excluded from the analyses: 2 of these patients had a hemorrhage before radiosurgery, 17 were confirmed not to have had a clinically significant hemorrhage through subsequent communication by telephone or mail, and no information was available for the remaining 12 patients, 3 of whom lived overseas. Therefore, the final study group contained 500 patients. Their baseline characteristics are summarized in Table 1. The diagnosis was based on the initial clinical presentation in 441 patients and was incidental in 59 patients, who underwent imaging for other reasons. Partial resection, several sessions of endovascular embolization, or both, had been performed before radiosurgery in 62, 65, and 10 patients, respectively. Radiation doses were less than 20 Gy in 149

The new england journal of medicine Table 1. Characteristics of 500 Patients Treated with Radiosurgery.* Characteristic Age at treatment yr 31.5±15.5 Female sex no. (%) 213 (42.6) Initial clinical presentation no. Hemorrhage 310 Seizure 91 Headache 24 Transient focal ischemic deficits 8 Hydrocephalus 4 Bruit 2 Embolism 1 Trigeminal neuralgia 1 Details of arteriovenous malformations Diameter cm 2.1±0.9 Small size (<3 cm) no. (%) 417 (83.4) Eloquent brain location no. (%) 316 (63.2) Deep venous drainage no. (%) 282 (56.4) Median Spetzler Martin grade Interquartile range Details of radiosurgery Maximal dose Gy 40.9±5.0 Dose to margins Gy 21.0±2.4 Median observation period yr From diagnosis to radiosurgery 0.4 Interquartile range 0.7 From radiosurgery to obliteration 2.0 Interquartile range 1.8 After obliteration 5.4 Interquartile range 7.0 Whole period 7.8 Interquartile range 9.6 * Plus minus values are means ±SD. The diagnosis was incidental in 59 patients. An eloquent brain location included the sensorimotor, language, or visual cortex; the hypothalamus or thalamus; the internal capsule; the brain stem; the cerebellar peduncles; and the deep cerebellar nuclei, according to the criteria of Spetzler and Martin. 20 Deep venous drainage included the internal cerebral veins, basal veins, or precentral cerebellar vein, according to Spetzler and Martin. 20 The Spetzler Martin grade is based on a scoring system reflecting the size of lesion, the neurologic eloquence of adjacent brain, and the pattern of venous drainage. Grades can range from I (small, superficial malformations in noneloquent areas) to VI (inoperable arteriovenous malformations). A grade of IV or V (large, deep malformations in neurologically critical areas) is associated with the highest risk of persistent neurologic deficits after surgery. 20 III I tency period, the risk was reduced by 74 percent after obliteration (hazard ratio, 0.26; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.10 to 0.68; P=0.006). For each comparison, the decrease in risk was greater among the 310 patients who presented with hemorrhage than among the 190 without hemorrhage at presentation. Although the risk of hemorrhage among the 190 patients without hemorrhage at presentation also tended to decrease during the latency period and after obliteration, the difference from the value before radiosurgery was not significant. The reduction in risk was similar in analyses that included presentation with or without hemorrhage as a fixed covariate (Table 2). There was a significant interaction between the period relative to radiosurgery and whether or not a patient presented with hemorrhage (P=0.045). Similar results were obtained in analyses that included the period between diagnosis and prior therapy in the interval before radiosurgery and in analyses that considered the time of obliteration to be six months before angiographic confirmation. The results were also materially unchanged by the exclusion of data obtained during the first year after diagnosis and the inclusion of all 531 patients in the analysis (Table 2). Among the patients presenting with hemorrhage, the annual rates of subsequent hemorrhage in the period before radiosurgery appeared similar over a period of three or more years. However, the numbers of events were small (Table 3). discussion We found that the risk of hemorrhage from cerebral arteriovenous malformations was significantly decreased after radiosurgery, both during the latency period (between radiosurgery and angiographic obliteration) and after angiographic obliteration. Previous studies have reported that the risk of hemorrhage during the latency period decreases, 13,14 remains unchanged, 15,16 or even increases, 4,17 as compared with the natural course of the disease. These studies tended to compare the risk of hemorrhage among selected patients who underwent radiosurgery with patients who did not undergo radiosurgery, whereas we analyzed changes in the rate of hemorrhage relative to the timing of radiosurgery in a large cohort of consecutive patients. Most previous studies assumed that angiographic obliteration was the ultimate goal of radiosurgery, 3,5,6,23 because hemorrhage was rare once 150

hemorrhage after radiosurgery for cerebral arteriovenous malformations Table 2. Risk of Hemorrhage from Arteriovenous Malformations According to the Observation Period.* Type of Analysis Overall All patients with follow-up Patients presenting with hemorrhage Patients presenting without hemorrhage No. of Patients No. of Hemorrhages Before Radiosurgery Latency Period Including hemorrhagic presentation as a fixed covariate All patients with follow-up data After Obliteration Latency Period vs. before Radiosurgery Hazard Ratio (95% CI) After Obliteration vs. Latency Period After Obliteration vs. before Radiosurgery Hemorrhage at Presentation vs. No Hemorrhage at Presentation * CI denotes confidence interval. Six conditions (three intervals each among patients presenting with hemorrhage and those presenting without hemorrhage) were prescribed in defining time-dependent covariates. The time of obliteration was assumed to be six months before angiographic obliteration. Forty-one patients who were followed up for less than one year were excluded. This analysis includes all 531 patients treated according to the assumption that all 12 patients for whom no information after radiosurgery was available had hemorrhages three months after radiosurgery and that malformations in 17 patients with a stable neurologic state were obliterated at three years. P Hazard Ratio (95% CI) P Hazard Ratio (95% CI) P Hazard Ratio (95% CI) P 500 42 23 6 0.46 (0.26 0.80) 0.006 0.26 (0.10 0.68) 0.006 0.12 (0.05 0.29) <0.001 310 34 12 4 0.35 0.004 0.21 0.01 0.07 <0.001 (0.17 0.71) (0.06 0.71) (0.03 0.22) 190 8 11 2 0.83 0.71 0.47 0.39 0.39 0.27 (0.31 2.23) (0.08 2.66) (0.07 2.11) 500 42 23 6 0.46 0.007 0.24 0.004 0.11 <0.001 1.50 (0.27 0.81) (0.09 0.64) (0.05 0.28) (0.90 2.51) Including clinical presentation in defining the time-dependent covariates All patients with 500 follow-up data Hemorrhage 34 12 4 0.30 0.001 0.26 0.03 0.08 <0.001 (0.15 0.61) (0.08 0.86) (0.03 0.23) No hemorrhage 8 11 2 1.14 (0.44 2.93) 0.79 0.28 (0.06 1.31) 0.11 0.32 (0.06 1.54) 0.15 Secondary Including the period before previous treatment Assuming the occurrence of earlier obliteration Excluding the 1st year after diagnosis 500 42 23 6 0.42 0.001 0.19 0.001 0.09 <0.001 1.39 (0.25 0.71) (0.08 0.49) (0.04 0.23) (0.86 2.24) 500 42 23 6 0.53 0.03 0.19 0.001 0.10 <0.001 1.54 (0.31 0.93) (0.07 0.48) (0.04 0.24) (0.92 2.57) 459 29 18 6 0.48 0.02 0.24 0.005 0.11 <0.001 1.36 (0.25 0.89) (0.09 0.65) (0.05 0.29) (0.76 2.42) Including all patients 531 44 35 6 0.59 0.03 0.22 0.001 0.13 <0.001 1.47 (0.36 0.96) (0.09 0.54) (0.05 0.32) (0.92 2.34) 0.12 0.18 0.10 0.30 0.11 obliteration was confirmed. 30 Although recanalization of malformations can lead to hemorrhages after obliteration, 31,32 this phenomenon was not observed in the six patients who had hemorrhage after obliteration in our study. We found that a small risk of hemorrhage remained after obliteration, although it was markedly lower than that before radiosurgery. We did not address the mechanisms by which the risk of hemorrhage may be reduced. However, histopathological studies of arteriovenous malformations after radiosurgery suggest potential mechanisms. Progressive thickening of the intimal layer, 33 which begins as early as three months after radiosurgery, 34 appears to decrease the stress to the vessel walls. 13 In addition, partial or complete thrombosis of the irradiated vessels may decrease the number of patent vessels in the malformation. 35 151

The new england journal of medicine Table 3. Annual Rate of Repeated Hemorrhage before Radiosurgery among 310 Patients Presenting with Hemorrhage.* Period Annual Rate of Hemorrhage (95% Confidence Interval) No. of Patients Analyzed No. of Hemorrhages Year 1 6.3 (3.0 11.7) 310 10 Year 2 6.8 (1.8 17.3) 78 4 Year 3 6.4 (1.3 18.7) 52 3 After year 3 6.3 (3.7 10.1) 44 17 * The annual rate was calculated as the number of hemorrhages divided by the sum for the observation periods. In vessels with a decreased diameter, thickening of the endothelium may cause occlusion at a relatively early stage. When blood flow declines below the threshold of detection by angiography, malformations, in effect, become invisible (angiographic obliteration), although they may still be evident histologically. 30 Our study has some limitations. Because we did not include a control group of patients who did not undergo radiosurgery, one concern is whether the decrease in the risk of hemorrhage after radiosurgery reflects, at least in part, the natural history of malformations, rather than effects of the procedure itself. A natural decline in the rate of recurrent bleeding has been reported within one year after the rupture of arteriovenous malformations. 21,26-28 Because the criteria for conservative management were not well described in previous reports of the natural history of ruptured malformations, 26-28 it has remained unclear whether small malformations that can be effectively treated with radiosurgery have a similar natural decline in the rate of repeated hemorrhage. However, the Cox models we used accounted for the time since diagnosis. In addition, hemorrhage rates before radiosurgery in our cohort appeared stable over a period of more than three years after diagnosis, although the number of patients observed for longer periods before radiosurgery was limited. In addition, our results did not materially change in an analysis that excluded data obtained during the first year after diagnosis. Another potential problem is the delay in confirming angiographic obliteration. 15,16 The exact time of obliteration was not known but, instead, was inferred on the basis of findings on consecutive imaging studies. Angiography was initially carried out at six-month intervals; after 1993, less invasive imaging was performed every six months. 22 However, our results were materially unchanged after adjustment for a potential delay of six months in identifying obliteration. Although some patients had prior treatments, these treatments are not expected to have a delayed effect, and the results were more conservative when the period before these treatments was excluded. Because our clinical practice incorporates close follow-up of our patients according to standard schedules, the retrospective nature of our analysis should not pose a problem. The lack of blinding among those reviewing studies and judging outcomes is also acceptable, since obliteration and hemorrhage were diagnosed separately. There was some loss to follow-up, but the assignment of extreme outcomes to these patients also did not substantively affect the results of the analyses. The gold standard for evaluating the effect of radiosurgery on the risk of hemorrhage would be a randomized trial comparing a group undergoing radiosurgery with a group receiving no treatment. However, this approach is not possible, because the beneficial effects of radiosurgery in terms of angiographic cure are well recognized and hemorrhage is rare after complete obliteration. 3,7-9 The large size and close follow-up of our cohort made it well suited to an assessment of the outcomes of radiosurgery. In conclusion, we found that the risk of hemorrhage from cerebral arteriovenous malformations was significantly reduced after stereotactic radiosurgery during the latency period (after radiosurgery and before angiographic obliteration) and that it was reduced even further after obliteration. However, a risk of hemorrhage remained even after malformations were no longer visible on imaging studies. references 1. The Arteriovenous Malformation Study Group. Arteriovenous malformations of the brain in adults. N Engl J Med 1999;340: 1812-8. 2. Fleetwood IG, Steinberg GK. Arteriovenous malformations. Lancet 2002;359:863-73. 3. Ogilvy CS, Stieg PE, Awad I, et al. AHA scientific statement: recommendations for the management of intracranial arteriovenous malformations: a statement for healthcare professionals from a special writing group of the Stroke Council, American Stroke Association. Stroke 2001;32:1458-71. 152

hemorrhage after radiosurgery for cerebral arteriovenous malformations 4. Steinberg GK, Fabrikant JI, Marks MP, et al. Stereotactic heavy-charged-particle Bragg-peak radiation for intracranial arteriovenous malformations. N Engl J Med 1990; 323:96-101. 5. Lunsford LD, Kondziolka D, Flickinger JC, et al. Stereotactic radiosurgery for arteriovenous malformations of the brain. J Neurosurg 1991;75:512-24. 6. Steiner L, Lindquist C, Adler JR, Torner JC, Alves W, Steiner M. Clinical outcome of radiosurgery for cerebral arteriovenous malformations. J Neurosurg 1992;77:1-8. 7. Maruyama K, Kondziolka D, Niranjan A, Flickinger JC, Lunsford LD. Stereotactic radiosurgery for brainstem arteriovenous malformations: factors affecting outcome. J Neurosurg 2004;100:407-13. 8. Shin M, Kawamoto S, Kurita H, et al. Retrospective analysis of a 10-year experience of stereotactic radiosurgery for arteriovenous malformations in children and adolescents. J Neurosurg 2002;97:779-84. 9. Karlsson B, Lindquist C, Steiner L. Prediction of obliteration after gamma knife surgery for cerebral arteriovenous malformations. Neurosurgery 1997;40:425-31. 10. Colombo F, Pozza F, Chierego G, Casentini L, De Luca G, Francescon P. Linear accelerator radiosurgery of cerebral arteriovenous malformations: an update. Neurosurgery 1994;34:14-21. 11. Friedman WA, Bova FJ, Mendenhall WM. Linear accelerator radiosurgery for arteriovenous malformations: the relationship of size to outcome. J Neurosurg 1995;82:180-9. 12. Karlsson B, Lax I, Soderman M. Risk for hemorrhage during the 2-year latency period following gamma knife radiosurgery for arteriovenous malformations. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2001;49:1045-51. 13. Karlsson B, Lindquist C, Steiner L. Effect of gamma knife surgery on the risk of rupture prior to AVM obliteration. Minim Invasive Neurosurg 1996;39:21-7. 14. Levy RP, Fabrikant JI, Frankel KA, Phillips MH, Lyman JT. Stereotactic heavycharged-particle Bragg peak radiosurgery for the treatment of intracranial arteriovenous malformations in childhood and adolescence. Neurosurgery 1989;24:841-52. 15. Pollock BE, Flickinger JC, Lunsford LD, Bissonette DJ, Kondziolka D. Hemorrhage risk after stereotactic radiosurgery of cerebral arteriovenous malformations. Neurosurgery 1996;38:652-61. 16. Friedman WA, Blatt DL, Bova FJ, Buatti JM, Mendenhall WM, Kubilis PS. The risk of hemorrhage after radiosurgery for arteriovenous malformations. J Neurosurg 1996;84: 912-9. 17. Fabrikant JI, Levy RP, Steinberg GK, et al. Charged-particle radiosurgery for intracranial vascular malformations. Neurosurg Clin N Am 1992;3:99-139. 18. Ondra SL, Troupp H, George ED, Schwab K. The natural history of symptomatic arteriovenous malformations of the brain: a 24-year follow-up assessment. J Neurosurg 1990;73:387-91. 19. Crawford PM, West CR, Chadwick DW, Shaw MD. Arteriovenous malformations of the brain: natural history in unoperated patients. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry 1986; 49:1-10. 20. Spetzler RF, Martin NA. A proposed grading system for arteriovenous malformations. J Neurosurg 1986;65:476-83. 21. Mast H, Young WL, Koennecke HC, et al. Risk of spontaneous haemorrhage after diagnosis of cerebral arteriovenous malformation. Lancet 1997;350:1065-8. 22. Shin M, Maruyama K, Kurita H, et al. Analysis of nidus obliteration rates after gamma knife surgery for arteriovenous malformations based on long-term follow-up data: the University of Tokyo experience. J Neurosurg 2004;101:18-24. 23. Lindquist C, Steiner L. Stereotactic radiosurgical treatment of arteriovenous malformations. In: Lunsford LD, ed. Modern stereotactic neurosurgery. Boston: Martinus Nijhoff Publishing, 1988:491-505. 24. Crowley J, Hu M. Covariance analysis of heart-transplant survival data. J Am Stat Assoc 1977;72:27-36. 25. Cox DR. Regression models and lifetables. J R Stat Soc [B] 1972;34:187-220. 26. Graf CJ, Perret GE, Torner JC. Bleeding from cerebral arteriovenous malformations as part of their natural history. J Neurosurg 1983;58:331-7. 27. Itoyama Y, Uemura S, Ushio Y, et al. Natural course of unoperated intracranial arteriovenous malformations: study of 50 cases. J Neurosurg 1989;71:805-9. 28. Fults D, Kelly DL Jr. Natural history of arteriovenous malformations of the brain: a clinical study. Neurosurgery 1984;15:658-62. 29. Kaplan EL, Meier P. Nonparametric estimation from incomplete observations. J Am Stat Assoc 1958;53:457-81. 30. Yamamoto M, Jimbo M, Kobayashi M, et al. Long-term results of radiosurgery for arteriovenous malformation: neurodiagnostic imaging and histological studies of angiographically confirmed nidus obliteration. Surg Neurol 1992;37:219-30. 31. Lindqvist M, Karlsson B, Guo WY, Kihlstrom L, Lippitz B, Yamamoto M. Angiographic long-term follow-up data for arteriovenous malformations previously proven to be obliterated after gamma knife radiosurgery. Neurosurgery 2000;46:803-10. 32. Szeifert GT, Salmon I, Baleriaux D, Brotchi J, Levivier M. Immunohistochemical analysis of a cerebral arteriovenous malformation obliterated by radiosurgery and presenting with re-bleeding: case report. Neurol Res 2003;25:718-21. 33. Schneider BF, Eberhard DA, Steiner LE. Histopathology of arteriovenous malformations after gamma knife radiosurgery. J Neurosurg 1997;87:352-7. 34. Phillips T. Early and late effects of radiation on normal tissues. In: Gutin P, Leibel S, Sheline G, eds. Radiation injury to the nervous system. New York: Raven Press, 1991: 37-55. 35. Chang SD, Shuster DL, Steinberg GK, Levy RP, Frankel K. Stereotactic radiosurgery of arteriovenous malformations: pathologic changes in resected tissue. Clin Neuropathol 1997;16:111-6. Copyright 2005 Massachusetts Medical Society. powerpoint slides of journal figures and tables At the Journal s Web site, subscribers can automatically create PowerPoint slides of Journal figures and tables. Click on a figure or table in the full-text version of any article at www.nejm.org, and then click on PowerPoint Slide for Teaching. A PowerPoint slide containing the image, with its title and reference citation, can then be downloaded and saved. 153