A Mathematical Model For out of Control Cells In Cancer Patients In India.

Similar documents
Haryana-06 Delhi-07 Total disabled population Persons 455, , , ,886 13, ,454 Males 273, ,908 68, ,872 8, ,44

GOVERNMENT OF INDIA MINISTRY OF HEALTH AND FAMILY WELFARE DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND FAMILY WELFARE

6.10. NUTRITIONAL STATUS OF TRIBAL POPULATION

7.10. NUTRITIONAL STATUS OF TRIBAL POPULATION

The burden of cancers and their variations across the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study

PREVENTION AND EARLY DETECTION OF CANCER. Will the Minister of HEALTH AND FAMILY WELFARE be pleased to state:

Swiss Re Institute Symposium Insurance at the crossroad of technology development and growth opportunities. 31 October 2017

HEALTHCARE OF ELDERLY PEOPLE. Will the Minister of HEALTH AND FAMILY WELFARE be pleased to state:

India's voice against AIDS. December 2012

CHARACTERISTICS OF SURVEY RESPONDENTS 3

WOMEN ENTERPRENEURSHIP STAUS, CHALLENGES AND PROBLEMS

A I D S E p I D E m I c u p D A t E a S I a ASIA china India

India HIV Estimates-2006

GOVERNMENT OF INDIA MINISTRY OF HEALTH AND FAMILY WELFARE DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND FAMILY WELFARE

The changing patterns of cardiovascular diseases and their risk factors in the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study

SPATIO-TEMPORAL PATTERNS OF SEX RATIO AND ITS DIFFERENTIALS IN WEST BENGAL

DECENTRALISED PLANNING, IMPLEMENATION &MONITORING OF HEALTH CARE IN INDIA

Alcohol Consumption in India: An Analysis of IHDS Data

IODINE DEFICIENCY DISORDERS

Briefing on Intensified Malaria Control Project-3 (IMCP-3)

SUMMARY OF HEALTH AND FAMILY WELFARE PROGRAMME IN INDIA

Supplementary webappendix

DFID India VAW strategy

7.2 VITAMIN A DEFICIENCY

CHAPTER 5 FAMILY PLANNING

WORKING PAPER DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE AND GENDER INEQUALITY: A COMPARATIVE STUDY OF MADHYA PRADESH AND KARNATAKA. C M Lakshmana

Participation of Female Labour Force in Agriculture Sector (A Study with Reference to Chhattisgarh, India)

Global summary of the AIDS epidemic, December 2007

FOREWORD. Sayan Chatterjee. Sayan Chatterjee. 30 November, 2012

Methodology. 1 P a g e

Supplementary appendix

New Infections (all age groups)

BMJ Open ESTIMATE OF HIV PREVALENCE AND NUMBER OF PEOPLE LIVING WITH HIV IN INDIA

Assessment of Progress Made in Health Infrastructure and Manpower through NRHM and Their Impact in Reducing IMR in India

XXVI IUSSP International Population Conference in Marrakech, Morocco, 2009

CHAPTER 3 INDIA: RURAL-URBAN DIFFERENTIALS IN VITAL RATES

CHAPTER 38 ACCIDENT STATISTICS

Ageing in India: The Health Issues

May, 2013 and Updated December, 2013

Gender Inequality in India and Utter Prades

A Call to Action Children The missing face of AIDS

Tuberculosis-HIV epidemic situation and emerging challenges in North India

3. THE NATIONAL SURVEY-

7.11. MICRONUTRIENT DEFICIENCIES

DECLINE OF CHILD SEX RATIO IN INDIAN SENARIO. 8.2 Investigation of Current Trends. 8.3 Interpretation of Data. 8.4 Model and Results

Role of National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme in achieving Gender Equality in Rural India

International Journal of MCH and AIDS (2013), Volume 2, Issue 1, 2013, Pages Available online at

The predominance of female deficiency has been a

RESEARCH ARTICLE. Projection of Burden of Cancer Mortality for India, Neevan DR DSouza 1, NS Murthy 2 *, RY Aras 1. Abstract.

Update on Polio Eradication in the World Health Organization South-East Asia Region, 2013

TB-HIV in the South-East Asia Region

Hanimi Reddy Modugu 1*, Manish Kumar 2, Ashok Kumar 3 and Christopher Millett 4

WOMEN EMPOWERMENT THROUGH EDUCATION

in chapter 2, for regulation 2.1 relating to DAIRY PRODUCTS AND ANALOGUES, the following shall be substituted, namely:-

Meta Gene 2 (2014) Contents lists available at ScienceDirect. Meta Gene

Rural Healthcare Infrastructural Disparities in India: a Critical Analysis of Availability and Accessibility

Transition in Age Pattern of Marital Fertility in India:

DECEMBER India's voice against AIDS. # 25 Years of India's AIDS Control Programme

MAPPING LIFE SCIENCES RESEARCH OF INDIA

Does Lifestyle Matters in Prevalence of Tuberculosis: Evidence from India

Exploring the socioeconomic, demographic and behavioral correlates of gender disparities in HIV testing in India

Chapter 2 Changing Calorie Consumption and Dietary Patterns

HIV Sentinel Surveillance A Technical Brief

Measuring Level and Pattern of Infertility and Childlessness in India

Reaching the goals in the. 12th plan period. Iodine Deficiency Disorders: NAMS - NFI SYMPOSIUM on MICRONUTRIENT DEFICIENCIES

Evaluation of Malnutrition in India with Reference to its Poverty

The State of Reproductive Health Care in India

CHAPTER TWO: TRENDS IN FAMILY PLANNING USE AND PUBLIC SECTOR OUTLAY IN INDIA

India s Contribution in Rolling out Newer and Rapid Diagnostics towards PMDT Scale-up

Bihar State AIDS Control Society, Patna 17 th August 2016

Interstate Disparity of Infant Mortality rates & Its Determinants in India: Evidence from Cross Sectional Data in

International Journal of Health Sciences and Research ISSN:

Differentials in the Utilization of Antenatal Care Services in EAG states of India

ISSN: (Online) RESEARCH REVIEW International Journal of Multidisciplinary

Rivu Basu 1, Abhishek Paul 2, Suresh Chandra Malick 2, Somdipta Bhattacharya

Millennium Development Goals India Country Report 2014

India with its burgeoning population and changes

South Asia: Action Plans, future directions and needs

Summary of Family Welfare Programe in India

Determinants of Undernutrition in Rural India *

Need and strategy for sentinel surveillance for drug resistance in leprosy in India

India - National Family Health Survey

GOVERNMENT OF INDIA MINISTRY OF HEALTH AND FAMILY WELFARE DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND FAMILY WELFARE

IJCISS Vol.2 Issue-09, (September, 2015) ISSN: International Journal in Commerce, IT & Social Sciences (Impact Factor: 2.

Declining Child Sex Ratio of India: A State Wise Profililing

NUTRITION MONITORING AND SURVIELLANCE

Genus. Multidimensional poverty, household environment and short-term morbidity in India. Bidyadhar Dehury 1* and Sanjay K.

GENDER DISPARITY IN EDUCATION SECTOR IN INDIA: A QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS

Flour Fortification: Millers and Governments Working Together to Reduce Vitamin and Mineral Deficiencies. Annoek van den Wijngaart 10 October 2012

A District Level Investigation of Family Planning Program in Rural India: Stagnant or Progressive?

CHAPTER 38 ACCIDENT STATISTICS

Gender Inequality in Terms of Health and Nutrition in India: Evidence from National Family Health Survey-3

A FOCUS ON CHILDREN ANDHRA PRADESH

Utilization of Maternal Health Care Services in India: Household Economy vs. Political Economy

ASSESSING INDIA S PROGRESS IN ACHIEVING THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS: KEY DRIVERS OF INTER-STATE VARIATIONS

The burden of chronic respiratory diseases and their heterogeneity across the states of India: the Global Burden of Disease Study

REDUCING ADULT MORTALITY WORLDWIDE: THE NEXT 40 YEARS

Call for Action: Expanding cancer care in India. July, 2015

Indian J. Prev. Soc. Med. Vol. 41 No.1& 2, 2010

National AIDS Control Organisation Ministry of Health and Family Welfare Government of India

Transcription:

International Journal of Engineering Science Inention (IJESI) ISSN (Online): 319 6734, ISSN (Print): 319 676 Volume 7 Issue 1 January 018 PP. 01-08 A Mathematical Model For out of Control Cells In Cancer Patients In India. Rajan K Sharma 1, D.Kandu, Pradeep Kumar Singh 3 1 (Department of Mathematics, PSIT-Kanpur, U.P-India) (Department of Mathematics, MMMUT Gorakhpur, U.P-India) 3 ( Department of Mathematics, PSIT- Kanpur, U.P-India) Corresponding Author: Rajan K Sharma Abstract: It has been found that 8 to 9 million cancer patients are diagnosed and around 4.8 million patients died from cancer in eery year all oer the world. In India, hospital based cancer registration reports that 8 lakes cancer patients approx and 3.75 lakes patients died by cancer eery year approx. The most important think is that in India there are 5.56 lakes patients killed in year 010. In India from census It has been obsered that in states the mortality rate in Muslim is higher compare to Hindus in the case of all cancers disease beside lier cancer. Out of these 8 lakes cancer patients there are.3 lakes cancers are tobacco related. Now cancer become a great challenge for mankind. The basic reason is that poor life condition of low income peoples increased due to least diagnosis and their treatments. In India there are different types of cancer diseases like lier, lungs, breast, rectus, stomach, cerix, protest, skins, blood and mouth etc. In aboe references an attempt has been made to translate a real world problems of cancer patients by mathematical modelling in which the growth of out of control cells is discussed assuming that the mortality depends on increasing density of cancer cells in the cancer patients and concentration of out of control cells growth. Keywords: Cell growth, density population,life condition, mortality, organ system. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------- Date of Submission: -01-018 Date of acceptance: 05-0-018 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------- I. Introduction The disease cancer (malignant neoplasm) is the most fatal, a huge of more than hundred disease due to uncontrolled cell growth continuously in organs. In oer all world there are different types of cancer. All cancers start due to abnormal cell increasing at high rate and their symptoms is illness and death. When in a part of body cells are start to grow out of control then cancer is start.. The deelopment of cancer cells growth in organs is distinct from normal cell growth. Cancer cells is rapidly to grow and generate as new, where abnormal cells zigzag due to the DNA (deoxy ribonucleic acid) damaged in human organs. In a normal cell, when DNA gets damaged the cell either repairs the damage or the cell dies. In cancer cells, the damaged DNA is not repaired, the cell goes as making new cell that body does not need.(i.e.,[1] ) Cancer cells often trael to other parts of the body where they begin to grow and form new tumors. This happens when the cancer cells get into the body blood stream or lymph essels. The treatments of cancer is difficult to cure is that it can spread to a different part of the body from where it started. The cancer that grows where it first started in the body is called the primary cancer. The place a cancer spreads to and the starts growing is called the secondary cancer or metastasis (cancer that has spread to another part of the body is called metastatic cancer. There are three main ways a cancer spread (i) The cancer grows directly in to nearby body tissues.(ii) by blood circulation (iii) Through the lymphatic system. The symptom of cancer depend upon its type and that s area coered by cancer disease there are different symptoms like diarrhea, constipation, cough, short of breathing and blood in stool. There are different tests for its recognize MRI, CT Scan, CBC test, Biopsy. From India and its neighborhood countries approx 43000 newly cancer patients come for diagnosis. Nearly 65% patients obtain primary treatment. Approx 1000 patients join continuously medical treatment whereas 6300 found major operations yearly and 6000 patients found their treatment with radiotherapy and chemotherapy.cancer is unknown cell growth.cancer cells increases by accelerating cells diision and preents the growth of normal cell in the system so normal cells die. Due to growth of cancer cells it conerts in to tumor and due to its increment it traels and generates new tumor in related part.(i.e.,[]) 1 Page

Fatigue, seere, weight loss, coughing shortness of breah diarrhea, constipation blood in the stool,an alter of metabolism, blood cloth, weakness and dizzinest and sores that don t heal. There are arious different methods of treatment for cancer, by surgery, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, biological therapy or hormone therapy, the aim is to kill the areas of cancer cells before they grow big enough to be seen as scan. During these therapy there are many side effects like tireess, reaction in skin such as rash or reess and loss of appetite, lowering of the WBC count loss of normal growth control. There are many types of cancers.cancer can deelop in almost any organ or tissue, such as lung, colon, breast, skin, bones or nere tissue(i.e.,[3]) II. Cancer Patients In India: In India there are many cancer patients their data from year 004-010 hae represented in below table-(a) Table(a) Years No. of cancer patients Male Female 004 819354 390809 48545 005 846635 4131 43343 006 863575 4310 44165 007 907838 49874 477954 008 84617 447399 498773 009 9683 45484 507990 010 979786 46408 517378 Fig.(a) No. of cancer patients in India in different years (ICMR,006-009) Estimated Incidence cancer cases in India-statewise( 011-014)-both: States 011 01 013 014 Jammu & Kashmir 10688 1105 1148 11815 Himachal Pradesh 5836 5966 6097 630 Punjab 3506 4006 451 506 Chandigarh 893 915 937 960 Uttaranchal 8633 8899 9173 9455 Haryana 1539 1 71 3336 Page

Delhi 1404 14517 14836 15160 Rajasthan 5846 60065 61743 63459 Uttar Pradesh 170013 175404 180945 186638 Bihar 88563 9171 94981 98346 Sikkim 490 513 539 571 Arunachal Pradesh 1108 1134 1160 1187 Nagaland 1579 1595 161 1630 Manipur 149 119 09 066 Mizoram 871 885 900 914 Tripura 944 3036 3141 359 Meghalaya 367 413 460 507 Assam 4846 5119 5391 5663 West Bengal 77806 79915 8087 8435 Jharkhand 8135 9067 3006 3101 Odisha 35736 36599 37478 38375 Chattisgarh 1835 569 335 4105 Madhya Pradesh 61883 63814 65797 67831 Gujarat 51415 590 54469 56061 Daman & Diu 09 3 59 88 Dadra & Nagar Haeli 93 310 38 349 Maharashtra 95508 97674 99871 10101 Andhra Pradesh 7395 74900 77543 80334 Karnataka 5099 53476 54886 56330 Goa 140 166 193 131 Lakshadweep 55 58 60 63 Kerala 8583 9434 3037 31400 Tamil Nadu 6166 6049 6830 63609 Pondicherry 1069 1114 1160 108 Andaman & Nicobar Islands 31 36 331 335 Total 108503 105704 1086783 111769 Source ICMR, Based on cancer incidence report (009-011) and the Report on Time Trends in Cancer incidence Rates (198-010). Estimated mortality cancer cases in India-statewise (011-014)-both sexes: States 011 01 013 014 Jammu & Kashmir 4703 4863 508 5198 Himachal Pradesh 568 65 683 741 Punjab 10343 10563 10785 11011 Chandigarh 393 403 413 43 Uttaranchal 3798 3916 4037 4160 Haryana 9477 9734 9998 1068 Delhi 650 6387 659 6670 Rajasthan 5707 649 7168 79 Uttar Pradesh 74806 77178 79616 811 Bihar 38968 40357 4179 437 Sikkim 16 6 37 51 Arunachal Pradesh 487 499 510 5 Nagaland 695 70 709 717 Manipur 946 93 90 909 Mizoram 383 389 396 40 Tripura 195 1336 138 1434 Meghalaya 1041 106 108 1103 Assam 1093 1105 1117 119 West Bengal 3435 35163 36118 37103 Jharkhand 1380 1790 1311 13645 Odisha 1574 16103 16490 16885 Chattisgarh 9607 9930 1063 10606 Madhya Pradesh 79 8078 8951 9846 Gujarat 63 385 3966 4667 Daman & Diu 9 10 114 17 Dadra & Nagar Haeli 19 136 144 153 Maharashtra 403 4976 43943 4494 Andhra Pradesh 31854 3956 34119 35347 Karnataka 93 359 4150 4785 Goa 546 557 569 581 Lakshadweep 4 5 7 8 Kerala 1576 1951 13363 13816 Tamil Nadu 6957 730 7645 7988 3 Page

Pondicherry 470 490 510 53 Andaman & Nicobar Islands 141 143 145 148 Total 45541 465169 478185 491597 Source-ICMR based on Cancer incidence cases and pooled M/I ratio of Mumbai data(009-011) report. In table (b) the data gien by the national of cancer registry program (i.e.,[4] ) of the Indian council of medical research hae been made to find out the total number of cancer patients in fie metro cities in India.The rate of increase of cancer patients due to gastric in Chennai (i.e.,[5] ) is low and Delhi is ery high, due to distinct life style by different leel of food, population and less nutrition. Table (b) City Total patients Male Female Bhopal 1155 701 554 Chennai 484 96 85 Mumbai 8505 4170 5335 Delhi 1390 6815 7105 Bangalore 550 6 998 Fig (b): Projection of cancer incidence in metropolitan cities of India(i.e.,.[6]). In Table I there are many types of cancers which can generates in any organs or tissue, in the form of breast, skin, bones, nure tissue ect., its reason that the deelopment of uncontrolled growth of abnormal cells in the body. The top fie types of cancer in man and women for 47.% of all cancers these cancer preented at early stage before fatal Man Table (c ) Women Lip, Oral caity Breast Lung Cerix Stomach Colorectum Colorectum Oary Pharynx Lip, Oral caity Source: National Cancer Registry Programme. In table(d) cancer among women which is estimated No. of Gynaecological related cancers by years in India (010-015).By Globocan 01 the mortality rate in women is ery high. Out of total registered women 13000, 144937 and 77003 for cerical, breast and oral respectiely wheneer 67500, 7058 and 5067 has died.(i.e.,[7,8] ). 4 Page

Table (d) Site of cancer In year 010 In Year 015 agina 38 439 cerix 10381 113138 corpusuteri 14848 16181 oary 3048 3318 pleacenta 484 57 Gynaecological cancer 153850 167658 breast 90659 10614 Fig3: Estimated no. of Gynaecological related cancers by years in India (010-015) Fig 4: Comparison of cancer; Indian scenario with USA [Fenley et al, 001].(i.e.,[9]). III. Cancer Patients Growth Model: The study of growth of cancer cells in cancer patients is a great interest in population dynamics. In spite of good adancement for diagnosis and treatment, cancer is still a big challenge to our society.(i.e.,[10] ). The simplest exponential growth model for human as well as for cancer cells in cancer patients due (i.e.,[11] ). as un, t 0 Where n(t) is the number of patients in the population at some time t and u 0is specific growth rate of the population.this model is alid only in unlimited enironment. The population density first increases, but at higher density the rate of increase decreases. Assuming this (i.e.,[1] ) modified the aboe patients growth model is un n, t 0 5 Page

Where 0 reflects the degree to degree to which density decreases the rate of increase of cancer cells in patients. In certain cancer patients out of control cell are produced by DNA damaged which is not repair as further and form new cells which become a limiting factor to their further growth by increasing rapidly the mortality rate of organism. In the present problem, we will deelop the cancer patient growth model (i.e.,[13] ) under out of control cells by following assumption that: (i) Mortality depends on increasing density of out of control cells. (ii) There is rapid decreases in the number of DNA cells in cancer patients due to production of new cancer cells. IV. Formulation of The Model And Its Solution Let n(t)=total number of DNA(normal cells) at some time t. in a cancer patient. The change in the number, is equal to different of generation of birth rate of new cells and their death rate. Assuming that mortality rate (i.e.,[14] ). is influenced by two factors (i) increasing density of cancer cells (ii) increasing concentration of new DNA produces by cancer cell. The cancer cells growth model of cancer patients can be gien as un n kcn Where k is a positie constant and where the term un n refers to logistic growth rate of the cancer cells in patients and c denotes the concentration of new out of control cells. It is assumed that mortality dependent linearly on the concentration c.we further suppose that the new cancer cells is produced at a constant rate k dc per organism. Then kn Hence we get t t t un n kn n1 ( s) ds n1 ( s) ds... nr ( s) ds...(i) 0 0 0 where n s) n ( s)... nr ( s) n( ) (say) 1( s t r un n kn 0 n( s) ds This integro-differential equation can be soled for n(t) by special way as follows We put t y( t) n( s) ds, then eq. 1) 0 y" uy' ( y') kyy y Multiplying by e we hae d y d e y' ' uy' ( y' ) Now integrating between limit r ky' ( y ) r ( reduces to second order differential equation as 0 to t we hae y '' y u k k r u k e y n(0) e y since y( 0) 0 & y'(0) n(0) y u k k r u k y It gies n( t) n(0) e y e u k k r u k y y n(0) e () e y 6 Page

Here dy t A Mathematical Model For Out Of Control Cells In Cancer Patients In India. f (y) (say) f (y) y dy f ( y 0 ) Equation ( ) gies the no. of cancer cells in cancer patient at time t. V. Result And Discussion We may now analyze the behaior of cure n(t) obtaining and finding maximum alue of n (t). from ( ),on differentiation we get dy f '( y) f '( y) n( t) k ry k ry r1 r1 y u k y ( ) e e y u n(0) k n(0) yn( t) r1 k y ry e n ( t) (3) Hence it follows that u (i) If n( 0),then is always negatie and number of cancer cells steady decreases to zero. u u (ii) If n( 0) then ( n(0) 0 t0 So that the number of cancer cells initially increases and reaches a maximum when 0 which gies y n max max 1 log k u n(0) u k u k k u n(0) log u k then equation ( ) implies After this the number of cancer cells decreases and tends to zero. Thus we conclude that in both the cases u u (i) n( 0) and (ii) n( 0) the number of cancer patients tends to zero that is the cancer cells in cancer patients tends to extinction. Hence from aboe analysis we hae seen that cancer is fatal disease where cancer cells growth out of control and destroy normal cells as DNA. With the adancement of medicinal- techno society we need to awareness about it as earlier stage it recognize and hae to find proper medicinal treatment.india is a deeloping country set a dynamic presence oer all of the world We should awareness the people by different goernmental schemes and by NGO s in rural areas and poor family in urban areas who lie not in good economic condition and there is a need to adopt good nutrition and good conduct to change the life style. u 7 Page

References Journal Papers: [1]. Nystroem T, Kjelleberg S Role of protein synthesis in the cell diision. J. Gen. Microbiol., 35: 1989, 1599-1606 []. Somdatta P,Baridalyne nawareness of breast cancer in women of an urban unsettlement colony. Indian J cancer 45, 008,149-153, [3]. Sumathi B,et alrisk factor for gastric cancer in south India. Singapour Med J 50, 009,147-150, [4]. Sarnath D, Khanna A. Current Status of Cancer Burden: Global and Indian Scenario, Biomedical Res J.,1(1): 014,1-5. [5]. Fatemeh M at el., Breast cancer segmentation in digital mammograms based on harmony search optimization. Journal TJEAS:4- (04),014, 477-484, [6]. Indrapriadharshini, Madankumar PD, Karthikeyan GR.Oral health-related quality of life in patients treated for oral malignancy at Kanchipuram district, India: a cros-section study. Indian j cancer, 54, 01711-5. [7]. Kotnis A at el Genotype, phenotype and cancer: Role of low penetrance genes and enironment in tumor susceptibility. J Biosci 30, 93-10 [8]. Marimuthu P et al., Projection of cancer incidence in fie cities and cancer mortality in India. Indian J Cancer 45, l.45, (1), 008,4-7. Books: [9]. Yang K, John D, Nagy J, Elser J Biological stoichiometry of Tumor Dynamics: Mathematical Models and Analysis, Discrete Continuous Dynamical Systems-Series B, 4 (1), (004), 1-40. [10]. Malthus, T.R., An Essay on the principles of population, st. paul s London,1798. [11]. Pearl,R.,The Biology of population Growth, Knof. New York,1975. [1]. Kapur JN). Mathematical models in biology and medicine. Eastwest press Pt. Ltd (India), 1985. Proceedings Papers: [13]. Time trend in cancer incidence rates,198-005,national cancer registry programme,icmr,009. [14]. Fenley J, Bray F, Pisani d Me (001) world Health organization. Globocan 000; Cancer incidence, mortality and prealence world wide. Lyon France: IARC. International Journal of Engineering Science Inention (IJESI) is UGC approed Journal with Sl. No. 38, Journal no. 4330. Rajan K Sharma. A Mathematical Model For out of Control Cells In Cancer Patients In India. International Journal of Engineering Science Inention (IJESI), ol. 07, no. 01, 018, pp. 01 08. 8 Page