Empowered lives. Resilient Nations. MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS (MDGs) PROVINCIAL PROFILE / NORTHERN PROVINCE / 2013
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MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS (MDGs) PROVINCIAL PROFILE / NORTHERN PROVINCE / 2013 1
Northern Province Status at a Glance MDG 1: Eradicate Extreme Poverty and Hunger TARGET: Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people living in extreme poverty Indicator Current Data * 2015 Target Will target be achieved under the present trend Proportion of population living in extreme poverty (%) 55.8 1 39 2 Significant reforms and investments needed Poverty gap ratio 37.2 3 31.1** Significant reforms and investments needed Gini coefficient 0.43 4 0.34** Significant reforms and investments needed TARGET: Achieve full and productive employment and decent work for all, including women and young people Employment to population ratio 93.7 5 TARGET: Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people who suffer from hunger Prevalence of underweight children under five years of age (%) 15.9 6 17.7 7 Yes MDG 2: Achieve Universal Primary Education TARGET: Ensure that by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary schooling Primary school net enrolment ratio (%) 93.2 8 100** Acceleration Required Pupils reaching Grade 7 81.9 9 100** Significant reforms and investments needed Literacy rates: 15-24-year-olds (%) 82.2 10 100** Significant reforms and investments needed MDG 3: Promote Gender Equality TARGET: Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education, preferably by 2005, and in all levels of education no later than 2015 Ratio of girls to boys in primary education 0.94 11 1** Acceleration Required Ratio of girls to boys in secondary education 0.69 12 1** Significant reforms and investments needed MDG 4: Reduce Child Mortality TARGET: Reduce by two-thirds, between 1990 and 2015, the under-five mortality rate U-5 mortality rate (deaths per 1,000 live births) 145 13 81 14 Significant reforms and investments needed Infant mortality rate (deaths per 1,000 live births) 82 15 49 16 Significant reforms and investments needed One-year-olds immunized against measles (%) 85 17 100** Significant reforms and investments needed 2
MDG 5:Improve maternal health TARGET: Reduce by three-quarters, between 1990 and 2015, the maternal mortality ratio Indicator Current Data * 2015 Target Will target be achieved under the present trend Maternal mortality ratio (deaths per 100,000 live births) 475 18 162.3** Significant reforms and investments needed Proportion of births attended by skilled health personnel (%) 29.4 19 - MDG 6: Combat HIV&AIDS, Malaria and other major diseases TARGET: Have halted, by 2015, and begun to reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS HIV prevalence rate (%) 6.8 20 <15.6** Yes Proportion of 15-24 year old females with comprehensive, correct knowledge of HIV/AIDS (%) 25.0 21 Proportion of 15-24 year old males with comprehensive, correct knowledge of HIV/AIDS (%) 28.9 22 Ratio of school attendance of orphans to non-orphans (10-14 year olds) 1.0 23 1** Yes TARGET: Have halted, by 2015, and begun to reverse, the incidence of malaria and other major diseases New malaria cases per 1,000 population 290 24 255** Significant reforms and investments needed Malaria fatality rate per 1,000 population 27 25 11** Significant reforms and investments needed Households with ITNs (%) 61.2 26 MDG 7: Ensure environmental sustainability TARGET: Halve, by 2015, the proportion of the population without sustainable access to safe drinking water and basic sanitation Proportion of population without access to an improved water source (%) 71.5 27 25.5** Significant reforms and investments needed Proportion of population without access to improved sanitation facilities (%) 86.2 28 13** Significant reforms and investments needed 3
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Northern Provincial Profile Overview Population Northern province covers a total land surface area of 77,650 1 km 2 and the province shares borders with Tanzania and the Democratic Republic of Congo. Within the country, the province shares provincial boundaries with Luapula and Muchinga provinces. The province consists of eight (08) districts namely; Chilubi, Kaputa, Kasama and Luwingu and Mbala, Mporokoso, Mpulungu and Mungwi. Kasama is the provincial capital and semiurbanised. The province s population is estimated at 1,105,824 (see figure 1). The population increased by 36.6% between the 2000 and 2010 censuses. According to the 2010 census, males make up 49.5% (546,851) of the provincial population whilst females account for 50.5% (558,973). From the total population, 81.7% live in rural areas whilst 18.3% live in urban areas of the province. The average population growth rate for the province (3.2%) makes it the second fastest growing province in the country. 5
Figure 1: Population growth and change in population density, Northern province 1969-2010 1,105,824 Growth rate Population Density 14.2 545,096 674,750 855,177 809,400 3.7 2.0% 2.0% 4.6 2.4% 5.8 3.1% 8.5 3.2% 1969 1980 1990 2000 2010 1969 1980 1990 2000 2010 Source: CSO, Census of population and housing1990, 2000, and 2010, CSO, Zambia In terms of population growth at district level, Luwingu district has the fastest population growth rate of 4.2%, followed by Mpulungu 3.8%, Kaputa 3.2%, while Mbala and Kasama have a population growth rate of 3.1% respectively. Mporokoso has a population growth rate of 2.9% similar to Mungwi. Among all the districts in the province, Chilubi has the lowest population growth rate of 2.0% per annum in the province (see table 1). Table 1: Population by district, Northern 2000 and 2010 Northern Province Districts Population 2000 Population 2010 Population growth rate (2000-2010) Chilubi 66,338 81,248 2.0 Kaputa 87,233 119,514 3.2 Kasama 170,929 231,824 3.1 Luwingu 80,758 122,136 4.2 Mbala 149,634 203,129 3.1 Mporokoso 73,929 98,842 2.9 Mpulungu 67,602 98,073 3.8 Mungwi 112,977 151,058 2.9 Northern Province 809,400 1,105,824 3.2 Source: CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Population Summary Report, CSO, Zambia 6
Northern province has a population density of 14.2 2 persons per km 2 from an estimated 10.5 persons per km 2 in 2000. At district level, Mbala is the most densely populated district in the province (24.3 persons per km 2 ) followed by Kasama (21.5 persons per km 2 ), Chilubi (17.5 persons per km 2 ), Mungwi (15.5 persons per km 2 ) and Luwingu (13.7 persons per km 2 ). However, Mporokoso district has the lowest population density of 8.2 persons per km 2 in the province (see table 2). The population age structure for the province shows that 48.7% are below 15 years; among those 49.6% live in rural areas while 44.5% live in urban areas. The youth population 15-24 years account for 19.2% of the provincial population, among those 18.4% live in rural areas whilst 22.5% live in urban areas. Table 2: Population density by district, Northern 2010 Districts Land size (km 2) Population Person per km 2 Chilubi 4,648 81,248 17.5 Kaputa 13,004 119,514 9.2 Kasama 10,788 231,824 21.5 Luwingu 8,892 122,136 13.7 Mbala 8,339 203,129 24.3 Mporokoso 12,043 98,842 8.2 Mpulungu 10,170 98,073 9.6 Mungwi 9,766 151,058 15.5 Northern Province 77,650 1,105,824 14.2 Source: CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Population Summary Report, CSO, Zambia 7
Figure 2: Population by rural and urban and age group, Northern 2010 Rural Urban 903,208 448,007 427,825 90,119 166,597 45,622 108,084 27,376 4,413 202,616 Below 15yrs 15-24 yrs 15-64 yrs 65 + yrs Northern Province Statistics adapted from: CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Population Summary Report, CSO, Zambia The province has a total of 220,561 households, an increase of 30.4% from 169,058 households in the 2000 census. Of the 220,561 households, 79.4% (175,037) are male headed while females head 20.6% (45,524) of households. The average household size for the province is 5.0 persons. Figure 3: Number of households and sex of head of household, Northern 2010 220,561 175,037 45,524 Total Male Female Source: CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Population Summary Report, CSO, Zambia 8
The MDGs in Northern Province
MDG 1: Eradicate Extreme Poverty and Hunger Halve between 1990 and 2015 the proportion of people living in extreme poverty Provincial Targets Indicator Target Current data Proportion of population living in extreme poverty (%) 39 55.8 Poverty gap ratio 31.1 37.2 Gini coefficient 0.34 0.43 Table 3: Incidence and levels of poverty, Northern 2010 Indicator Percentage Poverty incidence 75.0% Extremely poor 55.8% Moderately poor 19.2% Source: CSO, LCMS 2010 The incidence of poverty has declined from 78.5% in 2006 to 75% in 2010 representing a decline of 3.5%. The province registered a decline in the incidence of extreme poverty between 2006 and 2010. Extreme poverty declined from 57.5% in 2006 to 55.8% in 2010 representing a decline of 1.7%. At the same time, the proportion of the population moderately poor has declined from 21% in 2006 to 19.2% in 2010. The incidence of poverty is generally higher in rural than urban areas and varies among households. Female headed households are generally the worst affected. Poverty is also highest among those with lower education, the unemployed and non-farming communities. The provinces 31.5% households are very poor while 14.0% are non-poor. The poverty gap ratio in the province has declined from 41.6% in 2006 to 37.2% in 2010. 11
Achieve full and productive employment and decent work for all, including women and young people Provincial Targets Indicator Target Current data Employment to population ratio *** 93.7 Figure 4: Labour force participation rate, formal and informal employment, Northern 2012 93.5% 79.8% 75.7% 3.4% 6.5% 2.9% Labour force growth rate Labour force participation rate Formal sector employment Informal sector employment Agriculture informal employment Unemployment rate Statistics adapted from: CSO (2012) Preliminary Results of the 2012 Labour Force Survey, CSO, Zambia Northern province has an average annual labour force growth rate of 3.4% 3. According to the labour force survey 2012, Northern province labour force participation rate is 79.8%, a 6.4% decline from 86.2% in 2008. In terms of employment by sector, the majority 93.5% depend on the informal sector for employment while the remaining 6.5% 4 are engaged in the formal sector. Distribution of employment by sector indicates that of the population engaged in the informal sector, 75.7% are engaged in agriculture while 24.3% 5 depend on nonagriculture activities for livelihoods. Additionally, statistics show that agriculture as a percentage of formal sector employment account for 11.7% employment while 88.3% is engaged in nonagriculture for livelihoods. Unemployment rate for the province stand at 2.9%, and has remained unchanged (2.9%) since 2008. Looking at sex differentials, the proportion of the unemployed is higher among females 3.1% than males 2.7%. Access to water provides the rural communities with smallscale farming opportunities, which is a major source of livelihoods and income in addition to fishing and auxiliary services. 12
Halve between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people who suffer from hunger Provincial Targets Indicator Target Current data Prevalence of underweight children under-five years of age (%) 17.7 15.9 Figure 5: Child health and malnutrition levels, Northern 2006 and 2010 2006 2010 64.5% 52.5% 23.1% 15.9% 5.3% 7.6% Underweight Stunting Wasting Statistics adapted from: CSO (2010) Living Conditions Monitoring Survey Report 2006-2010, CSO, Zambia In terms of child health, Northern province experiences similar child health problems like other provinces such as stunting, underweight and malnutrition exacerbated by insufficient dietary intake. The incidence of underweight among children below the age of five has dropped from 23.1% in 2006 to 15.9% in 2010. The incidence of stunting has also declined by 12% from 64.5% in 2006 to 52.5% in 2010. Wasting has however remained stubbornly high in the province and has increased by 2.3% from 5.3% in 2006 to 7.6% in 2010. Inadequate dietary intake among children underfive is the main cause of child underweight although other factors such as poor and intermittent child feeding contributed to the problem. The prevalence of underweight for children under-five is exacerbated by poverty and inadequate dietary intake and is highest among the extremely poor households. Incidences of underweight are also prevalent among households with family size of 5 to 6 members and among mothers that have not completed/attained primary education. 13
MDG 2: Achieve Universal Primary Education Ensure that by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary schooling Provincial Targets Indicator Target Current data Primary school enrolment ratio (%) 100 93.2 Pupils reaching grade seven (7) 100 81.9 Literacy rates (15-24 years old (%) 100 82.2 Northern province has made steady progress in primary school enrolment and literacy rates. The literacy rate among people five and above in the province is 61.0%. Youth literacy was estimated at 82.2% in 2010 and the literacy rate for adult population 15 years and older was 75.8%. The primary school net enrolment ratio is estimated at 93.2% whereas 81.9% of pupils are estimated to reach grade seven (7) in the province. Figure 6: Literacy levels by age group, Northern 2010 82.2% 61% 75.8% 5+ years 15-24 yrs 15+ yrs (adults) Statistics adapted from: CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Analytical Report, CSO, Zambia vol. 11 15
Primary school attendance is estimated at 30.9% for those aged 5 years and older and 72.3% for the age group 7 to 13 years. Gross primary school attendance stands at 91.2% while the net primary school attendance is 66.3%, suggesting a significant number of learners attending primary school are above the official age group. On average, it is estimated that 50.0% of the population (25 years and older) have completed primary school in the province. As regards secondary education, gross attendance in the province was 51.3% in 2010 while the net attendance rate was 32.6%. Only 20.8% of the population 25 years and older are estimated to have completed secondary education and 4.8% tertiary education. Figure 7: School attendance, primary and secondary and gender parity index, Northern 2010 Primary Secondary 51.3% 91.2% 72.3% 66.3% 32.6% 30.9% 50% 20.8% 0.94% 0.69% 5+ yrs 7-13 yrs Gross primary school attendance Net primary school attendance Population completed primary school Gender parity index Gender parity index Population completed secondary school Net secondary school attendance Gross secondary school attendance Statistics adapted from: CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Analytical Report, CSO, Zambia vol. 11 17
MDG 3: Promote Gender Equality Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education, preferably by 2005, and in all levels of education no later than 2015 Provincial Targets Indicator Target Current data Ratio of boys to girls in primary school 1.00 0.94 Ratio of boys to girls in secondary school 1.00 0.69 The gender parity index of the province, estimated at 0.94 shows that there are more boys than girls in primary education in the province. It is worth noting that Northern province gender parity index is close to 1 and that the province is likely to attain gender parity in primary education. The secondary school gender parity index, at 0.69, however reveals that there are significant numbers of women who are not progressing to secondary school. Unequal access to education is generally driven by inequality associated with access to income and varies among households. Poor households are three to four times less likely to meet the cost of education for both secondary and tertiary levels. The statistics also suggest that the practice, especially in most rural communities, of sending the boy child to school in preference to the girl child contributes to this inequality. This is in addition to other factors such as early girl child pregnancies and early marriages. A girl child in rural communities in Zambia is three to four times more likely to have never attended school than a boy child. 19
MDG 4: Reduce Child Mortality Reduce by two-thirds, between 1990 and 2015, the under-five mortality Provincial Targets Indicator Target Current data Under-5 mortality rate (deaths per 1000 live births) 81 145 Infant mortality Rate (deaths per 1000 live births) 49 82 One year old immunised against measles (%) 100 85 Trends for the province show a significant drop in both child and under-five mortality. For example, in the year 2000, child mortality was 101deaths per 1000 live births. This dropped to 63 deaths per 1000 live births in 2010. Additionally, the incidence of under-five mortality has reduced by 75 deaths per 1000 from 220 deaths per 1000 live births in 2000 to 145 deaths per 1000 live births in 2010. The drop may be attributed to an increase in health facilities in the province, increased uptake of family planning and increased number of births delivered within hospital settings. However, inequalities with regard to access to health care services still exist in rural communities. Figure 8: Infant, child and under-five mortality, Northern 2010 220 61.5 137.6 76.2 101 130 63 145 82 Zambia 2010 Northern 2000 Northern 2010 Child Mortality Under-Five Mortality Infant Mortality Rate Statistics adapted from: CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Analytical Report, CSO, Zambia vol. 21
Infant mortality has also declined from 130 deaths per 1000 live births in 2000 to 82 deaths per 1000 live births in 2010. However, it is unlikely that Northern province will meet its MDG target to reduce infant mortality to 49 deaths per 1000 live births by 2015. Similarly, the target of reducing under-five mortality to less than 81 deaths per 1,000 live births is unlikely to be met by 2015. The province however is doing well in terms of child immunization coverage which was estimated at 86% in 2008, but dropped to 85% in 2009 and 2010 respectively. Figure 9: Child immunisation coverage, Northern 2008-2010 86% 85% 85% 2008 2009 2010 Statistics adapted from: Ministry of Health, Zambia (2010) Annual Health Statistical Bulletin 2010, Ministry of Health, Zambia 23
MDG 5: Improve Maternal Health Reduce by three quarters, between 1990 and 2015, the maternal mortality ratio Provincial Targets Indicator Target Current data Maternal mortality ratio (deaths per 100,000 live births) 162.3 475 Proportion of births attended by skilled personnel *** 29.4 Table 4: Antenatal coverage and number of antenatal visit among pregnant women, Northern 2008 2010 Antenatal Care 2008 2009 2010 Antenatal Coverage 98 96 96 Antenatal visits 2.7 2.5 2.5 Source: Ministry of Health, Zambia (2010) Annual Health Statistical Bulletin 2010, Ministry of Health, Zambia Among the 10 provinces, Northern is the fourth province with the highest maternal mortality ratio. Currently, the maternal mortality ratio is 475 6 deaths per 100,000 live births, almost three times the MDG national target of 162.3 deaths per 100,000 live births. One of the major causes is the high incidence of unsupervised deliveries. According to the Ministry of Health 2010 annual statistical bulletin, 46% of all deliveries were unsupervised, while traditional birth attendants attended to 23% deliveries and institutional deliveries accounted for 31% total deliveries in the province. As of 2010, the province had a total of 55 doctors, 128 clinical officers and 523 nurses supported by 205 midwives. The health worker ratio in the province also remains low at 59 health workers per 100,000 population. Antenatal coverage dropped from 98 in 2008 to 96 in 2009 and it remained at 96 in 2010. The fluctuation may be attributed to uneven coverage of sensitization programme, limited knowledge among pregnant women, reduction in outreach and Prevention of Mother-to-Child Transmission (PMTCT) Programmes. Antenatal visits have remained relatively low but stable from the period 2008 to 2010.The provision of antenatal care recommends at least 12 antenatal visits with the assumption that more visits result in better care for pregnant women. It is during this period when the clinic provides early detection of problems relating to the pregnancy. 25
MDG 6: Combat HIV & AIDS, Malaria and other diseases Halve halted, by 2015 and begun to reverse the spread of HIV and AIDS Provincial Targets Indicator Target Current data HIV prevalence rate (%) 15.6 6.8 Proportion of 15-24 year old females with comprehensive, correct knowledge of HIV (%) *** 25.0 Proportion of 15-24 year old males with comprehensive, correct knowledge of HIV (%) *** 28.9 Ratio of school attendance of orphans and vulnerable children (10-14) years old 1 1.0 Malaria cases per 1000 population 255 290 Malaria fatality rate per 1000 population 11 27 Households with insecticide treated nets (%) *** 61.2 The HIV prevalence rate in the province is estimated at 6.8%. Of those, 23.6% (17,736) are on antiretroviral treatment. Additionally, the total number of people who know their HIV status increased from 92,244 in 2009 to 167,816 in 2010 representing an increase of 81.9%. Currently, the province has a total of 28 health facilities providing antiretroviral services to adult and children who are on treatment. The proportion of the population 15 to 24 years with comprehensive and correct knowledge about HIV in the province is slightly higher among males 28.9% than females 25.0%. However, knowledge does not always equal prevention and the population 15 to 24 years remains highly at increased risk of HIV and AIDS. Analysis of trends in the rate of school attendance among orphans and vulnerable children who had lost both parents due to AIDS showed that the school attendance ratio of orphans to non-orphans aged between 10 and 14 years old in the province was 1.0. 27
The high burden of communicable water related diseases also presents other health challenges in the province. For example, the incidences of malaria is very high in the province but is declining from 255 cases per 1000 population in 2008 to 100 cases per 1000 population in 2009. In 2010 however, imalaria incidence increased to 290 cases per 1000 population. Malaria case fatality rate per 1000 admissions on the other hand has however declined from 31 cases per 1000 admission in 2008 to 20 cases per 1000 admission in 2009. In 2010, malaria case fatality increased to 27 cases per 1000 admission. This fluctuation may be attributed to inadequate use of treated mosquito nets where only 61.2% or (134,983) of the households have insecticide treated mosquito nets. In many instances particularly in provinces where there are fishery resources, mosquito nets have often been used for fishing defeating their intended purpose in preventing malaria through mosquito bites. Figure 10: Malaria incidence and case fatality rate, Northern 2008-2010 290 255 100 31 20 27 2008 2009 2010 Malaria incidence Malaria case fatality rate Statistics adapted from: Ministry of Health, Zambia (2010) Annual Health Statistical Bulletin 2010, Ministry of Health, Zambia 29
MDG 7: Ensure Environmental Sustainability Halve, by 2015 the proportion of the population without sustainable access to safe drinking water and basic sanitation Provincial Targets Indicator Target Current data Proportion of population without access to an improved water source (%) 25.5 71.5 Proportion of population without access to improved sanitation (%) 13 86.2 A large number of the population in Northern province have no access to safe drinking water. Although inequalities between rural and urban exist largely in the supply of clean water, the rural poor have no access to municipal water supply. Many draw water from unsafe wells while those living proximity to streams and rivers draw water from streams and rivers making them susceptible to ill health. There still are 71.5% 7 of the households in the province that is without access to an improved water source. This means that from a total of 220,561 households, 157,701 households do not have access to an improved water source. Only 28.5% or 62,860 households have access to an improved water source; therefore, Northern province is unlikely to meet MDG 7 target. In terms of sanitation, the majority of the households (86.2% or 190,124 households) do not have access to an improved sanitation. Lack of good and improved sanitation is often associated with outbreaks of communicable diseases such as cholera and diarrhoea. However, diarrhoea incidences are quite high in the province with incidence rates of 57 per 1000 in 2008, declining to 36 cases per 1000 population in 2009 8. With increase in poor sanitation, the diarrhoea incidences have increased and in 2010 the province recorded 61 cases per 1000 population. As regards access to electricity, the majority 93% (205,122) 9 of households have no access to electricity. It is estimated that 7.0% (15,439) households have access to electricity. The rural and urban poor depend largely on the natural resources where forest provide an important livelihoods source of energy where 71.3% (157,260) of the households rely on firewood and 24.8% (54,699) on charcoal for cooking. This clearly shows how forest is over-exploited and likely to induce other environmental related impacts such as soil erosion, climate change and reduced natural habitat and rain cycles. 31
Endnotes: 1. CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Population Summary Report, CSO, Zambia 2. CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Analytical Report, CSO, Zambia vol. 11 3. CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Analytical Report, CSO, Zambia vol. 11 4. CSO, (2010) Census of Population and Housing: Population Summary Report. CSO, Lusaka. 5. CSO (2010) Living Conditions Monitoring Survey Report 2006-2010, CSO, Zambia 6. CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Analytical Report, CSO, Zambia vol. 11 7. This is the ratio of the economically active population to the working age population expressed as a percentage. CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Analytical Report, CSO, Zambia vol. 11 8. CSO (2012) Preliminary Results of the 2012 Labour Force Survey, CSO, Zambia 9. CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Analytical Report, CSO, Zambia vol. 11 10. CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Analytical Report, CSO, Zambia vol. 11 11. CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Analytical Report, CSO, Zambia vol. 11 12. CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Analytical Report, CSO, Zambia vol. 11 13. CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Analytical Report, CSO, Zambia vol. 11 14. CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Analytical Report, CSO, Zambia vol. 11 15. CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Analytical Report, CSO, Zambia vol. 11 16. CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Analytical Report, CSO, Zambia vol. 11 17. CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Analytical Report, CSO, Zambia vol. 11 18. CSO (2010) Zambia Census of Population and Housing, Analytical Report, CSO, Zambia vol. 11 19. CSO (2010) Living Conditions Monitoring Survey Report 2006-2010, CSO, Zambia 20. Ministry of Health, Zambia (2010) Annual Health Statistical Bulletin 2010, Ministry of Health, Zambia 21. CSO (2010) Living Conditions Monitoring Survey Report 2006-2010, CSO, Zambia *** The MDG targets for the indicators is currently not available. 32
Endnotes for the provincial status at a glance table 1 2010, Living Conditions Monitoring Survey (LCMS), Central Statistics Office 2 This target was calculated based on the extreme poverty levels in 1990 which were 51% for Copperbelt Province according to the Central Statistics Office (1991) Social Dimensions of Adjustments, Priority Survey 1. To get to the 2015 provincial target, the proportion of people living in extreme poverty must reduce by half. 3 2010, Living Conditions Monitoring Survey (LCMS), Central Statistics Office 4 2012, Zambia Economic Brief Recent Economic Developments and the State of Basic Human Development for Children, World Bank 5 2010, Census of population and housing, Central Statistics Office 6 2010, Living Conditions Monitoring Survey (LCMS), Central Statistics Office 7 This target was calculated based on the Zambia Demographic and Health Survey (1992/93) on under-five Children who were classified undernourished according to three anthropometric indices of nutritional status: height-for-age, weight-for-height and weight-for-age. By 1990, 22.7% of children under five were underweight in Copperbelt Province. To get the 2015 provincial target, the proportion of children under five must reduce by half. 8 2010, Educational Statistical Bulletin (ESB), Ministry of Education 9 2010, Educational Statistical Bulletin (ESB), Ministry of Education 10 2010, Census of Population and Housing: Analytical Report, Central Statistics Office 11 2010, Census of Population and Housing: Analytical Report, Central Statistics Office 12 2010, Census of Population and Housing: Analytical Report, Central Statistics Office 13 2010, Census of Population and Housing: Analytical Report, Central Statistics Office 14 This target was calculated based on the Zambia Demographic and Health Survey (1992/93) Under-five Mortality Rates which were 144 deaths per 1000 live birth for Copperbelt Province. To get the 2015 target, this must reduce by two thirds. 15 2010, Census of population and housing, Central Statistics Office 16 This target was calculated based on the Zambia Demographic and Health Survey (1992/93) Infant Mortality Rates which were 69 deaths per 1,000 live births for Copperbelt Province. To get the 2015 target, this must reduce by two thirds. 17 2010, Annual Health Statistical Bulletin 18 2010, Annual Health Statistical Bulletin 19 2007, Zambia Demographic and Health Survey 20 2007, Zambia Demographic and Health Survey 21 2007, Zambia Demographic and Health Survey 22 2007, Zambia Demographic and Health Survey 23 2007, Zambia Demographic and Health Survey 24 2010, Annual Health Statistical Bulletin 25 2010, Annual Health Statistical Bulletin 26 2010, Zambia national Malaria Indicator Survey 27 2010, Living Conditions Monitoring Survey Report, Central Statistics Office 28 2010, Living Conditions Monitoring Survey Report, Central Statistics Office ** National target. Provincial target could not be calculated due to limited baseline data; however national MGD target was used instead. Photo Credit: Smith / UN Communications Group / 2012 Printed by New Horizon Printing Press, Lusaka, Zambia
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