Quarterly Hogs and Pigs ISSN: 9- Released December 23,, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United s Department of Agriculture (USDA). United s Hog Inventory Up 4 Percent United s inventory of all hogs and pigs on December, was 7.5 million head. This was up 4 from December, 205, and up slightly from September,. Breeding inventory, at 6.09 million head, was up from last year, and up from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 65.4 million head, was up 4 from last year, and up slightly from last quarter. The September-November pig crop, at 32.3 million head, was up 5 from 205. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.04 million head, up 4 from 205. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 5 of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 0.63 for the September-November period, compared to 0.53 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 8.20 for operations with - hogs and pigs to for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory United s: December Million head 73 7 69 67 65 63 6 2007 2008 2009 200 20 202 203 204 205
United s hog producers intend to have 2. million sows farrow during the December-February 207 quarter, up from the actual farrowings during the same period in, and up 3 from 205. Intended farrowings for March-May 207, at million sows, are up from, and up 5 from 205. The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 48 of the total United s hog inventory, up from 46 last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 205 through September were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. The net revision made to the June all hogs and pigs inventory was.3. A revision of 2.5 was made to the March-May pig crop. A revision of 0.6 was made to the September all hogs and pigs inventory. Records Record highs for all hogs and pigs, market hogs, pig crop and pigs per litter, by quarter, can be found on page 6. This report was approved on December 23,. Secretary of Agriculture Designate Jonathan J. Cordone Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson Joseph L. Parsons 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December )
Contents Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter United s: 205 and... 4 Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter United s: 205-207... 5 Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation United s: 205 and... 5 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory s and United s: December, 205 and... 6 Market Inventory by Weight Group s and United s: December, 205 and... 7 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory s and United s: March, 205 and... 8 Market Inventory by Weight Group s and United s: March, 205 and... 8 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory s and United s: June, 205 and... 9 Market Inventory by Weight Group s and United s: June, 205 and... 9 Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory s and United s: September, 205 and... 0 Market Inventory by Weight Group s and United s: September, 205 and... 0 Annual Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop s and United s: December-November 205 and... Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop s and United s: December-February 205-207... 2 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop s and United s: March-May 205-207... 2 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop s and United s: June-August 205 and... 3 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop s and United s: September-November 205 and... 3 Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop United s: December-November 205 and... 4 Statistical Methodology... 5 Reliability of December Hog Estimates... 5 Records... 6 Records by Quarter United s: 866 to present... 6 Information Contacts... 6 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December ) 3
Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter United s: 205 and [May not add due to rounding] Item 205 March inventory All hogs and pigs... Kept for breeding... Market... (,000 head) (,000 head) () 67,3 5,2 6,48 68,24 5,0 62,44 Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds... 50-9 pounds... 20-79 pounds... 80 pounds and over... 9,454 7,29 3,580,255 9,8 7, 3,89,229 June inventory All hogs and pigs... Kept for breeding... Market... 67,65 5,6 6,240 69,28 5,9 63,302 Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds... 50-9 pounds... 20-79 pounds... 80 pounds and over... 9,365 7,46 2,5,429 20,356 8, 3,29,456 September inventory All hogs and pigs... Kept for breeding... Market... 69,85 5,6 63,200 7,286 6,06 65,270 Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds... 50-9 pounds... 20-79 pounds... 80 pounds and over... 20,74 8,4 2,855, 2,090 8,85 3,65,73 December inventory All hogs and pigs... Kept for breeding... Market... 68,99 6,002 62,97 7,500 6,090 65,40 Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds... 50-9 pounds... 20-79 pounds... 80 pounds and over... 20,008 7,262 3,370 2,276 20,2 8,037 3,9 2,580 4 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December )
Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter United s: 205-207 [May not add due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun] Item 205 207 Sows farrowing December-February 2... March-May 2... December-May... 207 as of (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) () () 2,8 2,854 5,749 2,7 2,8 5,8 2,8 2,7 5,5 June-August... September-November... June-November... 3,07 2,9 5,6 3,025 3,043 6,068 Pig crop December-February... March-May... December-May... 29,627 29,5 59,29 30,39 3,0 6,236 June-August... September-November... June-November... 3,343 30,848 62,9 3,7 32,333 64,320 Pigs per litter December-February... March-May... December-May... (number) (number) (number) () () 0.23 0.37 0.48 0.39 June-August... September-November... June-November... 0.39 0.53 0.46 0.58 0.63 0.60 December preceding year. 2 Intentions for 207. Pigs per Litter by Size of Operation United s: 205 and [December preceding year] Pig crop 205 December-February... March-May... June-August... September-November... - head -4 head Pigs per litter on operations having 500-9 head,000-,9 head 2,000-4,9 head 5,000+ head (number) (number) (number) (number) (number) (number) 7.90 8.20 8.60 8.70 8.70 8.90 9.00 9.0 9.0 9.30 9.40 9.70 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.60 December-February... March-May... June-August... September-November... 8.0 8.20 8.20 8.70 8.80 8.90 8.90 9.0 9.20 9.30 9.30 9.60 9.70 9.70 0.0 0.60 Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December ) 5
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory s and United s: December, 205 and [May not add due to rounding] Alabama... Alaska... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Connecticut... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... 205 Breeding Market Total 205 205 (,000 head) (,000 head) () (,000 head) (,000 head) () (,000 head) (,000 head) () 6 4 0.60 2 0.00 49.00 6.00 50.00 2.50 2 77 80 50 47 8.0.00 9 55 2.40 3 30.00.20.00 9 8 520.00 3.0 4.50 40.00 34 86 89 9 55 7 30.00.40 3 66.00.00 700.00 2.50 6.00 60.00 40.00.50 4 89.00 670.00 3.60 6 40 87 86 44 233 3 4 Hawaii... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maine... Maryland... 490.00 270.00,030.00 7 4 2.50 540.00 270.00,030.00 6 46.00 3.50 25 70 4,60.00 3,580.00 9,870.00,76 38 6.00 3.50 6.00 7.50 4,560.00 3,830.00 2,370.00,74 38 3.60 7.50 83 9.00 5,.00 3,850.00 20,900.00,0.00 42 4.50 2 0.00 5,.00 4,.00 22,400.00,90.00 430.00 4.60 2 Massachusetts... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New Hampshire... New Jersey....00 560.00 46.00 2 420.00.50.00 550.00 5 43 2 4 0.60.50 20 67 75 9.00,00.00 7,540.00 469.00 2,65 5 2,0.00 3.0 6.00,000.00 7,750.00 47 2,66 5 2, 2.60 67 43 84 90,20.00 8,.00 5 3,050.00 7 3,300.00 3.90,.00 8,300.00 530.00 3,.00 7 3,400.00.20 3.20 73 20 82 New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... Rhode Island... South Carolina... 870.00 3 90.00 470.00.00 0.00 3 200.00 450.00.00 80 50 6 8,030.00.00 2,30.00,640.00,060.00.0 22.30 39.00 8,420.00 2,500.00,700.00 0.00,.00.20 8 30 57 25 84.50 76.00 8,900.00 3 2,500.00 2,.00 0.00,60.00.50 23.70 46.00 9,300.00 46.00 2,700.00 2,50.00,20.00.60 200.00 3 6 30 85 South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Vermont... Virginia... Washington... West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 7 20.00.00 7.50 4 3 90.00 2.00 7 4 3 67,8 200.00 75 60 26 3.50 27 6,.00 20 770.00 62 24 280.00 60.00 86,360.00 220.00 860.00 680.00 270.00 320.00.00,450.00 22 0.00 700.00.00 32 9 80 Idaho and Washington... 45 4 2 6 5 30.00 58 United s... 6,002.40 6,09 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 62,96.90 65,40.00 68,99.30 7,50 6 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December )
Market Inventory by Weight Group s and United s: December, 205 and [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] Alabama... Alaska... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Connecticut... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Under 50 pounds 50-9 pounds 20-79 pounds 80 pounds and over 205 205 205 205 (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) 2 4 8 2 240.00.20 5 40.00 80.00 2 220.00.20 2.80 2 2 2 9.00 20.00 0.60 2 20.00 20.00.30 0.60 9.00 2 2 90.00 29.00 6.00 9.00 2.00 2 0.0 2 0.00 2.00 2 0.0 9.00 2 8 0.60 Hawaii... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maine... Maryland...,440.00,050.00 5,220.00 430.00.00.20,450.00,040.00 5,700.00 45.00.20,330.00 0.00 6,280.00 40 0.60,360.00,080.00 6,60.00 520.00.00 6.50 90.00 760.00 4,660.00 40.00 7 0.90.50 890.00 800.00 5,080.00 320.00 90.00 0.00 850.00 3,70.00 520.00.00 860.00 90.00 3,0.00 450.00 8 Massachusetts... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New Hampshire... New Jersey... 2.0 27 2,660.00 7,290.00 5 0.00 2.20 2.00 2,650.00 9,340.00 59.00 2.40 2.60.00 2,200.00 52 3 750.00 0.0 2.50.80.00 2,300.00 520.00 3 790.00.60 2.0 240.00,470.00 9 400.00 3 580.00 0.0 2.60 2,550.00 8 38 29.00 650.00 0.0.90 2.20 24,20.00 9 440.00 29.00 600.00 3.20.20 240.00,.00 8 420.00 29.00 590.00 3.60 New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... Rhode Island... South Carolina... 26.00 3,050.00 5 620.00 700.00 25 4 3,60.00 59.00 750.00 73 320.00 40.00,0.00 2 620.00 34 33 5,0.00 2 650.00 340.00 2.50 33 46.00,590.00 620.00.00 270.00 60.00,700.00 60.00 28 24 46.00,50.00 450.00 33 200.00 6,620.00 490.00 340.00.50 20.00 56.00 South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Vermont... Virginia... Washington... West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 40 49.00 20 24 0.90 6 89.00 4 44 6 70.00.00 5.00 4 320.00 4 20 6 6 32 4 90.00 20.00 60.00 6 2 5 6 2 0.60 7 6 24 46.00 7 30.00 69.00 6 24 5 80.00 20.00 6 60.00 24 4 23 2 6 60.00 Idaho and Washington... 6.00 7.50 6.00 6.00 5.50 United s... 20,008.40 20,2.40 7,26 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. 8,037.20 3,37 3,9 2,276.0 2,579.60 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December ) 7
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory s and United s: March, 205 and [May not add due to rounding] Colorado... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Michigan... Minnesota... Missouri... Nebraska... North Carolina... 205 Breeding Market Total 205 205 (,000 head) (,000 head) () (,000 head) (,000 head) () (,000 head) (,000 head) () 40 490 280,030 75 570 400 420 890 50 500 0 75 560 385 420 0 570 4, 3,470 9,770,685,030 7,430 2,500 2,730 7,70 550 4,650 3,490 9,220,755,060 7,440 2,65 2,0 7,0 70 4,750 3,750 20,800,860,40 8,000 2,900 3,50 8,600 700 5,50 3,750 20,200,0,70 8,000 3,000 3,400 8,800 Ohio... Oklahoma... Pennsylvania... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... 80 440 65 75 85 480 90 75 5 2,50,750,040,45 820 5 2,465,660,030,220 750 5 5 9 2,330 2,90,40,30 0 670 2,650 2,40,40,40 860 670 4 Other s... 47 40 2,763 2,744 3,79 3,54 United s... 5,2 5,0 6,48 62,44 67,3 68,24 Individual estimates not available for the 34 Other s. Market Inventory by Weight Group s and United s: March, 205 and [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] Colorado... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Michigan... Minnesota... Missouri... Nebraska... North Carolina... Under 50 pounds 50-9 pounds 20-79 pounds 80 pounds and over 205 205 205 205 (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) 280,330 0 5,030 445 2 2,600, 870 2,800,500,040 4,720 490 290 2,600,,000 3,80, 0 6,40 45 235 2,050 505 780,80,370 0 6, 465 2,280 535 780,730 90 890 70 4,0 335,550 380 65,640 90 0 730 4,850 375,530 420 660,70 780 800 3,390 490 240,230 365 465,460 860 740 3,550 425,030 40 540,300 Ohio... Oklahoma... Pennsylvania... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... 660 740 265 375 230 265 740 690 270 430 90 265 630 370 340 305 25 680 335 35 330 205 50 270 240 200 20 605 30 270 240 60 20 350 370 25 75 440 325 75 220 Other s...,029 2 629 623 580 569 525 569 United s... 9,454 9,8 7,29 7, 3,580 3,89,255,229 Individual estimates not available for the 34 Other s. 8 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December )
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory s and United s: June, 205 and [May not add due to rounding] Colorado... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Michigan... Minnesota... Missouri... Nebraska... North Carolina... 205 Breeding Market Total 205 205 (,000 head) (,000 head) () (,000 head) (,000 head) () (,000 head) (,000 head) () 45 490 270,000 80 550 3 40 0 45 530 0 75 560 3 425 890 555 4,60 3,380 20,000,690 0 7,600 2,505 2,790 7,20 565 4,670 3,590 9,830,765,040 7,540 2,605 3,075 8,20 2 5 700 4,650 3,650 2,000,870, 8,50 2,900 3,200 8,000 70 5,200 3,850 20,800,0,50 8, 3,000 3,500 9, 2 4 Ohio... Oklahoma... Pennsylvania... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... 85 440 70 75 80 470 90 75 2 2,,790,065,50 775 645 2,370,700,050,20 790 605 2,380 2,230,70,320 0 720 2,550 2,70,50,400 890 680 Other s... 46 404 2,830 2,687 3,245 3,09 United s... 5,6 5,9 6,240 63,302 67,65 69,28 Individual estimates not available for the 34 Other s. Market Inventory by Weight Group s and United s: June, 205 and [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] Colorado... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Michigan... Minnesota... Missouri... Nebraska... North Carolina... Under 50 pounds 50-9 pounds 20-79 pounds 80 pounds and over 205 205 205 205 (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) 270, 0 5,070 430 275 2,570,245 860 2,830 265,420,020 5,280 470 305 2,550,35 0 3,80 25,240,000 6,40 505 255 2,300 485 765,650 20,460,20 6,400 490 255 2,340 540 840,0 80 890 670 4,820 345 240,540 370 630,320 90 700 4,760 30 240,470 350 685,560 80 780 770 3,700 40 220,90 405 535,320 85 0 750 3,390 4 240,80 400 590,500 Ohio... Oklahoma... Pennsylvania... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... 630 740 290 405 230 280 720 760 255 425 205 255 660 380 345 320 205 30 680 370 330 325 230 5 535 290 230 220 45 5 570 280 90 25 370 380 200 205 20 400 320 85 20 65 Other s...,050 686 63 545 546 549 556 United s... 9,365 20,356 7,46 8, 2,5 3,29,429,456 Individual estimates not available for the 34 Other s. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December ) 9
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory s and United s: September, 205 and [May not add due to rounding] Colorado... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Michigan... Minnesota... Missouri... Nebraska... North Carolina... 205 Breeding Market Total 205 205 (,000 head) (,000 head) () (,000 head) (,000 head) () (,000 head) (,000 head) () 45 500 280,000 80 560 400 40 0 45 530 280 0 80 570 3 420 890 65 4,300 3,570 20,500,780,000 7,390 2,700 2,840 7,0 575 4,470 3,720 2,20,820,025 7,730 2,805 3,30 8,30 760 4,800 3,850 2,500,0, 7,0 3, 3, 8,800 720 5,000 4,000 22, 2,000,30 8,300 3,200 3,550 9,200 Ohio... Oklahoma... Pennsylvania... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... 85 470 70 75 90 455 75 5 2,235,770,090,70 765 675 2,40,765,055,25 820 625 2,420 2,240,90,340 870 750 2,600 2,220,50,40 0 700 Other s... 46 4 2,0 2,675 3,2 3,086 United s... 5,6 6,06 63,200 65,270 69,85 7,286 Individual estimates not available for the 34 Other s. Market Inventory by Weight Group s and United s: September, 205 and [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding] Colorado... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Michigan... Minnesota... Missouri... Nebraska... North Carolina... Under 50 pounds 50-9 pounds 20-79 pounds 80 pounds and over 205 205 205 205 (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) 30,370,040 5,440 490 305 2,600,2 90 3, 270,440,050 5,590 4 2 2,650,375 0 3,240 20,330,050 6,700 505 2, 590 80 2,000 25,380,080 6,830 50 2,380 600 900 2,000 80 80 720 4,0 305 25,390 400 590,40 85 860 750 5,080 365 235,500 400 640,600 790 760 3,480 480 230,50 45 530, 790 840 3,620 450 235,200 430 600,470 Ohio... Oklahoma... Pennsylvania... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... 660 805 285 435 90 280 740 775 270 435 240 700 430 380 35 25 40 730 420 345 325 230 30 505 225 205 80 30 550 230 60 30 370 275 200 25 80 25 390 320 90 225 90 5 Other s...,066 5 7 606 550 530 553 553 United s... 20,74 2,090 8,4 8,85 2,855 3,65,,73 Individual estimates not available for the 34 Other s. 0 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December )
Annual Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop s and United s: December-November 205 and [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding] Alabama... Alaska... Arizona... Arkansas... California... Colorado... Connecticut... Delaware... Florida... Georgia... Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 205 205 205 (,000 head) (,000 head) () (number) (number) (,000 head) (,000 head) () 2 0.22 3 26.00 8.50 280.00 4 9.00 0.24 3 2 30.20 4 3 82 25 300 9. 8.8 8.68 0.54 7.29 9. 9.00 0.00 9.47 8.75 9.43 0.56 0. 7.60 8.83 6.75 0.46 20.80 269.00,32 6 2,790.00 3.60 2 50 80.00 2.0 330.00,28 49.00 3,06 3.80 0.60 2 50 7 23 79 265 Hawaii... Idaho... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Kentucky... Louisiana... Maine... Maryland... 0.00 550.00 2,04 34 8.0 0.90 5.20,020.00 556.00 2,060.00 346.00 9 0.90 0.90 4.70 3 82 90 7.25 0.29 0.78 0.6 9.77 7.44 8.65 6.50 0.48 0.38 0. 0.45 9.74 6.22 7. 8. 4.50 9, 5,720.00 22,04 3,53 80 7.70 6.70 4 0,686.00 5,769.00 22,40 3,6 906.00 5.60 6.40 4 90 3 73 Massachusetts... Michigan... Minnesota... Mississippi... Missouri... Montana... Nebraska... Nevada... New Hampshire... New Jersey... 2.30 20,50.00.00 8 45.50 700.00 2.50.00,60.00 82 4 72 80 25 8.43 0.73.08.33 0.0 0.73. 5.75 8.80 7.3 7.04 0.55. 0.07 0.05 0..4 5.50 6.0 9.40 2, 2,739.00,3 8,23 48 7,779.00 2.30 4.40 5.70 7.60 2,089.00 2,89, 8,289.00 5 8,27 2.20 3.20 6.0 9 73 New Mexico... New York... North Carolina... North Dakota... Ohio... Oklahoma... Oregon... Pennsylvania... Rhode Island... South Carolina...,80.00 6 360.00 780.00.80 90.00 9.00,87 7 366.00 2.30.00 2 63 28 7.50 9.67 0.82 0.5 0.32 8.28 0.33 0.05 7.75 9.79 0.6 0.78 0.43 0.45 8.30 0.37 5.50 8.90 5 7,49 736.00 3,78 8,05 4.90, 2.80 9 3.0 9 9,05 760.00 3,86.00 8,30 9.0 2,04 2.20 8 6 28 79 South Dakota... Tennessee... Texas... Utah... Vermont... Virginia... Washington... West Virginia... Wisconsin... Wyoming... 35 4 89.00 5 0.90 7 6 38 4 8 5 7.50 69.00 7 89 0.86 9.56 9.24 9.44 7.33 0.00 7.75 9.35 0.04 0.79 9.68 8.76 9.5 7.3 0.27 7.57 9.58 9.36 3,83 4,74,49 6.60 70.00 6.20 67 68 4,76.00 45,6,43 5.70 7 5.30 66 68 86 85 Idaho and Washington... 5.60 6.20 40 8.72 7.73 36.00 47.90 35 United s...,6.62,3.04 0.38 2,40.60 25,555.90 Withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operations. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December )
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop s and United s: December-February 205-207 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding] Colorado... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Michigan... Minnesota... Missouri... Nebraska... North Carolina... Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 205 207 2 207 as of 205 205 (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) () (number) (number) (,000 head) (,000 head) () 69 245 40 50 52 285 205 70 445 75 40 500 90 5 275 75 460 73 265 30 520 83 53 290 20 85 455 9.80 0.0 0.00 9.80 9.75 0.35 0.60.0 9.65.30 9.90 676 2,4,44 5,457 0 546 3,35 2,009,870 4,228 73 2,5,428 5,350 98 54 3,053,2,8 4,554 Ohio... Oklahoma... Pennsylvania... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... 46 85 43 35 9 200 49 47 39 90 49 44 38 0.45 0.5 9.05 8.70 0.0 0.75 8.70 0,9 469 98 389 305 99 2,060 500,032 376 339 2 Other s 3... 9. 9.73,3,890 United s... 2,8 2,7 2,8 0.23 Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March, or had been sold. 2 Intentions. 3 Individual estimates not available for the 34 Other s. 29,627 30,39 Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop s and United s: March-May 205-207 [May not add due to rounding] Colorado... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Michigan... Minnesota... Missouri... Nebraska... North Carolina... Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 205 207 2 207 as of 205 205 (,000 head) (,000 head) (,000 head) () (number) (number) (,000 head) (,000 head) () 70 230 30 4 84 50 275 200 70 445 77 255 3 500 85 48 285 205 85 475 66 265 30 520 83 52 2 225 85 450 86 0.00 0.60 9..05.20 9.30 0.90.05 9..40 0.25 700 2,45,365 5,247 836 535 3,039 2,080,904 4,39 785 2,652,362 5,450 8 504 3,49 2,040 2, 4,869 2 8 Ohio... Oklahoma... Pennsylvania... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... 89 49 86 50 4 200 5 46 4 9 48 57 36 24 0.60 0.35 0. 9.80 0.75 7.85 9.40 3 2,08 505 2 475 402 4 2,060 525,0 36 385 76 Other s 3... 202 208 0.52 9. 2,048 2,08 United s... 2,854 2,8 2,7 Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June, or had been sold. 2 Intentions 3 Individual estimates not available for the 34 Other s. 0.37 0.48 29,5 3,0 2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December )
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop s and United s: June-August 205 and [May not add due to rounding] Colorado... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Michigan... Minnesota... Missouri... Nebraska... North Carolina... 205 Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 205 205 (,000 head) (,000 head) () (number) (number) (,000 head) (,000 head) () 7 45 50 90 52 305 25 80 470 78 255 45 500 89 50 300 25 85 480 0.0 0.5 0.60.5 9.85.0 9.70 0.0 0.55 0.60.0 0.0.35 77 2,639,537 5,508 7 572 3,40 2,8,8 4,559 7 2,690,537 5,500 5 525 3,330 2,72 2, 4,8 Ohio... Oklahoma... Pennsylvania... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... 49 9 49 43 200 48 43 39 9 0.85 9.00 9.60 0.60 0.65 0.45 0.75 9.30 6 2,028 50 7 44 43 5 2,30 502,043 400 37 9 90 Other s 2... 200 209 0.2 0.03 2,022 2,0 United s... 3,07 3,025 0.39 0.58 3,343 3,7 Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September, or had been sold. 2 Individual estimates not available for the 34 Other s. Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop s and United s: September-November 205 and [May not add due to rounding] Colorado... Illinois... Indiana... Iowa... Kansas... Michigan... Minnesota... Missouri... Nebraska... North Carolina... Sows Farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 205 205 205 (,000 head) (,000 head) () (number) (number) (,000 head) (,000 head) () 70 235 35 530 86 5 285 80 450 73 40 560 82 49 300 20 80 460 9. 0.35.0.5 0.5 0.60 0.90 0.60 0.60.20 0.45.60 6 2,432,404 5,830 8 546 3,64 2,028 2,007 4,568 759 2,756,442 6, 869 59 3,360 2, 2,0 4,738 3 Ohio... Oklahoma... Pennsylvania... South Dakota... Texas... Utah... 9 46 9 47 39 49 48 38 0.85 9.40 0.55 0.90 9.90 9.00 6 2,028 478 7 442 37 8 2,057 55,090 475 342 Other s 2... 203 204 9. 9. 2,06 2,026 United s... 2,9 3,043 0.53 0.63 30,848 32,333 Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December, or had been sold. 2 Individual estimates not available for the 34 Other s. Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December ) 3
Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop United s: December-November 205 and [December preceding year] Month December... January... February... March... April... May... June... July... August... September... October... November... Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 205 205 205 (,000 head) (,000 head) (number) (number) (,000 head) (,000 head) 2 4 0 6 4 3,07 7,003,00 5 4 7 3 7,022 4 3,02,004 9,050,009 4 0.32 0.6 0.22 0.38 0.33 0.35 0.39 0.42 0.45 0.59 0.55 0.35 0.29 0.25 0.45 0.49 0.52 0.56 0.65 0.62 0.58 0.67 9,3 9,8 9,809 0,03 9,87 9,745 0,528 0,359 0,456 0,558 0,326 9,5 0, 0,24 9,86 0,673 0,7 0,308 0,740 0,603 0,643,5 0,678 0,504 Total...,6,3 0.38 2,4 25,556 Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding. 4 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December )
Statistical Methodology Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 0,500 United s producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of December, data were collected from about 7,350 operations, 70 of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting, mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of December,. Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office. National and survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date. Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is.4. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 7.5 million head by more than.4. Chances are 9 out of 0 that the difference will not exceed 2.4. Reliability of December Hog Estimates [Based on data for the previous twenty quarters] Item All hogs and pigs... Root mean square error 90 confidence level Difference between first and latest estimate Average Smallest Largest Below latest Years Above latest () () (,000) (,000) (,000) (number) (number).4 2.4 7,726 2 8 Pig crop... 2.4 4.2 5 4, 3 7 Expected farrowings Next quarter... 3.0 5. 76 0 67 2 8 Following quarter... 3. 5.4 77 9 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December ) 5
Records The table below provides data users with record high estimates of all hogs and pigs, market hogs, pig crop and pigs per litter since each data series began. Records by Quarter United s: 866 to present Item Estimate Record high Series began All hogs and pigs March... June... September... December... (,000 head) (year) (year) 68,24 69,28 7,286 83,74 3 8 4 8 866 Market March... June... September... December... 62,44 63,302 65,270 65,40 8 4 8 3 Pig crop December-February... March-May... June-August... September-November... 30,39 32,355 3,7 32,333 0 0 0 0 0 Pigs per litter December-February... March-May... June-August... September-November... December preceding year. (number) (year) (year) 0.48 0.58 0.63 0 0 0 0 Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov. Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch... (202) 720-3570 Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section... (202) 690-2424 Sherry Bertramsen Livestock Slaughter... (202) 720-3240 David Colwell Sheep and Goats... (202) 720-8784 Donnie Fike Dairy Products... (202) 690-3236 Michael Klamm Cattle, Cattle on Feed... (202) 720-3040 Mike Miller Milk Production and Milk Cows... (202) 720-3278 Seth Riggins Hogs and Pigs... (202) 720-3 6 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (December )
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