One slide on research question Literature review: structured; holes you will fill in Your research design

Transcription

1 Topics Ahead Week 10-11: Experimental design; Running experiment Week 12: Survey Design; ANOVA Week 13: Correlation and Regression; Non Parametric Statistics Week 14: Computational Methods; Simulation; Design Research Week 15: Research Report Writing Week 16: Final Presentation

2 Presentations Week 13 One slide on research question Literature review: structured; holes you will fill in Your research design Week 16: General design and key components Data: type, sources, possible analysis methods Everything Detailed design Data collection method Data analysis method Instruments: survey, experimental protocols, etc.

3 Experimental Design

4 Previous Example New Tradition

5 Goal? New Tradition =?

6 Challenges Internal validity How to guarantee what you have observed is true? External validity How to guarantee what you have observed can be applied in other situations? Construct validity To what extend does your study measure the construct of interest?

7 Threats to Internal Validity: Biased Samples Group selection Self-identified Assigned by researchers Assigned arbitrarily Are the groups equal? Choosing groups based on their differences results in having groups that are different Difference should be less than 5%.

8 How About Matching? Almost impossible to perfectly match individual participants No identical participants Too many relevant factors/variables Some we know, but some we don t. Matching on pretest scores Selection by maturation interactions: participants growing in different ways How can you make sure equal scores mean subjects are equal?

9 So Trying to keep everything except the treatment constant is very difficult, if not impossible Selection is a big problem Internal validity is threatened. Only option is to rule out extraneous variables. Use random assignment Identify extraneous variables and then try to rule them out

10 Dilemma Attempts to rule out threats to internal validity may hurt external validity Not studying a heterogeneous group of participants Not studying participants in a naturalistic setting

11 You Need To Be cautious about accepting cause-effect statements If the study is not an experiment, the study s internal validity is probably threatened by at least one of 8 threats to validity argued by Campbell and Stanley (1963)

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13 Some Threats To Internal Validity History: events that occur between treatments Testing: changes resulting from the practice and experience gained in the test Instrumentation: the change of the way subjects are measured Regression effects: selection of subjects based on extreme scores Mortality: the loss of subjects Selection: groups are selected differently Maturation: treatment effects are really due to natural growth or development Selection by maturation interactions: participants growing in different ways

14 Experimental Study Experimental designs can rule out most threats to internal validity.

15 What Is An Experimental Study?

16 Basic Logic Get a hypotheses Causal relationship Independent Variable Dependent Variable Manipulate the independent variable (IV) and measure the dependent variable (DV) Have experimental and control groups Similar, but treated differently Random selected Statistically analyze the difference Significant result or not?

17 Key Issue Apply treatment on one group but not the other. The only difference between two groups is the treatment. If DV shows any difference, it is due to the treatment! All other factors should be the same, at least in theory. Task, observation instrument, procedure. Subjects

18 HOW CAN WE GUARANTEE SUBJECTS IN TWO GROUPS ARE THE SAME?

19 Group Assignment Random assignment Select subjects for two groups from the same subject pool. Assign them to two groups randomly. Without random assignment, you do not have an experiment

20 Methods for Random Selection Random Excel Pick up a series of numbers to sort Generate random numbers and then sort. Toss a coin Tail experimental group Head control group

21 Using a Random Table

22 Using Random Table

23 Steps

24 Using Excel Generate a set of random numbers Using the rand() function Copy the values!

25 IV and DV CONTROL

26 Data Collection and Analysis Knowing what to measure Variables Calculating means Sample means Comparing sample means Statistic methods

27 Independent Variable Treatment Simple experiments Treatment: yes and no Experimental group: applied Control group: not applied Treatment: different levels and no Multiple experimental groups and one control group

28 Manipulation IV Making the treatment observable and significant

29 Statistic Analysis Rule out random errors Errors = random errors + systematic errors by the treatment Statistically significant results You can declare the causal effects. May not be the same direction you expected Non-significant results You didn t find it But it doesn t mean it doesn t exist

30 Type of Experiments

31 Often Seen Types Simple experiment One independent variable Two groups Multi-group experiment One independent variable Multiple groups (>2) Factorial design Two or more independent variables At least four groups

32 Simple Experiment t test Could be between- or within-subject design

33 Questions Raised by Results Questions raised by non-significant results Enough participants? Participants homogeneous enough? Experiment sufficiently standardized? Data coded carefully? DV sensitive and reliable enough?

34 Pilot Study Testing various aspects of study Subjects IV DV Procedure and protocols With a smaller group of subjects With the SAME procedure and protocols Must have all experimental materials ready before the pilot study Issues to look at Procedure and protocols (e.g., instruction, task, etc.) Data collection method The number of subjects required