bob alexander Rural Livelihood Risk Management Consulting

Transcription

1 bob alexander Rural Livelihood Risk Management Consulting

2 The Mercer et al Knowledge Integration Framework Source: Mercer, Kelman, Sucher-Pearson, and Lloyd (2009)

3 Knowledge Continuum Confirmation As Truth Knowledge On Radar Screen Willingness to try Awareness Perception Influences of uncertainty Ignorance Source: I can t remember (Fischoff, Renn?), but, wow, it was good

4 Vulnerability Scenarios: To & From Hazards, trends, conditions Hazards, trends, conditions trends, conditions trends, conditions BSF-Processes Food/Goods/ Income Environmental Vulnerability Physical Vulnerability Economic Vulnerability Social Vulnerability Health Care What effect on What effect What effect Education/ vulnerability on What effect on Training of loss of vulnerability on process vulnerability physical or of loss of and Shelter/Power/ of loss of direct economic or resultant Watsan social economic or direct social function Phys. Safety & effectiveness direct social effectiveness effectiveness? DM of these effectiveness of these elements? Transport & of these elements? Comms. elements? Rec/Ent/Rel/ Cul. [all classified by function & underlying process for each element in that category]

5 Identify, Analyze, & Assess Vulnerability Levels 1) Identify 2) Analyze (& verify) 3) Assess (& prioritize) Outside: BSFs/Inst. Processes Vulnerable Elements *Coping/ Buffering Inside: BSFs/Inst. Processes Vulnerable Elements Coping / Buffering Iterative Knowledge maps 1) Baseline 2) Adverse 3) Future Outside: Clarify Analyze Differences New info new maps Inside: Clarify Analyze Differences New info new maps Agreement Reps. Of Inside Groups (& Outside Monitors): determine unacceptable levels of elements Rank reduction of unacceptable levels

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16 Coping Mechanisms Mechanism / Group Baseline Low Men Low Women Savings Y M N Borrow (F, R, B, S) Y(R) Y(F,R) M(B,S) Y (all if can) Remittances M N Y Sell Assets N M Y Short Crops N N N Make/Sell Goods N N M (rope/shells) Inferior Foods N M Y Baseline = 18% Low Access Men = 12% Low Access Women = 10 %

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21 Identify, Analyze, & Assess Vulnerability Levels 1) Identify 2) Analyze (& verify) 3) Assess (& prioritize) Outside: BSFs/Inst. Processes Vulnerable Elements *Coping/ Buffering Inside: BSFs/Inst. Processes Vulnerable Elements Coping / Buffering Iterative Knowledge maps 1) Baseline 2) Adverse 3) Future Outside: Clarify Analyze Differences New info new maps Inside: Clarify Analyze Differences New info new maps Agreement Reps. Of Inside Groups (& Outside Monitors): determine unacceptable levels of elements Rank reduction of unacceptable levels

22 1) Culture relevance?: acknowledge & question inside & outside cultures; start from culture (how things work = BSFs/processes/ elements; then integrate adverse & future ) 2) How engage with culture?: empower, iterate, agree, treat, entrust (in a new CBDRR system) 3) How use IK value for DRR?: merge inside & outside perceptions knowledge from which to base initial/continual treatment 4) Research practice challenges?: (a) buy-in, initial knowledge base creation, ease of replication, normal & adverse commitment (b)more focus on co-knowing social problems that require solutions (NOT hazard maps OR solutions to un- known problems)

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24 Sustainagility (barefoot bob, 2008) I feel the waters start to rise - & I feel it getting worse each time & I know that I can t change - what others did - so placing blame won t help me find a new way to survive We must seek new options We must treat what s exposed & weak We must teach (all we can teach) each other & change before the change becomes too deep Once we had many of us here But now it seems there s less & less each year Some have chosen to migrate, others met a different fate, & those of us remaining live in fear Waters may be rising all around us - So the time is now for us to act Get assessment of what s weak & Find the best way we can treat them As we try to get on the sustainagility track