May 6, 2008 First Quarter 2008 Results

Transcription

1 SWEUB CMDV7 May 6, 28 First Quarter 28 Results

2 1Q 28: Improved results in a challenging environment Page 2 Strong loan growth at 34.2% yoy Accelerated deposit growth at 31% yoy; improved loans / deposits ratio at 125.5% Balanced growth of loans and deposits: added 6.75bn deposits, vs. 7bn new loans in the last 6 months Group Profitability at 215m, up 5.7% yoy. Recurring profits up 23% yoy. Greek profits affected by global market conditions NE profitability strongly improved, at 36.2m, up 5 times yoy Poland turns profitable in less than 2 years of operation Loan repricing underway in Greece and in NE NIM sustained above 3.2% Cost containment Group Cost / Income at 47.7%. Greek cost expansion decelerates to 8.6%. New Europe Cost / Income sharply improved to 66.2% from 85.4% one year ago. 2

3 Robust loan growth of 34.2% yoy Page 3 Group Household Lending Total Group Lending % 23.4 New Europe % 5.1 Mortgages % % % 1.9 Consumer credit % 11.1 New Europe % Q 7 1Q 8 Group Business Lending Greece % 1Q 7 1Q SBB % % Mediumsized Enterprises % New Europe % % % Large Corporates % 8.4 Figures in bn. 1Q 7 1Q 8 3

4 Accelerated deposit gathering Strong liquidity position Page 4 Deposit gathering momentum Deposit growth rate accelerates to 31% Greek deposits rise 25% resulting in market share gains, with just 8bps spread reduction Deposit additions outpace loan additions in Greece ( 2.1 bn vs. 1.7bn) for second quarter in a row NE deposit additions at 867m annual growth rate at 76% bn 39.1 Added 6.75bn deposits in the last 6 mths, vs. 7bn new loans difference at a mere 25m Over 3.5 bn contingency liquidity already in place Senior market debt functioning, but spread still at high levels no need to tap the public market 1Q 7 FY 7 1Q 8 Loans / Deposits Ratio Evolution (%) FY 6 1Q 7 1H 7 9M7 FY 7 1Q 8 4

5 Decelerated cost expansion further improvements ahead Page 5 Significant deceleration in growth of expenses Greece: down from 11.3% at year end to 8.6% in 1Q 8 New Europe: down from 54% at year end to 35% (excluding Eurobank Tekfen & Universal Bank acquisitions) Group: down from 27.5% at year end to 24.4% Group costs rise 17% likeforlike yoy Group costs 4% down qoq Deceleration to continue 5

6 Page 6 New Europe 6

7 Regional macroeconomic environment challenging and more volatile, but growth prospects maintained Page 7 Major concern: rising inflation and inflationary expectations & widening of sovereign spreads Real GDP growth prospects remain strong for 28 (>5% for most countries projected by IMF) No further deterioration of current account imbalances projected Strong policy response to the inflationary threat Monetary policies tigthened Tight fiscal conditions: Deficit / GDP <3% in most countries Debt / GDP < 45% in all countries Foreign currency market more volatile, but seems to respond orderly to policy measures. 7

8 Eurobank EFG in New Europe: Impressive performance Page 8 Loans rise 123% yoy 1.7 bn added in the quarter Deposit gathering intensifies NE deposits up 76% yoy Poland turns profitable in 2 yrs of operations Cost / Income improves to 66% from 85% in 1Q 7 Significant increase in NE contribution to Group results: 29% of Group Operating Income from 17% in 1Q 7 17% of Group profitability from just 3.5% one year ago NE distribution capability at 1,12 branches and servicing units, representing 64% of the Group s total network 242 units opened in one year 5 in 1Q 8 8

9 New Europe loan additions at 1.7 bn in 1Q 8 Page 9 NE contributes 49% of total new loans NE organic loan additions / Greek loan additions (%) Net loan additions per country in 1Q 8 48% originated in Poland & Cyprus 95% Romania, 271 Bulgaria, 291 Serbia, 96 Turkey, 91 Universal 78 1,69 Ukraine, 122 Tekfen 342 1,253 Cyprus, Poland, Q 6 Avg. Q 6 1Q 7 Avg. Q 7 1Q 8 Figures in m. 9

10 Improving returns and efficiency in New Europe Page 1 NE Operating income at 29% of Group Rapidly improving Cost / Income (%) NE share of Group operating income NE operating income, m 28.9% 17.1% % Q 7 1Q 8 1Q7 FY7 1Q8 1

11 NE Profits at 36.2m contributing 16.8% of total Poland turns profitable Page 11 Net profits per country Bulgaria 15.9 Net profits contribution per quarter NE share of quarterly Group net profits NE net profits, m 9.1% 14.3% % 36.2 Romania % 6.9% Serbia Turkey Q 6 4Q 6 1Q 7 2Q 7 3Q 7 4Q 7 1Q 8 New Europe profits yoy, m Poland PAT (excl. Ukraine) Cyprus Ukraine 1Q 8 1Q % 36.2 Total PAT Figures in m. 1Q 7 1Q 8 11

12 Page 12 Financial Review 12

13 NII advances 27.3% yoy with stronger loan margin and greater contribution from NE Page 13 NII quarterly evolution New Europe contributes 27.3% to total from 12.4% a year ago Total NII % Loan margin + 96% New Europe 79 Interest rate gapping * Earnings on capital & bonds Greece % 411 Deposit margin Q 7 2Q 7 3Q 7 4Q 7 1Q 8 1Q 7 1Q 8 *Money Market mismatch Figures in m. 13

14 Resilient loan margins mostly offset competitive pressure on deposits Group NIM at 3.22% Page 14 1Q 7 FY 7 1Q 8 Volatile gap of 3M Euribor vs ECB Group NIM (%) Q 7 3Q 7 4Q 7 1Q 8 Avg. 1M Euribor Avg. 3M Euribor Spreads in Greece 1Q 7 4Q 7 1Q 8 Sight & Savings Accounts Time & Client EMTNs Total Deposits M Euribor 4.6 Wholesale Loans Mortgage Consumer SBB Retail Loans Total Loans (Greece) ECB Aug7 Sep7 Oct7 Nov7 Dec7 Jan8 Feb8 Mar8 14

15 Fees grow 16.1% yoy at 168m Page 15 Lending fees rise 9% strong capital markets fees (up 2%) Fees from mutual funds decline, as clients switch to risk averse products New Europe fees jump 13% reflecting profitable product distribution Total Fees evolution NE share of Group Total Fees Total Fees Composition 37.3% 18.9% % 168 Lending Activities Network & Other Activities Capital Markets 33 4 Mutual Funds & AUM Q 7 1Q 8 Insurance Nonbanking services Q 7 1Q 8 Figures in m. 15

16 Group recurring revenues grow by 27% yoy Greek recurring revenues up 9% Page 16 Breakdown of Operating Income Total Operating Income up 21% yoy % Q 7 2Q 7 3Q 7 4Q 7 1Q 8 Operating Income per Region (19) % +9.1% New Europe GR NonCore Income* GR Recurring Revenues 1Q 7 4Q 7 1Q 8 1Q 7 4Q 7 1Q 8 Recurring Revenues Non Core Income and Gapping* 48 * Including Trading Income, Gains / Losses from Securities and Other Gains 1Q 7 1Q 8 16 Figures in m.

17 Cost containment Group Cost / Income improves to 47.7% Page 17 Greek cost growth decelerates to 8.6% yoy and is down 4.4% qoq Sharp improvement in New Europe with Cost / Income at 66% Group costs rise 17% likeforlike Aim for <8% FY 8 cost expansion in Greece Further deceleration of total cost expansion is projected Cost / Income (%) Group Greece New Europe FY 7 4Q 7 1Q 8 Cost evolution Total Costs per Region 1Q 7 1Q 8 Group Costs (comparable*) New Operations Total Group Costs Depreciation Admin % Staff Q 7 2Q 7 3Q 7 4Q 7 1Q 8 * Excluding new operations (Eurobank Tekfen & Ukraine) 1Q 7 1Q 8 Greece New Europe 17 Figures in m.

18 Sound credit quality Page 18 NPLs at 2.45%, from 2.65% in 1Q 7 Group NPL Ratio (% of loans) Greek NPLs at 2.77% in 1Q 8 vs. 4.5% for the Greek banking system (FY7) 3.2% Coverage at 86% coverage of noncollateralized loans at 126% 2.65% 2.45% Provisions at 17 bps in 1Q 8, due to effect of strikes in Greece 1Q 6 1Q 7 1Q 8 Bad Debt Provisions Past Due > 9 Days (% to gross loans) Q 6 2Q 6 3Q 6 4Q 6 1Q 7 2Q 7 3Q 7 4Q 7 1Q 8 FY 7 1Q 8 m quarterly provisions/avg. net loans 18

19 Page 19 Segmental Performance 19

20 Recurring profitability before tax* up 23% yoy Total PBT rises 5.3% to 27 m Page 2 PBT* per Segment Group PBT* Share of profits 38.4% 23.5% 9.3% 19.6% 1.7% Non Core Income & Gapping** % 228 Recurring Revenues 1Q Retail Corporate Wealth Management Global & Capital Markets New Europe (4) Capital & Other 1Q 7 1Q 8 Figures in m. * after Minority Interest ** Including Trading Income, Gains / Losses from Securities and Other Gains 2

21 Retail quarterly returns growing again, with emphasis on efficiency Page 21 Quarterly PBT evolution ( m) 4Q 7/1Q 8 growth 2.% (3.6)% 11.4% 3.4% Q 7 2Q 7 3Q 7 4Q 7 1Q (6) Revenues Expenses Provisions Profits 4Q 7 Delta FY 7 1Q 8 Cost to Income 44.3% 44.8% Return on Equity 42.2% 38.8% Return on RwA 2.96% 3.7% Share of profits 43.3% 38.4% Retail: incorporating customer current accounts, savings, deposits, credit and debit cards, consumer loans, small business banking and mortgages Figures in m. 21

22 Corporate improved quality and profitability produce record results Page 22 Quarterly PBT evolution ( m) 4Q 7/1Q 8 growth 4.7% (3.6)% (1.3)% 1.8% Q 7 2Q 7 3Q 7 4Q 7 1Q 8 Figures in m (1) 7 (1) Revenues Expenses Provisions Profits 4Q 7 Delta FY 7 1Q 8 Cost to Income 31.6% 29.1% Return on Equity 23.9% 24.% Return on RwA 1.67% 1.68% Share of profits 18.5% 23.5% Corporate: incorporating direct debit facilities, current accounts, deposits, overdrafts, loan and other credit facilities, foreign currency and derivative products to corporate entities. 22

23 Wealth Management profitability maintained Page 23 Quarterly PBT evolution ( m) 4Q 7/1Q 8 growth.4% (2.5)% 2.7% Q 7 2Q 7 3Q 7 4Q 7 1Q 8 FY 7 1Q Cost to Income 34.2% 38.4% Return on Equity 82.2% 86.1% Share of profits 13.5% 9.3% Figures in m. Revenues Expenses Profits 4Q 7 Delta Wealth Management: incorporating private banking services, including total wealth management to medium and high net worth individuals, insurance, mutual fund products and institutional asset management. 23

24 Global & Capital Markets outstanding efficiency Page 24 Quarterly PBT evolution ( m) 4Q 7/1Q 8 growth (.5)% (3.6)%.8% Q 7 2Q 7 3Q 7 4Q 7 1Q FY 7 1Q 8 Cost to Income 22.9% 24.5% Return on Equity 7.7% 51.4% Share of profits 24.7% 19.6% 18 Figures in m. (1) Revenues Expenses Profits 4Q 7 Delta Global & Capital Markets: incorporating investment banking services including corporate finance, merger and acquisitions advice, custody, equity brokerage, financial instruments trading and institutional finance to corporate and institutional entities, as well as, specialised financial advice and intermediation to private and large retail individuals, as well as small and large corporate entities. 24

25 New Europe: impressive efficiency gains higher profitability contribution Page 25 Quarterly PBT evolution ( m) 4Q 7/1Q 8 growth 5.7% (2.8)% 71.5% 18.2% Q 7 2Q 7 3Q 7 4Q 7 1Q FY 7 1Q 8 Cost to Income 81.9% 71.% Return on RwA.55% 1.16% Share of profits 1.7% (5) 2 24 Revenues Expenses Provisions Profits 4Q 7 Delta NE Wave 1 countries: Bulgaria, Romania, Serbia NE Wave 2 countries: Turkey, Cyprus, Poland, Ukraine Figures in m. 25

26 Page 26 Solid Shareholder Returns 26

27 Healthy returns in a volatile environment Page 27 Group profitability ( m) % Non Core Income & Gapping* 1Q 8 up 5.7% yoy to 215m. + 23% 184 Recurring Revenues Recurring profits up 23% yoy 149 RoE at 2% from 22% in FY 7** 1Q 7 1Q 8 * Including Trading Income, Gains / Losses from Securities and Other Gains RoA at 1.25% from 1.36% in FY 7** Capital Adequacy Regulatory Capital Basle II 5.4 bn Ordinary Shareholders Equity at 4.bn Total Risk Asset Ratio 11.29% Preferred Equity at 76 m Tier I Reg. Cap. 4.1 bn Tier I Ratio 8.46% Core Tier I Ratio 8.39% ** as published 27

28 Page 28 Appendices 28

29 Financial Ratios Page 29 Financial Ratios 1Q 8 1Q 7 Net Interest Margin CostIncome NPLs (% of loans) NPLs coverage Provision Charge (% of net loans) Tier Ι Ratio Total Capital Adequacy ROA after tax ROE after tax and minorities EPS (, annualised) 3.22% 47.7% 2.45% 86.% 1.7% 8.46% 11.29% 1.25% 2.% % 46.4% 2.65% 91.7% 1.4% 7.46% 9.27% 1.5% 27.4%

30 Summary Figures Page 3 Summary Figures ( m) 1Q 8 1Q 7 Δ% New Europe Net Interest Income % Net fees & Commissions % 61.6 Insurance and Non banking fees % 1.1 Total Operating Income % Operating Expenses % 15.4 Impairment % 33.6 Profit before tax % 4.4 Net Profit % 36.2 Portfolio of Loans (Gross, m) Consumer Loans Mortgages 11,142 12,293 8,624 8, % 36.8% 2,924 2,429 Loans to Households 23,435 17, % 5,353 Small Business Loans Loans to MediumSized Enterprises Loans to Large Corporates Business Loans Total Gross Loans 8,12 1,181 8,413 26,696 5,132 5,934 7,698 6,118 19,75 37, % 32.3% 37.5% 35.2% 34.2% 1,412 1,543 2,633 5,588 1,941 3

31 Key figures of New Europe operations Page 31 Romania Bulgaria Serbia Cyprus Poland Turkey Ukraine NE Δ % Total Assets 4,491 3,683 1, ,83 1, ,76 18% Balance Sheet Total Loans 3,415 2, , , % Total Deposits 1,52 1, , ,267 76% Operating Income % P&L Operating Expenses Profit before tax (before MI) (47.9) 14.8 (23.9) 16.5 (16.5) 8.1 (2.2) (.6) (32.3) 2.2 (13.6) 11.4 (15.) (9.3) (15.4) % 792% Profit after tax and minorities (.6) (7.8) % Resources Retail network Wholesale network Bulgaria: DZI financial data consolidated in December, 26 Turkey: Eurobank Tekfen financial data consolidated in March 27 Ukraine: Universalbank financial data consolidated in March 27 Figures in m. 31

32 Key regional macroeconomic data Page 32 Real GDP growth (%) CPI Inflation (%) Current account % of GDP Monetary policy response (since Jul.7) Exchange rate Movement (12 mths, %) US Euro Romania (13.9) (14.5) +275 bps 3.3 (1.5) Bulgaria (21.4) (21.9) +8 bps 6.3 = Serbia (16.5) (16.1) +55 bps Poland (3.7) (5.) +125 bps Turkey (5.7) (6.7) (225) bps 6.3 (9.7) Ukraine (4.2) (7.6) +2 bps 4.6 (11.1) Cyprus (7.3) (7.7) EMU =.5852 Greece (14.1) (13.9) EU (.9) Source: IMF projections, April 28 32

33 1Q 28 Summary per Segment Page 33 Segmental Results 1Q 8 ( m) Retail Corporate Wealth Management Global & Capital Markets Capital & Other Elimination Center New Europe Total Interest income Net fee & commission income Net Insurance income Non Banking services Other income Noninterest income Fees Received/Paid Gross Market Revenues Operating Expenses Loans Provisions Income from associates 9 8 Minorities PBT attr. to Shareholders % of Group PBT 38.4% 23.5% 9.3% 19.6% 1.62% 1.68% 1% Risk Weighted Assets 11,95 15, ,545 1,539 11,7 46,36 % of Total RWA 25.8% 34.1%.9% 12.% 3.3% 23.9% 1% Allocated Equity 1,82 1, ,31 4,759 % of total 22.7% 23.2% 2.2% 8.2% 16.3% 27.3% 1% Cost / Income 44.8% 29.1% 38.4% 24.5% 65.3% 71.% 47.7% RoA (before tax) 1.7% 1.87% 1.4% 1.11% n.a..78% 1..54% ROAC (before tax) 38.8% 24.% 86.1% 51.4% n.a. 9.2% 22.1% 33

34 1Q 27 Summary per Segment Page 34 Segmental Results 1Q 7 ( m) Retail Corporate Wealth Management Treasury & Capital Markets Capital & Other Elimination Center New Europe Total Interest income Net fee & commission income Net Insurance income Non Banking services 5 5 Other income Noninterest income Fees Received/Paid Gross Market Revenues Operating Expenses Loans Provisions Income from associates 1 2 Minorities 3 3 PBT attr. to Shareholders % of Group PBT 43.3% 18.5% 13.5% 24.7% 1.5%.% 1.4% 1.% Risk Weighted Assets 12,855 12, ,586 1,35 4,583 35,733 % of Total RWA 36.% 34.7%.8% 12.8% 2.9% n.a. 12.8% 1% Allocated Equity n.a ,988 % of total 3.1% 29.% 4.7% 1.7% 4.5% 21.% 1% Cost / Income 43.8% 31.3% 29.7% 2.3% 52.8% n.a. 93.% 46.4% RoA (before tax) 2.2% 1.7% 3.4% 1.5%.1% n.a..2% 1.9% ROAC (before tax) 46.6% 22.8% 95.1% 91.7% 12.9% n.a 2.9% 36.3% 34

35 Contacts Page 35 EFG Eurobank Ergasias, 2 Amalias Avenue, Athens, Greece Fax: Internet: Reuters: Bloomberg: investor_relations@eurobank.gr EFGr.AT EUROB GA Investor Relations Dimitris Nikolos Tel: dnikolos@eurobank.gr Marlen Miliadi Tel: mmiliadi@eurobank.gr Yannis Chalaris Tel: ychalaris@eurobank.gr Manos Giakoumis Tel: mgiakoumis@eurobank.gr 35