FIRST- AND THIRD-PERSON PERSPECTIVES ON A MONETARY SAVINGS PROPOSITION MADE IN THE FUTURE TIME MODE

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "FIRST- AND THIRD-PERSON PERSPECTIVES ON A MONETARY SAVINGS PROPOSITION MADE IN THE FUTURE TIME MODE"

Transcription

1 STUDIA PSYCHOLOGICA, 56, 2014, FIRST- AND THIRD-PERSON PERSPECTIVES ON A MONETARY SAVINGS PROPOSITION MADE IN THE FUTURE TIME MODE Oleksiy POLUNIN Visiting researcher at the Institute of Experimental Psychology, Slovak Academy of Sciences Dubravska cesta 9, Bratislava, Slovak Republic Institute of Social and Political Psychology vul. Andrievska 15, Kyiv, Ukraine polunin-alex@yandex.ru Abstract: The research study reveals a subjective readiness to wait for an advertised monetary savings presented from the first- and third-person perspectives. The properties of simple waiting were studied in relation to the personal perspective on savings proposition and the level of monetary savings. Findings for the first-person perspective replicate our previous results, the propositions in the present time mode with high and low relative savings have high preference and lead to the framing effect, similar to the one described by Tversky and Kahneman (1981). When they are formulated in the future time, both of them loose their attractiveness because of the need of waiting. Unlike savings propositions formulated in the present time mode from the third person perspective, in this case the classical framing effect is eliminated. When the tasks are formulated from the third person perspective with a savings proposition in the future, a pronounced framing effect was found. This result is attributed to the differential impact of waiting time on the propositions with different levels of relative savings. The discrepancy found by this study is the key property of the differentiation between the first- and the third-person perspectives in terms of waiting for a savings proposition made in the future. Key words: decision-making, personal perspective, topical mental account, framing effect, temporal process, waiting INTRODUCTION Conventionally, time is seen as a kind of receptacle in which different processes take place: human interactions, economic exchanges, and expectations. An impact of time processing on human behavior can be Acknowledgement: This research was supported by the grant from the National Scholarship Programme of the Slovak Republic. examined on two levels: a general and a local one. A time concept integrated in language has a general impact on human behavior. In an extensive study on language use in many countries, Chen (2013) has shown that the ways a language encodes time, especially the future mode, essentially predefines human behavior. He examined the hypothesis that languages that grammatically associate the future and the present, foster future-oriented behavior. According to his results, speakers of such DOI: /sp

2 254 STUDIA PSYCHOLOGICA, 56, 2014, 4 languages save more, retire with more wealth, smoke less, practice safer sex, and are less obese. Under local impact, we mean the influence of temporal information given within a certain situation. A cognitive encoding of a single problem-situation depends on the time markers set within the wording of the problem. Thereafter, the encoding and processing of temporal information shape the behavior. A number of studies show how time processing manifests itself in decisionmaking (Ariely, Zakay, 2001; Klapproth, 2008). In this study, we focus on the local impact of time processing, namely on the subjective acceptability of waiting for monetary savings. Unlike conventional studies on intertemporal decision-making (Frederic, Loewenstein, O Donoghue, 2002), our study takes into account not only the first but also the third-person perspective, which constitutes the novelty of our results. A monetary savings proposition will be constructed similarly to Tversky and Kahneman s (1981) Jacket and calculator problem, where a subject develops a separate cognitive representation for each proposition. Thus, a change of the cognitive representation of a proposition will be studied under the impact of waiting. TEMPORAL PROCESSES IN THE FUTURE TIME MODE Future time is of interest as a container of possibilities, as a domain of potential behavioral acts, and a scene for wins and losses. Considering time as a complex domain, we have shown that it includes a scope for temporal processes (Polunin, 2009, 2011). The discrepancies between the temporal processes rest upon the psychological differences in the representation of time flow, action and action outcome. In the current study, only the properties of the zero-probability-barrier will be studied. A zero-probability-barrier, as a temporal process, represents a kind of potentially available future, but not reachable from the present moment. It is pure, forced waiting. Such waiting is forced, in the sense that it is not in the subject s power to use a sale proposition until a certain date; for instance, to go earlier to an advertised summer sell-out in order to get a better price for a particular desired commodity. There is a number of such sell-outs in real life, e.g. Christmas sale, waiting for the announcement of the beginning of the sale on a new Apple-product, waiting for the day when you get your dividends paid or cash in your coupons. In all these cases, the future possibility of monetary savings is separated from the present time by a time-interval, within which the probability to use the savings proposition is equal to zero. This is why such waiting is called a zero-probability-barrier. The subjective representation of zero-probability-barrier can be moderated by a number of variables. The current study aims to specify the properties of such waiting 1) in relation of the first- and the third-person perspective (1PP vs. 3PP), and 2) in regards to the absolute and relative amounts of savings. In order to study the impact of these variables on the decision outcome, a percentage of positive responses and a manifestation of the framing effect will be analyzed. Therefore, the main question raised here is as follows: How does the change of personal perspective influence the effect of the zero-probabilitybarrier on the decision about a monetary savings proposition?

3 STUDIA PSYCHOLOGICA, 56, 2014, The First-Person and the Third-Person-Perspective on Monetary Savings Social interactions rely on our ability to distinguish between a personal perspective and a perspective on the part of others (Decety, Sommerville, 2003). In social transactions, we exchange resources, feelings, plans and prepare group actions. Such transactions involve both an ability to identify with others, and also an ability to distinguish ourselves from others. The first person perspective (1PP) helps us to express our own goals, expectations and readiness to act. But the third person perspective (3PP) enables us to take the view-point of someone else, and based on that, to correct our own plans and expectations. Integrating these two perspectives constitutes the success of social interactions and provides the fruitfulness of exchange of values. Thus, in this study we use two different wordings of a problem: first half of the tasks is given from the 1PP, and the second half is formulated from the 3PP. The first-person-perspective helps to model the subject s own decision. And the thirdperson perspective reflects the expectations of the action of another person in a similar situation. For mapping a cognitive representation of a savings proposition to a third person, our subject (the first person) will be asked to make a decision on the part of a third person 1. The introduced variation of the personal perspective changes the person who is saving money, consequently, it must modulate the decision outcome and manifestation 1 In this study another student will be the third person, so that the 1 st and the 3 rd person have a comparably equal monthly income. of the corresponding framing effect in the sense of Tversky and Kahneman (1981). Making a decision from the 1PP, a subject decides whether the proposed savings is attractive enough for him/herself. In case of making a decision from the 3PP, a subject has to assess whether the other subject will accept a savings proposition. The studies on human overconfidence provide strong evidence for overestimating one s own abilities, knowledge and accuracy of one s own actions. People tend to give favorable assessments of their own abilities (Alicke, 1985; Dunning et al., 1989). Thus, another student taken as a third person in the decision-making task should, on average, be underestimated compared to the subject acting from the first person perspective. On average, the other student must be seen as having a lower monthly income and, therefore, being more inclined to go for monetary savings. Correspondingly, hypothesis 1 is: a general number of positive responses to a monetary savings proposition will be higher for tasks formulated from the third-person perspective than those from the first-person-perspective. Taken together, an underestimation of the monthly income of the third person with an overestimation of the personal disposition of an average student (3PP) towards a saving behavior, we should expect the elimination of the difference between the relative levels of monetary savings, at least for propositions in the present time mode. Considering the fact that the relative amount of monetary savings is the key factor in the manifestation of the framing effect in topical mental accounting (Tversky, Kahneman, 1981; Moon et al., 1999), the following assumption for the decisions in the name of the third person can be made: the declined role of the relative amount of monetary sav-

4 256 STUDIA PSYCHOLOGICA, 56, 2014, 4 ings and the increased role of the absolute amount of savings lead to similarity in positive responses to absolutely equal but relatively different savings propositions and, consequently, this results in a declining framing effect up to its total elimination (hypothesis 2). For decisions made from the 1PP, the classical framing effect (Tversky, Kahneman, 1981) is to be expected. Impact of Zero-Probability Barrier on Topical Mental Account The first-person perspective on the zeroprobability barrier. Due to the topicality of the mental account, the same amount of money proposed to be saved can lead to different decision outcomes, known as the framing effect (Tversky, Kahneman, 1981; Kühberger, 1998; Levin et al., 1998; Ranyard, Abdel-Nabi, 1993). But most of the studies on topical mental account and the corresponding framing effect use tasks with propositions formulated in the present time. However, in real life not all propositions are about the wins or losses at the present time (Frederick et al., 2002). For savings propositions beginning in the future, a zero-probability-barrier seems to be one of the key factors predefining the level of its subjective attractiveness. Thus, the corresponding change in subjective attractiveness of a proposition and a change in the manifestation of the framing effect is to be expected. When a savings proposition is separated from the present moment by a zero-probability-barrier, a number of positive responses to the proposition declines. But such decline runs quite equally for both the low and high relative savings, so that the framing effect survives when a subject is forced to wait for a while (Polunin, 2009, 2011). Thus, in this study we also expect a general decline, almost in parallel, in positive responses for both, savings propositions with low and high relative savings. The absolute level of monetary savings should impact the general attractiveness of a savings proposition, so that the higher absolute savings become more positive responses, while the size of the framing effect remains more or less the same. The third-person perspective on the zeroprobability barrier. According to Freyd (1987, 1992), each cognitive representation has its own temporal dimension. Therefore, the mental representation of a third person and the proposition made to him/her should also have its own temporal dimension, which is a different one from the temporal dimension activated for a first person perspective. This distinctiveness also means a different impact of zero-probability-barrier, applied once to a subject him/herself (1PP) and once to the third person (3PP). Thus, we assume that the properties of a zero-probability-barrier depend on the personal perspective from which this temporal process unfolds. This should result in different decision outcomes in relation to the same savings proposition. The question a subject answers for him/ herself in the 1PP decision is the following: Should I wait a while and get a better price for an item (headphones)? The answer is determined by his/her subjective impatience and subjective evaluation of the proposed savings. But for the 3PP, a positive decision can be based on the subjective assessment of impatience of another person (3PP) and his/her personal disposition to save money. The question to answer is whether another student will be inclined to wait few days for the monetary savings? The discrepancy between the decision-outcomes for the 1PPand 3PP-task should rest upon the differen-

5 STUDIA PSYCHOLOGICA, 56, 2014, tial inhibitive impact of zero-probability-barrier. Do the subjects predict that others will be similarly ready to wait and save? Considering that people themselves are largely waiting-averse in their gaining decisions, but generous with time as a resource of others and only partly able to empathize with the waiting aversion of others, we assume (hypothesis 3) that people would be less waiting-oriented when the decision context is selffocused than when it is other-focused. According to this assumption, for the tasks formulated from the 1PP we should expect a generally stronger inhibiting effect of the zero-probability-barrier than for the tasks formulated from the 3PP. At the same time, a differential impact of zero-probability-barrier on low and high relative savings proposed to the third person is not to be excluded, because it was found for an aging of savings proposition in case of a 3PP in the past time mode (Polunin, 2013). In order to examine the hypotheses discussed above, we first reproduced a classical framing effect, similar to one described by Tversky and Kahneman (1981), which was taken as a basis for analysis of impact of all other factors. Design METHOD The method is similar to the one used in previous studies (Polunin, 2009, 2011, 2013). The experimental task is adapted from the Jacket and calculator problem (Tversky, Kahneman, 1981), which provides a sustainable framing effect. The modified decision problems include the following independent variables: time variable (present-future), the parameters of savings proposition (a relative and an absolute level of monetary savings) and personal perspective (1PP vs. 3PP). The prices in the decision problem were adjusted to the actual range of prices at the local electronics store. All together there were sixteen versions of the same basic scenario: time mode (present, future) x two versions of task wording (33.3% and 5% of relative price reduction) x two levels of absolute price reduction (30 and 50 2 ) x two versions of person-perspective (1PP vs. 3PP), see Table 1. A subject s decision outcome was taken as the dependent variable showing his/her readiness to accept a savings proposition. The between subjects experimental design was applied, which is usual for these studies (Kühberger, 1998). Materials Written versions of the problem were prepared in Ukrainian. A similar wording was used in each case and only the amount of money to be saved and the temporal parameters of the situation were changed. Considering the fact, that the activations of a personal perspective can be induced just by task wording, namely the use of corresponding personal pronouns, we prepared two types of task wordings (1PP vs. 3PP). The tasks for the 1PP were formulated similarly to the wordings used in a previous study (Polunin, 2009, 2011). For the third-person perspective condition, the task wording bellow was used. The participants were asked to predict what another student would decide. 2 At the time of data collection the exchange rate in Kyiv was about (Ukrainian hryvnia) for 1 USD, and about for 1 EUR.

6 258 STUDIA PSYCHOLOGICA, 56, 2014, 4 Table 1. The design of the experiment. The original prices were 1000 and 150 for the price reduction of 50, and 600 and 90 for the price reduction of 30 Time mode and absolute savings Present, 0 days, 50 Future 3 days 50 Present, 0 days 30 Future 3 days 30 1 st person perspective 3 rd person perspective savings 5% savings 33.3% savings 5% savings 33.3% = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = 60 Task 1, 3PP for proposition made in the present time mode. Please, imagine the following situation, and make a decision about it. Imagine that a fellow student comes to an electronics store and is about to purchase: headphones for 150 and a microphone for The student chooses the headphones, but a shop assistant informs him/her that the same headphone is on sale for 100 at the other branch of the store, located 20 minutes drive away. Would the student make the trip to the other store? (check one box) YES NO For the third-person perspective in the future time mode condition the task was formulated as follows. Task 1, 3PP for proposition made in the future time mode. Please, imagine the following situation, and make a decision about it. Imagine that a fellow student comes to an electronics store and is about to purchase: headphones for 150 and a microphone for The student chooses the headphones, but a shop assistant informs him/her that the same headphones will be on sale in 3 days for 100 at the other branch of the store, located 20 minutes drive away. Would a student make the trip to the other store? (check one box) YES NO Task 2 was formulated similarly, only the absolute and relative amounts of savings were changed according to the design of the experiment. Subjects 1104 students (69 subjects for each of the16 experimental conditions) between the ages of 17 and 29 (mean age 19.1 years; 78% males and 22% females) participated in the experi-

7 STUDIA PSYCHOLOGICA, 56, 2014, ment. The participation was voluntary and unpaid. Each subject solved only one decision problem and none of the subjects participated in the experiment repeatedly. The number per session ranged from 12 to 36 subjects. RESULTS The percentage of positive responses to a savings proposition within each experimental condition is presented in Table 2. But be- Table 2. The percentage of positive responses for each experimental condition Time mode and absolute savings Present, 0 days 50 Difference in % of yes between Present and Future conditions Future, 3 days 50 Present, 0 days, 30 Difference in % of yes between Present and Future conditions Future, 3 days 30 savings 5% 1 st person perspective 3 rd person perspective savings size of framingeffect, savings savings size of framing- 33.3% %, signif. 5% 33.3% effect, %, signif. 16% 4.3% χ 2 = 3.6, χ 2 < % 73.9% p =.058 marginal sign. 50.7% 66.7% Δ = 10.1% χ 2 = 1.4 p =.23 Δ = 8.7% χ 2 = 1.1 p = % 58% 42% 59.4% Δ = 4.3% χ 2 < 1 Δ = 10.1% χ 2 = 1.4 p = % 49.3% 17.4% χ 2 = 4.2, p = % χ 2 = 4.2 p = % χ 2 = 1.9, p =.17 Δ = 29% χ 2 = 11.7 p =.001 Δ = 2.9% χ 2 < % 71% 62.3% 69.6% Δ = 21.7% χ 2 = 6.5 p =.011 Δ = 4.4% χ 2 < 1, 40.6% 65.2% 30.4% χ 2 = 14, p < % χ 2 < % χ 2 = 8.4, p =.004 Note: Size of the framing effect was calculated as the difference between the corresponding conditions with 33.3% and 5% savings. An effect of zero-probability-barrier is given as the difference in % of yes between the Present and Future conditions. This difference presents the inhibitive impact of zero-probability-barrier on the readiness to accept the savings proposition.

8 260 STUDIA PSYCHOLOGICA, 56, 2014, 4 fore examining our hypotheses on the framing effect, the main effects of certain single factors were analyzed to demonstrate the general tendencies in decision-making under given experimental conditions. We found a significant main effect of the time mode, present time vs. future. In all conditions, the number of yes responses for the present time mode was 55.1% and for the future time condition it was 44.9%, χ 2 = 14.6,, p < This finding only replicates the wellknown truth that humans prefer not to wait, even when the probability to reach a goal does not decline. Thus, the zero-probability-barrier has an inhibitive impact on readiness to act under all experimental conditions. As we have assumed, we found a main effect of the personal perspective. A general number of positive responses given to a monetary savings proposition is higher for tasks formulated from the 3PP (54.9%) than from the 1PP (45.1%), χ 2 = 13.6,, p <.001. This effect is especially pronounced for the present time mode condition (Table 2). Thus, over all conditions, hypothesis 1 is true. This finding replicates the results of our previous study (Polunin, 2013), where positive decisions on savings propositions made in the first-person were significantly lower than in the third-person. We can argue that the cognitive representation of the third person systematically differs from that of the first-person, having an impact on the decision outcomes. We also analyzed an impact of the amount of monetary savings on decision outcome. The main effect of the absolute level of monetary savings, (30 vs. 50 ) in all conditions was marginally significant (χ 2 = 3.5,, p =.06). So, an increase of absolute savings proposition from 30 to 50 leads to an almost significant increase in the percentage of positive responses, correspondingly from 47.5% of yes up to 52.5% of yes. Obviously, both 30 and 50 savings have a quite high subjective value for our subjects and the difference between these two absolute savings is not enough to cause a pronounced effect. Considering the results of a previous study (Polunin, 2013), where the 40 and 60 savings were applied, we may argue that the upper threshold for absolute savings begins at 50-60, at least for the students of Technical University Kiev. The higher absolute savings amount, given also as high relative savings, will be accepted by the majority of students. The relative level of monetary savings (5% vs. 33.3% saving) shows its significant impact (χ 2 = 29,, p <.001) on decisions made. In our data, 57.2% of yes responses were given to 33.3% savings, while just 42.8% of yes responses were given to a 5%-saving. The main gender effect was not significant, χ 2 = 1.4,, p = Such finding is in line with our earlier results. First- vs. third-person perspective in the present time mode. Two versions of proposition wording (33.3% and 5%), given from the 1PP in the present time mode, leads to the framing effect (for 30 χ 2 = 4.2,, p =.04 and for 50 χ 2 = 3.6,, p =.058), which is the classical finding described by Tversky and Kahneman (1981). On the other hand, in case of the proposition formulated from the 3PP in the present time mode, no significant framing effect was found. In both cases, for 30 and 50 savings, no significant difference was found between the responses given to 5% and 33.3% of relative savings, χ 2 < 1, see Table 2. The elimination of the framing effect for the tasks formulated in the present time

9 STUDIA PSYCHOLOGICA, 56, 2014, mode from the 3PP shows that hypothesis 2 is true. In the present time mode, the declined role of the relative amount of monetary savings and the increased importance of the absolute amount of savings leads to almost similar number of positive responses for both high and low relative savings. Consequently, this results in statistically non-significant difference between these two savings propositions. Therefore, a subject making a decision in the name of a third person considers the absolute amount of savings. Effect of Zero-Probability-Barrier on Acceptance of Savings Proposition For propositions made from the 1PP, the zero-probability-barrier has a quite similar impact on low and high absolute savings. The readiness to accept a proposition declines parallelly in the transition from the present to the future time moment (Figure 1a, 1b), which is in an agreement with our earlier study (Polunin, 2009). The framing effect remains for the savings propositions made from the 1PP, so that the zero-probability-barrier causes a decrease of the general attractiveness of the savings proposition. For the tasks formulated from the 3PP, the effect of zero-probability-barrier looks very different. Here the absence of a significant framing effect in the present time mode changes into a pronounced framing effect in the future time mode (Figure 1c, 1d). The difference in the effect of the zeroprobability-barrier between the 1PP and the 3PP depends on the relative amount of savings. The impact of the zero-probability-barrier for the 1PP task formulation is almost independent of the level of relative savings (Figure 1a, 1b). But for the tasks formulated from the 3PP, the zero-probability-barrier dramatically affects the attractiveness of the low relative savings proposition, causing its deep decline (Table 2). On the other hand, the high relative savings proposition shows a small decline of attractiveness. So, an interaction of the zero-probability-barrier with the relative level of savings was found (F = 7.3,, p =.007). For the 3PP, the readiness to wait significantly interacts with the level of relative savings, and, as result, a difference in decision outcomes for the low and high relative savings arises (Figure 1c, 1d). This discrepancy causes the significant framing effect for the 3PP tasks in future time mode. The described difference between the 1PP and 3PP should be considered as a potential source of disagreements between the self and others on future monetary transactions and values exchange. Based on these findings, one can specify the difference between the zero-probabilitybarrier and an aging of proposition in the past time mode (Polunin, 2013). An aging process under comparable conditions causes a significant loss of proposition attractiveness for the 1PP as well as 3PP, and for both the low and high relative savings as well. According to hypothesis 3, a stronger inhibiting effect of the zero-probability-barrier must be observed for the tasks formulated from the 1PP than for the tasks formulated from the 3PP. The refusal to wait is manifested by the loss of the positive responses between the present and future time mode (Table 2). The results show that hypothesis 3 is only partly true, namely for the high relative savings. Obviously, the waiting time has a different impact on the loss of positive responses depending on the personal perspective, and relative level of savings proposition. The interaction time mode x personal perspective x relative savings reaches the

10 262 STUDIA PSYCHOLOGICA, 56, 2014, 4 1PP, 50 1PP, % of yes % of yes Relative saving Relative saving 35 5% 35 5% 30 Present Future 33.3% 30 Present Future 33.3% Time mode Fig. 1a. Fig. 1b. Time mode 3PP, 50 3PP, % of yes % of yes Relative saving Relative Saving 35 5% 35 5% 30 Present Future 33.3% 30 Present Future 33.3% Time mode Fig. 1c. Fig. 1d. Time mode Figure 1a, b, c, d. Changes in number of yes responses by transition from the present to the future time mode. Figures 1a and 1b present the results for 1PP-tasks, whereas Figures 1c and 1d present the 3PP-tasks. The difference in positive responses between the 33.3% and 5% savings presents the framing effect. An inhibition to accept a savings proposition caused by zero-probability-barrier is presented by the difference between the present and future conditions. An angle between each line and horizon reflects the corresponding strength of inhibition.

11 STUDIA PSYCHOLOGICA, 56, 2014, level of significance, F = 4.22,, p = For the 33.3% relative savings for both absolute savings the averaged loss of proposition attractiveness for 1PP is 9.4%, whereas for the 3PP it equals 3.65%. On the other hand, the loss of positive responses is the highest for the task formulated from the 3PP with 5% savings, on average, for both levels of absolute savings it equals 25.35%; when the savings was 5% the loss of yes for the 1PP was only 7.2%, averaged for both levels of absolute savings. DISCUSSION Taking into account the idea about time as a universal value, we argue that the processing of temporal information, once attributed to the self and once to the other person, plays a key role in organization of our behavior, including decision-making concerning monetary savings. The results replicate the framing effect for the tasks formulated from the first-person perspective, when a proposition is made in the present time mode. But the current as well as a previous study (Polunin, 2013) have shown that the classical framing effect is eliminated, when the savings proposition is made in the present time mode but in the third-person perspective. The study also demonstrates that the dynamics of the framing effect in the future time mode for the tasks formulated from the first- and the thirdperson perspectives differ substantially. When the savings proposition is realized in future time, the framing effect for the 1PP remains pronounced and just the general number of positive responses given to both tasks declines. On the other hand, in case of the 3PP tasks, the framing effect, absent in the present time mode, appears when the savings proposition is realized in the future. These results point to a discrepancy in topical mental accounts running over time from the perspective of the first- and the thirdperson, and widen the list of the already known experimental designs relevant in the manipulation of the framing effect, as overviewed by Kahneman, Tversky (1984), Kühberger (1998), Levin et al. (1998). The discrepancy that we found between the firstand the third person perspectives and its dependence on the level of relative savings could be of interest for commodities advertisement as well. This study specifies the inhibition-strength of the zero-probability-barrier, depending on the person-perspective and the absolute and relative levels of monetary savings. Such specification will be helpful for further distinguishing of single temporal processes. For example, the properties of aging in past time mode (Polunin, 2013) and that of zero-probability-barrier in the future time mode seem to be quite similar, but only when a decision problem is formulated from the 3PP. When the decision task is formulated from the 1PP, they differ substantially. This is finally manifested in the size of the framing effect. In this sense, the current study is a step forward in the development of the idea of multiplicity of temporal processes (Polunin, 2009, 2011). One may point to the limitation of the study, which is that students were not explicitly asked about the readiness to save money on their part and on the part of the average student. On the other hand, because of the low level of income in Ukraine, the students readiness to save money is almost a typical behavior, hardly to be doubted. The difference found between the 1PP and the 3PP could also be of interest for the studies of the game theory. The results show how the value of money changes depending on

12 264 STUDIA PSYCHOLOGICA, 56, 2014, 4 the personal perspective and waiting time. This discrepancy in a subjective evaluation can be illuminated by two simple sentences marking the very beginning of a partner s disagreement: I offered you a lot! vs. You offered me too little! Such unfolding of time discrepancy between the first- and the thirdperson perspectives should be considered in game modelling, and in the assessment of a partner s future behavior, in a marital partnership or in other kinds of coalitions. The current results point to the existence of two perspectives on the modelling of a partner s action: 1) he/she behaves as me (3PP = 1PP) or 2) he/she behaves as a third person (3PP 1PP). Consequently, the very first steps in the game have a kind of double nature. Obviously, such duality will impact the way the whole game develops, from the first steps to the end of the game. Received June 1, 2013 REFERENCES ALICKE, M.D., 1985, Global self-evaluation as determined by the desirability and controllability of trait adjectives. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 49, ARIELY, D., ZAKAY, D., 2001, A timely account of the role of duration in decision making. Acta Psychologica, 108, CHEN, M.K., 2013, The effect of language on economic behavior: Evidence from savings rates, health behaviors, and retirement assets. American Economic Review, 103, 2, Permanent address: DECETY, J., SOMMERVILLE, J.A., 2003, Shared representations between self and other: A social cognitive neuroscience view. Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 1, 12, DUNNING, D., MEYEROWITZ, J.A., HOLZBERG, A., 1989, Ambiguity and self-evaluation: The role of idiosyncratic trait definitions in self-serving assessments of ability. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 57, FREDERICK, S., LOEWENSTEIN, G., O DONGHUE, T., 2002, Time discounting and time preference: A critical review. Journal of Economic Literature, XL, FREYD, J.J., 1987, Dynamic mental representations. Psychological Review, 94, 4, FREYD, J.J., 1992, Dynamic representations guiding adaptive behaviour. In: F. Macar, V. Pouthas, J. Friedman (Eds.), Time, action and cognition (pp ). Dordrecht: Kluwer. KAHNEMAN, D., TVERSKY, A., 1984, Choices, values and frames. American Psychologist, 39, KLAPPROTH, F., 2008, Time and decision making in humans. Cognitive, Affective, & Behavioral Neuroscience, 8, 4, KÜHBERGER, A., 1998, The influence of framing on risky decisions: A meta-analysis. Organizational Behaviour and Human Decision Processes, 75, 1, LEVIN, I.P., SCHNEIDER, S.L., GAETH, G.J., 1998, All frames are not created equal: A topology and critical analysis of framing effects. Organizational Behaviour and Human Decision Processes, 76, 2, MOON, Ph., KEASEY, K., DUXBURY, D., 1999, Mental accounting and decision making: The relationship between relative and absolute savings. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 38, POLUNIN, O., 2009, Temporal dimension of the framing effect in topical mental accounting. Studia Psychologica, 51, 4, POLUNIN, O., 2011, Temporal processes in the topical mental accounting. Studia Psychologica, 53, 3, POLUNIN, O., 2013, Aging of monetary saving proposition formulated from the first- and the thirdperson perspectives as a factor modulating the framing effect. Studia Psychologica, 55, 2, RANYARD, R., ABDEL-NABI, D., 1993, Mental accounting and the process of multiattributive choice. Acta Psychologica, 84, TVERSKY, D., KAHNEMAN, A., 1981, The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. Science, 211,

13 STUDIA PSYCHOLOGICA, 56, 2014, NÁVRH FINANČNEJ ÚSPORY V BUDÚCNOSTI Z POHĽADU PRVEJ A TRETEJ OSOBY O. P o l u n i n Súhrn: Štúdia odhaľuje subjektívnu pripravenosť čakať na vopred oznámenú úsporu financií z pohľadu prvej a tretej osoby. Vlastnosti jednoduchého čakania sme študovali vo vzťahu k osobnému pohľadu na ná-vrh úspory a mieru finančnej úspory. Zistenia z pohľadu prvej osoby replikujú naše predchádzajúce výsledky, návrhy s nízkou a vysokou relatívnou úsporou v súčasnosti sú vysoko preferované a vedú k efektu rámcovania, podobnému aký opísali Tversky a Kahneman (1981). Ak ich však formulujeme v budúcom čase, oba strácajú príťažlivosť vzhľadom na potrebu čakať. Na rozdiel od návrhu úspory formulovaného v súčasnosti z pohľadu tretej osoby, v tomto prípade sa eliminuje klasický efekt rámcovania. Ak úlohy formulujeme z pohľadu tretej osoby s návrhom finančnej úspory v budúcnosti, objaví sa výrazný efekt rámcovania. Tento výsledok pripisujeme rozdielnemu vplyvu doby čakania na návrhy s rôznou mierou relatívnej úspory. Rozdiel, ktorý odhaľuje táto štúdia je kľúčovou vlastnosťou rozdielu medzi pohľadom prvej a tretej osoby na úsporu v budúcnosti.

Evaluating framing e ects

Evaluating framing e ects Journal of Economic Psychology 22 2001) 91±101 www.elsevier.com/locate/joep Evaluating framing e ects James N. Druckman * Department of Political Science, University of Minnesota, 1414 Social Sciences

More information

The effect of decision frame and decision justification on risky choice

The effect of decision frame and decision justification on risky choice Japanese Psychological Research 1993, Vol.35, No.1, 36-40 Short Report The effect of decision frame and decision justification on risky choice KAZUHISA TAKEMURA1 Institute of Socio-Economic Planning, University

More information

Effect of Choice Set on Valuation of Risky Prospects

Effect of Choice Set on Valuation of Risky Prospects Effect of Choice Set on Valuation of Risky Prospects Neil Stewart (neil.stewart@warwick.ac.uk) Nick Chater (nick.chater@warwick.ac.uk) Henry P. Stott (hstott@owc.com) Department of Psychology, University

More information

Exploring the reference point in prospect theory

Exploring the reference point in prospect theory 3 Exploring the reference point in prospect theory Gambles for length of life Exploring the reference point in prospect theory: Gambles for length of life. S.M.C. van Osch, W.B. van den Hout, A.M. Stiggelbout

More information

The Influence of Hedonic versus Utilitarian Consumption Goals on the Compromise Effect. Abstract

The Influence of Hedonic versus Utilitarian Consumption Goals on the Compromise Effect. Abstract The Influence of Hedonic versus Utilitarian Consumption Goals on the Compromise Effect Abstract This article reports the effects of hedonic versus utilitarian consumption goals on consumers choices between

More information

Framing the frame: How task goals determine the likelihood and direction of framing effects

Framing the frame: How task goals determine the likelihood and direction of framing effects McElroy, T., Seta, J. J. (2007). Framing the frame: How task goals determine the likelihood and direction of framing effects. Judgment and Decision Making, 2(4): 251-256. (Aug 2007) Published by the Society

More information

DIFFERENCES IN THE ECONOMIC DECISIONS OF MEN AND WOMEN: EXPERIMENTAL EVIDENCE*

DIFFERENCES IN THE ECONOMIC DECISIONS OF MEN AND WOMEN: EXPERIMENTAL EVIDENCE* DIFFERENCES IN THE ECONOMIC DECISIONS OF MEN AND WOMEN: EXPERIMENTAL EVIDENCE* Catherine C. Eckel Department of Economics Virginia Tech Blacksburg, VA 24061-0316 Philip J. Grossman Department of Economics

More information

Effects of causal relatedness and uncertainty on integration of outcomes of concurrent decisions

Effects of causal relatedness and uncertainty on integration of outcomes of concurrent decisions Available online at www.sciencedirect.com ScienceDirect Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences 190 ( 2015 ) 113 119 2nd GLOBAL CONFERENCE on PSYCHOLOGY RESEARCHES, 28-29, November 2014 Effects of causal

More information

The Influence of Framing Effects and Regret on Health Decision-Making

The Influence of Framing Effects and Regret on Health Decision-Making Colby College Digital Commons @ Colby Honors Theses Student Research 2012 The Influence of Framing Effects and Regret on Health Decision-Making Sarah Falkof Colby College Follow this and additional works

More information

Experimental Testing of Intrinsic Preferences for NonInstrumental Information

Experimental Testing of Intrinsic Preferences for NonInstrumental Information Experimental Testing of Intrinsic Preferences for NonInstrumental Information By Kfir Eliaz and Andrew Schotter* The classical model of decision making under uncertainty assumes that decision makers care

More information

Prior Beliefs and Experiential Learning in a Simple Economic Game

Prior Beliefs and Experiential Learning in a Simple Economic Game Prior Beliefs and Experiential Learning in a Simple Economic Game Item type Authors Publisher Rights text; Electronic Thesis Kleinman, Matt The University of Arizona. Copyright is held by the author. Digital

More information

Computer tailored persuasion: Working mechanisms. Arie Dijkstra University of Groningen The Netherlands

Computer tailored persuasion: Working mechanisms. Arie Dijkstra University of Groningen The Netherlands Computer tailored persuasion: Working mechanisms Arie Dijkstra University of Groningen The Netherlands Tailoring ingredients What in tailored interventions works; what elements are responsible for the

More information

Teorie prospektu a teorie očekávaného užitku: Aplikace na podmínky České republiky

Teorie prospektu a teorie očekávaného užitku: Aplikace na podmínky České republiky Teorie prospektu a teorie očekávaného užitku: Aplikace na podmínky České republiky Prospect Theory and Expect Utility Theory: Application to Conditions of the Czech Republic Kateřina Fojtů, Stanislav Škapa

More information

2 Psychological Processes : An Introduction

2 Psychological Processes : An Introduction 2 Psychological Processes : An Introduction 2.1 Introduction In our everyday life we try to achieve various goals through different activities, receive information from our environment, learn about many

More information

A Brief Introduction to Bayesian Statistics

A Brief Introduction to Bayesian Statistics A Brief Introduction to Statistics David Kaplan Department of Educational Psychology Methods for Social Policy Research and, Washington, DC 2017 1 / 37 The Reverend Thomas Bayes, 1701 1761 2 / 37 Pierre-Simon

More information

Gender specific attitudes towards risk and ambiguity an experimental investigation

Gender specific attitudes towards risk and ambiguity an experimental investigation Research Collection Working Paper Gender specific attitudes towards risk and ambiguity an experimental investigation Author(s): Schubert, Renate; Gysler, Matthias; Brown, Martin; Brachinger, Hans Wolfgang

More information

Changing Public Behavior Levers of Change

Changing Public Behavior Levers of Change Changing Public Behavior Levers of Change Implications when behavioral tendencies serve as "levers" Adapted from: Shafir, E., ed. (2013). The Behavioral Foundations of Public Policy. Princeton University

More information

Choice set options affect the valuation of risky prospects

Choice set options affect the valuation of risky prospects Choice set options affect the valuation of risky prospects Stian Reimers (stian.reimers@warwick.ac.uk) Neil Stewart (neil.stewart@warwick.ac.uk) Nick Chater (nick.chater@warwick.ac.uk) Department of Psychology,

More information

Chapter 4. Vividness in intertemporal choices between hedonic and utilitarian goods

Chapter 4. Vividness in intertemporal choices between hedonic and utilitarian goods Chapter 4 Vividness in intertemporal choices between hedonic and utilitarian goods Summary In this chapter we investigate the influence of vividness on the desire to receive hedonic and utilitarian goods

More information

THE ROLE OF REGRET IN RATIONAL DECISION MAKING

THE ROLE OF REGRET IN RATIONAL DECISION MAKING STUDIA PSYCHOLOGICA, 53, 2011, 2 169 THE ROLE OF REGRET IN RATIONAL DECISION MAKING Kinga JURÁSOVÁ 1, Marián ŠPAJDEL 1, 2 1 Department of Psychology, Faculty of Arts, University of Trnava Hornopotočná

More information

Here s a list of the Behavioral Economics Principles included in this card deck

Here s a list of the Behavioral Economics Principles included in this card deck Here s a list of the Behavioral Economics Principles included in this card deck Anchoring Action Goals Availability Bias Decision Paralysis Default Bias Disposition Effect Ego Depletion Endowment Effect

More information

Models of Information Retrieval

Models of Information Retrieval Models of Information Retrieval Introduction By information behaviour is meant those activities a person may engage in when identifying their own needs for information, searching for such information in

More information

Cognitive Dissonance. by Saul McLeod published 2008, updated

Cognitive Dissonance. by Saul McLeod published 2008, updated Cognitive Dissonance by Saul McLeod published 2008, updated Cognitive dissonance refers to a situation involving conflicting attitudes, beliefs or behaviors. This produces a feeling of discomfort leading

More information

References. Christos A. Ioannou 2/37

References. Christos A. Ioannou 2/37 Prospect Theory References Tversky, A., and D. Kahneman: Judgement under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases, Science, 185 (1974), 1124-1131. Tversky, A., and D. Kahneman: Prospect Theory: An Analysis of

More information

Effects of Sequential Context on Judgments and Decisions in the Prisoner s Dilemma Game

Effects of Sequential Context on Judgments and Decisions in the Prisoner s Dilemma Game Effects of Sequential Context on Judgments and Decisions in the Prisoner s Dilemma Game Ivaylo Vlaev (ivaylo.vlaev@psy.ox.ac.uk) Department of Experimental Psychology, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1

More information

Thinking Like a Researcher

Thinking Like a Researcher 3-1 Thinking Like a Researcher 3-3 Learning Objectives Understand... The terminology used by professional researchers employing scientific thinking. What you need to formulate a solid research hypothesis.

More information

UNIVERSITY OF DUBLIN TRINITY COLLEGE. Faculty of Arts Humanities and Social Sciences. School of Business

UNIVERSITY OF DUBLIN TRINITY COLLEGE. Faculty of Arts Humanities and Social Sciences. School of Business UNIVERSITY OF DUBLIN TRINITY COLLEGE Faculty of Arts Humanities and Social Sciences School of Business M.Sc. (Finance) Degree Examination Michaelmas 2011 Behavioural Finance Monday 12 th of December Luce

More information

Cash for Kidneys: The Case for a Market for Organs

Cash for Kidneys: The Case for a Market for Organs This copy is for your personal, non commercial use only. To order presentation ready copies for distribution to your colleagues, clients or customers visit http://www.djreprints.com. http://www.wsj.com/articles/sb10001424052702304149404579322560004817176

More information

UNESCO EOLSS. This article deals with risk-defusing behavior. It is argued that this forms a central part in decision processes.

UNESCO EOLSS. This article deals with risk-defusing behavior. It is argued that this forms a central part in decision processes. RISK-DEFUSING BEHAVIOR Oswald Huber University of Fribourg, Switzerland Keywords: cognitive bias, control, cost of risk-defusing operators, decision making, effect of risk-defusing operators, lottery,

More information

Computer tailored persuasion: effectiveness and side-effects. Arie Dijkstra University of Groningen The Netherlands

Computer tailored persuasion: effectiveness and side-effects. Arie Dijkstra University of Groningen The Netherlands Computer tailored persuasion: effectiveness and side-effects Arie Dijkstra University of Groningen The Netherlands Aim and content Questions to be answered Are tailored interventions a fundamental step

More information

It is Whether You Win or Lose: The Importance of the Overall Probabilities of Winning or Losing in Risky Choice

It is Whether You Win or Lose: The Importance of the Overall Probabilities of Winning or Losing in Risky Choice The Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 30:1; 5 19, 2005 c 2005 Springer Science + Business Media, Inc. Manufactured in The Netherlands. It is Whether You Win or Lose: The Importance of the Overall Probabilities

More information

Risk attitude in decision making: A clash of three approaches

Risk attitude in decision making: A clash of three approaches Risk attitude in decision making: A clash of three approaches Eldad Yechiam (yeldad@tx.technion.ac.il) Faculty of Industrial Engineering and Management, Technion Israel Institute of Technology Haifa, 32000

More information

Chapter 8: Visual Imagery & Spatial Cognition

Chapter 8: Visual Imagery & Spatial Cognition 1 Chapter 8: Visual Imagery & Spatial Cognition Intro Memory Empirical Studies Interf MR Scan LTM Codes DCT Imagery & Spatial Cognition Rel Org Principles ImplEnc SpatEq Neuro Imaging Critique StruEq Prop

More information

Assessment and Estimation of Risk Preferences (Outline and Pre-summary)

Assessment and Estimation of Risk Preferences (Outline and Pre-summary) Assessment and Estimation of Risk Preferences (Outline and Pre-summary) Charles A. Holt and Susan K. Laury 1 In press (2013) for the Handbook of the Economics of Risk and Uncertainty, Chapter 4, M. Machina

More information

Are Experimental Economists Prone to Framing Effects? A Natural Field Experiment

Are Experimental Economists Prone to Framing Effects? A Natural Field Experiment Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics Discussion Paper Series ISSN 1749-3293 CeDEx Discussion Paper No. 2007 01 Are Experimental Economists Prone to Framing Effects? A Natural Field Experiment

More information

Clicker quiz: Should the cocaine trade be legalized? (either answer will tell us if you are here or not) 1. yes 2. no

Clicker quiz: Should the cocaine trade be legalized? (either answer will tell us if you are here or not) 1. yes 2. no Clicker quiz: Should the cocaine trade be legalized? (either answer will tell us if you are here or not) 1. yes 2. no Economic Liberalism Summary: Assumptions: self-interest, rationality, individual freedom

More information

Asymmetric discounting of gains and losses: A query theory account

Asymmetric discounting of gains and losses: A query theory account J Risk Uncertain (2011) 43:107 126 DOI 10.1007/s11166-011-9125-1 Asymmetric discounting of gains and losses: A query theory account Kirstin C. Appelt & David J. Hardisty & Elke U. Weber Published online:

More information

UNIT II: RESEARCH METHODS

UNIT II: RESEARCH METHODS THINKING CRITICALLY WITH PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE UNIT II: RESEARCH METHODS Module 4: The Need for Psychological Science Module 5: Scientific Method and Description Module 6: Correlation and Experimentation

More information

What a speaker s choice of frame reveals: Reference points, frame selection, and framing effects

What a speaker s choice of frame reveals: Reference points, frame selection, and framing effects Psychonomic Bulletin & Review 2003, 10 (3), 596-602 What a speaker s choice of frame reveals: Reference points, frame selection, and framing effects CRAIG R. M. MCKENZIE and JONATHAN D. NELSON University

More information

Prior Dispositions and Actual Behavior in Dictator and Ultimatum Games. Abstract

Prior Dispositions and Actual Behavior in Dictator and Ultimatum Games. Abstract Prior Dispositions and Actual Behavior in Dictator and Ultimatum Games Hermann Brandstätter, University of Linz Werner Güth, Humboldt-University, Berlin Judith Himmelbauer, University of Linz Willy Kriz,

More information

Quitline in smoking cessation: a cost-effectiveness analysis Tomson T, Helgason A R, Gilljam H

Quitline in smoking cessation: a cost-effectiveness analysis Tomson T, Helgason A R, Gilljam H Quitline in smoking cessation: a cost-effectiveness analysis Tomson T, Helgason A R, Gilljam H Record Status This is a critical abstract of an economic evaluation that meets the criteria for inclusion

More information

The effect of leadership in volunteer dilemmas

The effect of leadership in volunteer dilemmas The effect of leadership in volunteer dilemmas Femke Drost In collaboration with Eline Buurman, Linde Holtkamp and Anastasia Brouwer Master thesis Psychology, specialization Social and Organizational Psychology

More information

Loving-Kindness Meditation

Loving-Kindness Meditation Loving-Kindness Meditation Compassion Meditation 10-15 min. Client Yes Loving-kindness means tender and benevolent affection. It is the wish that all beings (you and others) may be happy and that good

More information

Problems Seem to Be Ubiquitous 10/27/2018. (1) Temptation and Self Control. Behavioral Economics Fall 2018 G6943: Columbia University Mark Dean

Problems Seem to Be Ubiquitous 10/27/2018. (1) Temptation and Self Control. Behavioral Economics Fall 2018 G6943: Columbia University Mark Dean Behavioral Economics Fall 2018 G6943: Columbia University Mark Dean One of the most successful and influential areas in behavioral economics Lots of work: Theoretical: Gul, F. and W. Pesendorfer (2001)

More information

G646: BEHAVIORAL DECISION MAKING. Graduate School of Business Stanford University Fall 2007

G646: BEHAVIORAL DECISION MAKING. Graduate School of Business Stanford University Fall 2007 G646: BEHAVIORAL DECISION MAKING Graduate School of Business Stanford University Fall 2007 Professor: Itamar Simonson Littlefield 378; 725-8981 itamars@stanford.edu Office Hours: By appointment Assistant:

More information

Membership Guidelines

Membership Guidelines Our Network with Results International ( NWRI ) membership guidelines are recommended practices that allow our chapters to run efficiently and effectively for everyone involved. Business networking is

More information

Psychology Department, University of South Dakota, USA

Psychology Department, University of South Dakota, USA Self Framing 1 Running head: SELF-FRAMING OF RISKY CHOICE Self-Framing of Risky Choice X.T. Wang Psychology Department, University of South Dakota, USA Mailing address: Dr. XT Wang Psychology Department

More information

Causal Research Design- Experimentation

Causal Research Design- Experimentation In a social science (such as marketing) it is very important to understand that effects (e.g., consumers responding favorably to a new buzz marketing campaign) are caused by multiple variables. The relationships

More information

Separation of Intertemporal Substitution and Time Preference Rate from Risk Aversion: Experimental Analysis

Separation of Intertemporal Substitution and Time Preference Rate from Risk Aversion: Experimental Analysis . International Conference Experiments in Economic Sciences 3. Oct. 2004 Separation of Intertemporal Substitution and Time Preference Rate from Risk Aversion: Experimental Analysis Ryoko Wada Assistant

More information

Sense-making Approach in Determining Health Situation, Information Seeking and Usage

Sense-making Approach in Determining Health Situation, Information Seeking and Usage DOI: 10.7763/IPEDR. 2013. V62. 16 Sense-making Approach in Determining Health Situation, Information Seeking and Usage Ismail Sualman 1 and Rosni Jaafar 1 Faculty of Communication and Media Studies, Universiti

More information

Risk Aversion in Games of Chance

Risk Aversion in Games of Chance Risk Aversion in Games of Chance Imagine the following scenario: Someone asks you to play a game and you are given $5,000 to begin. A ball is drawn from a bin containing 39 balls each numbered 1-39 and

More information

24/10/13. Surprisingly little evidence that: sex offenders have enduring empathy deficits empathy interventions result in reduced reoffending.

24/10/13. Surprisingly little evidence that: sex offenders have enduring empathy deficits empathy interventions result in reduced reoffending. Professor Tony Ward Law, D. R. & Ward, T. (2011). Desistance from sexual offending: Alternatives to throwing away the keys. New York, NY: Guilford Press. Ward, T., & Durrant, R. (2011). Evolutionary behavioural

More information

ANALYSIS OF PROSPECT THEORY ON EQUITY INVESTMENT DECISION MAKING A BEHAVIOURAL PERSPECTIVE

ANALYSIS OF PROSPECT THEORY ON EQUITY INVESTMENT DECISION MAKING A BEHAVIOURAL PERSPECTIVE ISSN: 0976-2876 (Print) ISSN: 2250-0138 (Online) ANALYSIS OF PROSPECT THEORY ON EQUITY INVESTMENT DECISION MAKING A BEHAVIOURAL PERSPECTIVE D. VELUMONI 1 Assistant Professor, Sathyabama University, Chennai,

More information

Problems Seem to Be Ubiquitous 3/2/2017. (1) Temptation and Self Control. Behavioral Economics Spring 2017 Columbia University Mark Dean

Problems Seem to Be Ubiquitous 3/2/2017. (1) Temptation and Self Control. Behavioral Economics Spring 2017 Columbia University Mark Dean Temptation and Self Control Temptation and Self Control Behavioral Economics Spring 2017 Columbia University Mark Dean One of the most successful and influential areas in behavioral economics Lots of work:

More information

The Cost-Effectiveness of Individual Cognitive Behaviour Therapy for Overweight / Obese Adolescents

The Cost-Effectiveness of Individual Cognitive Behaviour Therapy for Overweight / Obese Adolescents Dr Marion HAAS R Norman 1, J Walkley 2, L Brennan 2, M Haas 1. 1 Centre for Health Economics Research and Evaluation, University of Technology, Sydney. 2 School of Medical Sciences, RMIT University, Melbourne.

More information

A Computational Model of Counterfactual Thinking: The Temporal Order Effect

A Computational Model of Counterfactual Thinking: The Temporal Order Effect A Computational Model of Counterfactual Thinking: The Temporal Order Effect Clare R. Walsh (cwalsh@tcd.ie) Psychology Department, University of Dublin, Trinity College, Dublin 2, Ireland Ruth M.J. Byrne

More information

A Mathematical Formalization of Fuzzy Trace Theory

A Mathematical Formalization of Fuzzy Trace Theory A Mathematical Formalization of Fuzzy Trace Theory David Andre Broniatowski (Broniatowski@Gwu.Edu) The George Washington University, Department of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, 1776 G

More information

Attention, Frame Condition and Decision Making Under Risk:

Attention, Frame Condition and Decision Making Under Risk: Attention, Frame Condition and Decision Making Under Risk: An Empirical Test of the Contingent Focus Model using an Eye Gaze Recorder Satoshi Fujii 1 & Kazuhisa Takemura 2 1 Tokyo Institute of Technology,

More information

Relationship Between Various Personality Traits of Sports Person with Creativity

Relationship Between Various Personality Traits of Sports Person with Creativity Since March 2002 P hysical Education An International, Registered & Referred Monthly Journal : Research Link - 142, Vol - XIV (11), January - 2016, Page No. 134-136 ISSN - 0973-1628 RNI - MPHIN-2002-7041

More information

Evaluation Models STUDIES OF DIAGNOSTIC EFFICIENCY

Evaluation Models STUDIES OF DIAGNOSTIC EFFICIENCY 2. Evaluation Model 2 Evaluation Models To understand the strengths and weaknesses of evaluation, one must keep in mind its fundamental purpose: to inform those who make decisions. The inferences drawn

More information

Behavioral Finance 1-1. Chapter 5 Heuristics and Biases

Behavioral Finance 1-1. Chapter 5 Heuristics and Biases Behavioral Finance 1-1 Chapter 5 Heuristics and Biases 1 Introduction 1-2 This chapter focuses on how people make decisions with limited time and information in a world of uncertainty. Perception and memory

More information

Partnership between the government, municipalities, NGOs and the industry: A new National Alcohol Programme in Finland

Partnership between the government, municipalities, NGOs and the industry: A new National Alcohol Programme in Finland Partnership between the government, municipalities, NGOs and the industry: A new National Alcohol Programme in Finland The structure and the aims of the National Alcohol Programme Marjatta Montonen, Programme

More information

Qualitative Data Analysis. Richard Boateng, PhD. Arguments with Qualitative Data. Office: UGBS RT18 (rooftop)

Qualitative Data Analysis. Richard Boateng, PhD. Arguments with Qualitative Data. Office: UGBS RT18 (rooftop) Qualitative Data Analysis Lecturer/Convenor: Richard Boateng, PhD. Email: richard@pearlrichards.org Office: UGBS RT18 (rooftop) Arguments with Qualitative Data Photo Illustrations from Getty Images www.gettyimages.com

More information

Intuitive Confidence and the Prominence Effect: When Consumer Choices are Sensitive to Matching Prices. Joseph P. Simmons Yale University

Intuitive Confidence and the Prominence Effect: When Consumer Choices are Sensitive to Matching Prices. Joseph P. Simmons Yale University 1 Intuitive Confidence and the Prominence Effect: When Consumer Choices are Sensitive to Matching Prices Joseph P. Simmons Yale University Leif D. Nelson New York University Joseph P. Simmons is Assistant

More information

A Coach s Guide to Spit Tobacco Education

A Coach s Guide to Spit Tobacco Education OUTLINE Goals Objectives To increase coaches, players and parents knowledge about various aspects addiction. By the end of this learning session, participants will: 1. List 3 pressures to use tobacco 2.

More information

Charles R. Plott California Institute of Technology

Charles R. Plott California Institute of Technology The Rational Foundations of Economic Behavior," edited by K. Arrow, E. Colombatto, M. Perlaman and C. Schmidt. London: Macmillan and New York: St. Martin's Press, (1996):220-224. COMMENTS ON: DANIEL KAHNEMAN,..

More information

A model of parallel time estimation

A model of parallel time estimation A model of parallel time estimation Hedderik van Rijn 1 and Niels Taatgen 1,2 1 Department of Artificial Intelligence, University of Groningen Grote Kruisstraat 2/1, 9712 TS Groningen 2 Department of Psychology,

More information

Implicit Information in Directionality of Verbal Probability Expressions

Implicit Information in Directionality of Verbal Probability Expressions Implicit Information in Directionality of Verbal Probability Expressions Hidehito Honda (hito@ky.hum.titech.ac.jp) Kimihiko Yamagishi (kimihiko@ky.hum.titech.ac.jp) Graduate School of Decision Science

More information

Principles of Sociology

Principles of Sociology Principles of Sociology DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS ATHENS UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS [Academic year 2017/18, FALL SEMESTER] Lecturer: Dimitris Lallas Principles of Sociology 4th Session Sociological

More information

Multiple Act criterion:

Multiple Act criterion: Common Features of Trait Theories Generality and Stability of Traits: Trait theorists all use consistencies in an individual s behavior and explain why persons respond in different ways to the same stimulus

More information

A Fundamental Prediction Error: Self-Others Discrepancies in Risk Preference

A Fundamental Prediction Error: Self-Others Discrepancies in Risk Preference Journal of Experimental Psychology: General Copyright 1997 by the American Psychological Association, Inc. 1997, Vol. 126, No. 1, 45-53 0096-3445/97/$3.00 A Fundamental Prediction Error: Self-Others Discrepancies

More information

Goal-setting for a healthier self: evidence from a weight loss challenge

Goal-setting for a healthier self: evidence from a weight loss challenge Goal-setting for a healthier self: evidence from a weight loss challenge Séverine Toussaert (NYU) November 12, 2015 Goals as self-disciplining devices (1) 1. Goals are a key instrument of self-regulation.

More information

Understanding Minimal Risk. Richard T. Campbell University of Illinois at Chicago

Understanding Minimal Risk. Richard T. Campbell University of Illinois at Chicago Understanding Minimal Risk Richard T. Campbell University of Illinois at Chicago Why is Minimal Risk So Important? It is the threshold for determining level of review (Issue 8) Determines, in part, what

More information

On the diversity principle and local falsifiability

On the diversity principle and local falsifiability On the diversity principle and local falsifiability Uriel Feige October 22, 2012 1 Introduction This manuscript concerns the methodology of evaluating one particular aspect of TCS (theoretical computer

More information

Amir Heiman Department of Agricultural Economics and Management, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel.

Amir Heiman Department of Agricultural Economics and Management, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel. Amir Heiman Department of Agricultural Economics and Management, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel. 64 countries around the world require labeling of genetically modified foods. http://www.justlabelit.org/right-to-know-center/labeling-around-the-world/

More information

Aspiration Levels and Educational Choices. An experimental study

Aspiration Levels and Educational Choices. An experimental study Aspiration Levels and Educational Choices An experimental study Lionel Page Louis Levy Garboua Claude Montmarquette October 2006 Westminster Business School, University of Westminster, 35 Marylebone Road,

More information

THE INTERACTION OF SUBJECTIVITY AND OBJECTIVITY IN THE PROCESS OF RISKY INVESTMENT DECISION MAKING

THE INTERACTION OF SUBJECTIVITY AND OBJECTIVITY IN THE PROCESS OF RISKY INVESTMENT DECISION MAKING Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu Faculty of Economic Sciences SUMMARY OF DOCTORAL DISSERTATION THE INTERACTION OF SUBJECTIVITY AND OBJECTIVITY IN THE PROCESS OF RISKY INVESTMENT DECISION MAKING Scientific

More information

An Experimental Investigation of Self-Serving Biases in an Auditing Trust Game: The Effect of Group Affiliation: Discussion

An Experimental Investigation of Self-Serving Biases in an Auditing Trust Game: The Effect of Group Affiliation: Discussion 1 An Experimental Investigation of Self-Serving Biases in an Auditing Trust Game: The Effect of Group Affiliation: Discussion Shyam Sunder, Yale School of Management P rofessor King has written an interesting

More information

INTRODUCTION TO SYMBOLIC INTERACTION: GEORGE HERBERT MEAD PART ONE: THEORETICAL APPROACH OF SYMBOLIC INTERACTIONISM

INTRODUCTION TO SYMBOLIC INTERACTION: GEORGE HERBERT MEAD PART ONE: THEORETICAL APPROACH OF SYMBOLIC INTERACTIONISM WEEK TWO Mon Sept 21, 2009 Tues Sept 22, 2009 INTRODUCTION TO SYMBOLIC INTERACTION: GEORGE HERBERT MEAD LECTURE OUTLINE PART ONE: THEORETICAL APPROACH OF SYMBOLIC INTERACTIONISM 1. Pragmatism as a Theoretical

More information

The Psychology of Rare Events: Challenges to Managing Tail Risks

The Psychology of Rare Events: Challenges to Managing Tail Risks Workshop on Climate Change and Extreme Events: The Psychology of Rare Events: Challenges to Managing Tail Risks Elke U. Weber Center for Research on Environmental Decisions (CRED) Columbia University Resources

More information

LONG QUESTIONS 1. MEANING OF RESEARCH OBJECTIVES AND TYPES OF RESEARCH. Research refers to a search for knowledge. Research is an art of scientific

LONG QUESTIONS 1. MEANING OF RESEARCH OBJECTIVES AND TYPES OF RESEARCH. Research refers to a search for knowledge. Research is an art of scientific LONG QUESTIONS 1. MEANING OF RESEARCH OBJECTIVES AND TYPES OF RESEARCH. Research refers to a search for knowledge. Research is an art of scientific investigation. The Advanced Learner s Dictionary of Current

More information

THE IMPACT OF GROUP THERAPY ON SOCIAL BEHAVIOUR IN BORDERLINE PERSONALITY DISORDER. Ben Griffin (medical student) & Dr.

THE IMPACT OF GROUP THERAPY ON SOCIAL BEHAVIOUR IN BORDERLINE PERSONALITY DISORDER. Ben Griffin (medical student) & Dr. THE IMPACT OF GROUP THERAPY ON SOCIAL BEHAVIOUR IN BORDERLINE PERSONALITY DISORDER Ben Griffin (medical student) & Dr. Kate Saunders 1 Content Of Talk Introduction This study and previous research in this

More information

Professor Tony Ward. Empathy, altruism and the treatment of sex offenders.

Professor Tony Ward. Empathy, altruism and the treatment of sex offenders. Professor Tony Ward Empathy, altruism and the treatment of sex offenders. Key References Law, D. R. & Ward, T. (2011). Desistance from sexual offending: Alternatives to throwing away the keys. New York,

More information

Title: Healthy snacks at the checkout counter: A lab and field study on the impact of shelf arrangement and assortment structure on consumer choices

Title: Healthy snacks at the checkout counter: A lab and field study on the impact of shelf arrangement and assortment structure on consumer choices Author's response to reviews Title: Healthy snacks at the checkout counter: A lab and field study on the impact of shelf arrangement and assortment structure on consumer choices Authors: Ellen van Kleef

More information

What is Experimental Economics? ECO663 Experimental Economics. Paul Samuelson once said. von Neumann and Morgenstern. Sidney Siegel 10/15/2016

What is Experimental Economics? ECO663 Experimental Economics. Paul Samuelson once said. von Neumann and Morgenstern. Sidney Siegel 10/15/2016 What is Experimental Economics? The use of experimental methods to answer economic questions in various areas of study. ECO663 Experimental Economics Instructor Shihomi Ara-Aksoy Individual Choice Behavior

More information

Is a picture worth a thousand words? The interaction of visual display and attribute representation in attenuating framing bias

Is a picture worth a thousand words? The interaction of visual display and attribute representation in attenuating framing bias Judgment and Decision Making, Vol. 8, No. 4, July 2013, pp. 482 491 Is a picture worth a thousand words? The interaction of visual display and attribute representation in attenuating framing bias Eyal

More information

Survey Methods in Relationship Research

Survey Methods in Relationship Research Purdue University Purdue e-pubs Department of Psychological Sciences Faculty Publications Department of Psychological Sciences 1-1-2009 Survey Methods in Relationship Research Christopher Agnew Purdue

More information

Title. Author(s)Takahashi, Taiki. CitationMedical Hypotheses, 65(4): Issue Date Doc URL. Type. File Information

Title. Author(s)Takahashi, Taiki. CitationMedical Hypotheses, 65(4): Issue Date Doc URL. Type. File Information Title Loss of self-control in intertemporal choice may be Author(s)Takahashi, Taiki CitationMedical Hypotheses, 65(4): 691-693 Issue Date 2005 Doc URL http://hdl.handle.net/2115/46766 Type article (author

More information

Risky Choice Framing Effects

Risky Choice Framing Effects Risky Choice Framing Effects DECISION- MAKING IN THE CONTEXT OF PERSONAL RELEVANCE Kristin Radford Psychology 120 August 2012 The Original Risky Choice Problem Prompt: The Framing of Decisions and the

More information

Chapter 2. The Data Analysis Process and Collecting Data Sensibly. Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc.

Chapter 2. The Data Analysis Process and Collecting Data Sensibly. Copyright 2005 Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, Inc. Chapter 2 The Data Analysis Process and Collecting Data Sensibly Important Terms Variable A variable is any characteristic whose value may change from one individual to another Examples: Brand of television

More information

Integrated versus segregated accounting and the magnitude effect in temporal discounting

Integrated versus segregated accounting and the magnitude effect in temporal discounting Psychonomic Bulletin & Review 2005, 12 (4), 732-739 Integrated versus segregated accounting and the magnitude effect in temporal discounting RANDOLPH C. GRACE and ANTHONY P. MCLEAN University of Canterbury,

More information

M. Zander. Assertiveness. Training. This book has been purchased online on: XinXii.com ebooks & documents from indie authors

M. Zander. Assertiveness. Training. This book has been purchased online on: XinXii.com ebooks & documents from indie authors 2011 Assertiveness Training Martin Zander 2 M. Zander Assertiveness Training This book has been purchased online on: XinXii.com ebooks & documents from indie authors http://www.xinxii.com 3 Copyright,

More information

Discrimination and Generalization in Pattern Categorization: A Case for Elemental Associative Learning

Discrimination and Generalization in Pattern Categorization: A Case for Elemental Associative Learning Discrimination and Generalization in Pattern Categorization: A Case for Elemental Associative Learning E. J. Livesey (el253@cam.ac.uk) P. J. C. Broadhurst (pjcb3@cam.ac.uk) I. P. L. McLaren (iplm2@cam.ac.uk)

More information

Preview from Notesale.co.uk Page 23 of 50

Preview from Notesale.co.uk Page 23 of 50 Page 23 of 50 Study 1: sales tax of toiletries in department store Design - DDD: triple difference estimator - compared the within-treatment-store" DiD estimator DD(TS) to a within-control-store" DiD estimator

More information

Different Scales for Different Frames: The Role of Subjective Scales and Experience in Explaining Attribute Framing Effects

Different Scales for Different Frames: The Role of Subjective Scales and Experience in Explaining Attribute Framing Effects 1 Different Scales for Different Frames: The Role of Subjective Scales and Experience in Explaining Attribute Framing Effects CHRIS JANISZEWSKI* TIM SILK ALAN D. J. COOKE September, 2002 Forthcoming Journal

More information

CHAPTER 6 BASIS MOTIVATION CONCEPTS

CHAPTER 6 BASIS MOTIVATION CONCEPTS CHAPTER 6 BASIS MOTIVATION CONCEPTS WHAT IS MOTIVATION? "Maybe the place to begin is to say what motivation isn't. Many people incorrectly view motivation as a personal trait that is, some have it and

More information

Guyana Key Population Size Estimation Validation and Client Code Assessment

Guyana Key Population Size Estimation Validation and Client Code Assessment Guyana Key Population Size Estimation Validation and Client Code Assessment Nastassia Rambarran & Joel Simpson SASOD Zahra Reynolds, MPH MEASURE Evaluation Key population size estimation validation and

More information

ISSUE NO. 11 OCTOBER 2017 DRINKING WATER IS GOOD FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS CIMAS CARES

ISSUE NO. 11 OCTOBER 2017 DRINKING WATER IS GOOD FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS CIMAS CARES ISSUE NO. 11 OCTOBER 2017 FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS DRINKING WATER IS GOOD 3 4 5 CIMAS CARES From the Editor s Desk October is cancer month, a time when we commemorate lives lost to the ravaging disease

More information

Good Intentions, Optimistic Self-Predictions, and Missed Opportunities

Good Intentions, Optimistic Self-Predictions, and Missed Opportunities Good Intentions, Optimistic Self-Predictions, and Missed Opportunities Social Psychological and Personality Science 2(1) 90-96 ª The Author(s) 2011 Reprints and permission: sagepub.com/journalspermissions.nav

More information

Class 12: The Foreign-Language Effect:Thinking in a Foreign Tongue Reduces Decision Biases. Keysar, Hayakawa, & An Ted Gibson 9.59J/24.

Class 12: The Foreign-Language Effect:Thinking in a Foreign Tongue Reduces Decision Biases. Keysar, Hayakawa, & An Ted Gibson 9.59J/24. Class 12: The Foreign-Language Effect:Thinking in a Foreign Tongue Reduces Decision Biases Keysar, Hayakawa, & An 2012 Ted Gibson 9.59J/24.905J Framing Risk Risk aversion in the domain of gains: Most people

More information