Neighbourhood deprivation and smoking outcomes in South Africa
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1 Neighbourhood deprivation and smoking outcomes in South Africa Lisa Lau, MPH. Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan.! Jamie Tam, MPH. Department of Health Management and Policy, School of Public Health, University of Michigan.!! RESEARCH CONFERENCE ON TOBACCO CONTROL IN AFRICA, 16 JULY 2014 CAPE TOWN, SOUTH AFRICA
2 Background and Justification Individual-level predictors for adult smoking behaviours in South Africa have been established through previous research (Strebel et al., 1989; Peer et al., 2009 Vellios & van Walbeek, 2013) Smoking disparities exist across the country: 12% males and 6.2% of females are cigarette smokers (Tobacco Atlas 4th edition, 2009) Among men: BLACK %, COLOURED %, WHITE %, INDIAN % (DHS, 2003) Among women: BLACK - 5.2%, COLOURED %, WHITE %, INDIANS % (DHS, 2003)
3 Background and Justification Understanding the role of neighbourhood influences on smoking-related outcomes is important for addressing these disparities The effectiveness of tobacco control strategies depends on the socioeconomic and environmental context in which they are implemented Economic and social deprivation has been shown to be significantly associated with smoking status in other contexts (Kleinschmidt et al., 1995; Shohaimi et al., 2003; Baumann et al., 2007; Blakely et al., 2013) This study is the first multi-level analysis of individual and neighbourhood socioeconomic contexts for smoking behaviours in South Africa
4 Neighbourhoods and Health
5 Neighbourhoods and Health Residential segregation by race and SES position Inequalities in resource distributions
6 Neighbourhoods and Health Residential segregation by race and SES position Inequalities in resource distributions Neighbourhood physical environments - Environmental exposures - Food & recreational resources - Built environment - Aesthetic quality/natural spaces - Services - Quality of housing
7 Neighbourhoods and Health Residential segregation by race and SES position Inequalities in resource distributions Neighbourhood physical environments - Environmental exposures - Food & recreational resources - Built environment - Aesthetic quality/natural spaces - Services - Quality of housing Neighbourhood social environments - Safety/violence - Social connections/cohesion - Local institutions - Norms
8 Neighbourhoods and Health Residential segregation by race and SES position Inequalities in resource distributions Neighbourhood physical environments - Environmental exposures - Food & recreational resources - Built environment - Aesthetic quality/natural spaces - Services - Quality of housing Neighbourhood social environments - Safety/violence - Social connections/cohesion - Local institutions - Norms
9 Neighbourhoods and Health Residential segregation by race and SES position Inequalities in resource distributions Neighbourhood physical environments - Environmental exposures - Food & recreational resources - Built environment - Aesthetic quality/natural spaces - Services - Quality of housing Neighbourhood social environments - Safety/violence - Social connections/cohesion - Local institutions - Norms Behavioural mediators Stress
10 Neighbourhoods and Health Residential segregation by race and SES position Inequalities in resource distributions Neighbourhood physical environments - Environmental exposures - Food & recreational resources - Built environment - Aesthetic quality/natural spaces - Services - Quality of housing Neighbourhood social environments - Safety/violence - Social connections/cohesion - Local institutions - Norms Behavioural mediators Stress Health Adapted from Diez Roux & Mair (2010)
11 Neighbourhoods and Health Residential segregation by race and SES position Inequalities in resource distributions Neighbourhood physical environments - Environmental exposures - Food & recreational resources - Built environment - Aesthetic quality/natural spaces - Services - Quality of housing Neighbourhood social environments - Safety/violence - Social connections/cohesion - Local institutions - Norms Behavioural mediators Stress How might smoking outcomes vary by neighbourhood environment? Health Adapted from Diez Roux & Mair (2010)
12 Neighbourhoods and smoking Residential segregation by race and SES position Inequalities in resource distributions Policy implementation - Smoke-free policies - Availability of tobacco - Tobacco advertising - Youth access to tobacco - Local enforcement! Smoking norms Economic conditions Behavioural mediators Stress Smoking status
13 Image by FreddieA, shared under Creative Commons 3.0 Neighbourhood deprivation How does it associate with smoking outcomes?
14 Neighbourhood deprivation Conditions of the physical and social environment in local communities that contribute to the experience of deprivation including: (1) income and material, (2) employment, (3) education, and (4) living environment deprivation These four dimensions of deprivation are used by the South African Index of Multiple Deprivation (SAIMD) at municipality level (Wright and Nobel, 2009) Subindices of each domain, and an overall multiple deprivation index, were constructed with the same items as SAIMD, using Principal Component Analysis
15 Deprivation and smoking? Social and physical deprivation due to living circumstances
16 Deprivation and smoking? Social and physical deprivation due to living circumstances - Poor enforcement and implementation of tobacco control policies - Lack of local institutions to support health - Social norms that encourage smoking - Life stressors
17 Deprivation and smoking? Social and physical deprivation due to living circumstances - Poor enforcement and implementation of tobacco control policies - Lack of local institutions to support health - Social norms that encourage smoking - Life stressors Worse smoking outcomes
18 Deprivation and smoking? Social and physical deprivation due to living circumstances - Poor enforcement and implementation of tobacco control policies - Lack of local institutions to support health - Social norms that encourage smoking - Life stressors - Reduced availability of tobacco products - Insufficient money to purchase tobacco - Social norms that do not encourage smoking Worse smoking outcomes
19 Deprivation and smoking? Social and physical deprivation due to living circumstances - Poor enforcement and implementation of tobacco control policies - Lack of local institutions to support health - Social norms that encourage smoking - Life stressors - Reduced availability of tobacco products - Insufficient money to purchase tobacco - Social norms that do not encourage smoking Worse smoking outcomes Better smoking outcomes
20 Methods NIDS 2008 Data: Adult and Household Multilevel analysis (Oakes & Kaufman, 2006) A neighbourhood is defined as a census enumeration area Outcomes of interest: Smoking status Smoking intensity: cigarettes per day
21 Methods Covariates Individual level: age, age squared, gender, race, educational attainment, alcohol consumption Household level: household income quintiles, other smokers in household (yes/no), urban/rural Neighbourhood level: neighbourhood deprivation constructed from SAIMD Index (Wright and Nobel, 2009)
22 Preliminary results: smoking status
23 Model 1: individual-level covariates only Odds ratio 95% CI Age *** [1.1408;1.1881] Age *** [0.9980;0.9985] Male *** [6.7026;8.8492] Race: Coloured *** [1.1237;3.6109] Indian/Asian ** [1.1237;3.6108] White *** [3.4129;6.0599] Education: Primary school or less *** [2.6407;3.8621] Some high school *** [1.6741;2.3528] Employed [0.9833;1.3020] Alcohol *** [5.5512;8.1162] p 0.05* p 0.01** p 0.001***
24 Model 2: adding household-level covariates to Model 1 Positive significant associations found with being a smoker and: Urban (OR = 1.21**) has other smoker(s) in household (OR = 15.92***) 2nd (OR = 1.27*), 3rd (OR = 1.45**) and 4th quintiles (OR = 1.48***) [ref: 5th quintile] Individual level associations stayed generally the same p 0.05*; p 0.01**; p 0.001***
25 Models 3A - E: add neighbourhood deprivation to Model 2 Multiple deprivation Model 3A Model 3B Model 3C Model 3D Model 3E Odds ratio 1.02 Living environment 0.99 deprivation Education 1.85** Employment 0.61** Income and material 1.03 Models differ in the deprivation indexes used
26 Models 3A - E: add neighbourhood deprivation to Model 2 Multiple deprivation Model 3A Model 3B Model 3C Model 3D Model 3E Odds ratio 1.02 Living environment 0.99 deprivation Education 1.85** Employment 0.61** Income and material 1.03 Models differ in the deprivation indexes used
27 Models 3A - E: add neighbourhood deprivation to Model 2 Multiple deprivation Model 3A Model 3B Model 3C Model 3D Model 3E Odds ratio 1.02 Living environment 0.99 deprivation Education 1.85** Employment 0.61** Income and material 1.03 Models differ in the deprivation indexes used
28 Results stratified by race
29 WHITE p-value Multiple deprivation Living environment Education Employment Income and material 0.191
30 BLACK p-value Multiple deprivation Living environment Education 0.001*** Employment Income and material 0.536
31 COLOURED p-value Multiple deprivation Living environment Education Employment Income and material 0.006**
32 Preliminary results: smoking intensity
33 Results: smoking intensity Preliminary results indicate that none of the deprivation indices were significantly associated with smoking intensity Individual factors: age, male, being coloured, white, or Indian/Asian (ref: Black), regular alcohol consumption are significantly, positively associated with smoking intensity Household factors: Being in households of poorer quintiles is associated with lower smoking intensity
34 Conclusions Some types of deprivation matter more than others Proportion of adults who have had no secondary education matters more than the quality of living environment Employment deprivation is negatively associated with being a smoker
35 Policy implications? Continuous surveillance of tobacco use should be a priority Addressing disparities in smoking behaviours could help address disparities in burden of ill-health (see Ataguba et al., 2011) Characterising adult smokers could improve targeting of smoking cessation and tobacco interventions on local level
36 Limitations Although stratified analysis (i.e. by race) is straightforward with individual level (Model 1), it is harder to interpret (and probably needs to be controlled for) in multilevel analysis Difficult to draw conclusions for some subgroups due to small sample sizes (female smokers, Asian/Indian) Smoking status and smoking intensity are both selfreported; could be subject to recall bias and social desirability bias. Analyses do not account for sample weights
37 Next Steps and Future Directions Policies are not affecting all communities the same way future research might investigate how deprivation might prevent successful policy implementation Consider longitudinal evidence for the relationship between neighbourhood deprivation and smoking status and intensity
38 References Ataguba, J.E., Akazili, J. & McIntyre, D. (2011). Socioeconomic-related health inequality in South Africa: evidence from General Household Surveys. International Journal for Equity in Health 10:48. doi: / ! Baumann, M., Spitz, E., Guillemin, F., Ravaud, F., Choquet, M., Falissard, B. Chau, N. & Lorhandicap group. (2007). Associations of social and material deprivation with tobacco, alcohol, and psychotropic drug use, and gender: a population-based study. International Journal of Health Geographics 6:50-61.! Blakely, T., van der Deen, F.S., Woodward, A., Kawachi, I. & Carter, K. (2013). Do changes in income, deprivation, labour force status influence smoking behaviour over the short run? Panel study of adults. Tobacco Control 0:1-8. doi: /tobaccocontrol ! Diez Roux, A. V. & Mair, C. (2010). Neighborhoods and health. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1186(1): ! Kleinschmidt, I., Hills, M. & Elliott, P. (1995). Smoking behaviour can be predicted by neighbourhood deprivation measures. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 49(Suppl 2):S72-S77.! Oakes, J.M. & Kaufman, J.S. (2006). Methods in Social Epidemiology. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass.! Peer, N., Bradshaw, D., Laubscher, R. & Steyn, K. (2009). Trends in adult tobacco use from two South African demographic and health surveys conducted in 1998 and South African Medical Journal 99(10): ! Shohaimi, S., Luben, R., Wareham, N., Day, N., Bingham, S., Welch, A., Oakes, S. & Khaw k-t. (2003). Residential area deprivation predicts smoking habit independently of individual educational level and occupational social class. A cross sectional study in the Norfolk cohort of the European Investigation into Cancer (EPIC-Norfolk). Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 57: ,! Strebel, P., Kuhn, L. & Yach, D. (1989). Determinants of cigarette smoking in the black township population of Cape Town. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 43: doi: /jech ! Wright, G. & Nobel, M. (2009). The South African Index of Multiple Deprivation 2007 at municipal level. Pretoria: Department of Social Development.! Vellios, N. & van Walbeeck, C. (2013). Determinants of smoking initiation in South Africa. Masters dissertation. University of Cape Town.
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