How can the new diagnostic criteria improve patient selection for DM therapy trials

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How can the new diagnostic criteria improve patient selection for DM therapy trials Amsterdam, August 2015 Bruno Dubois Head of the Dementia Research Center (IMMA) Director of INSERM Research Unit (ICM) Salpêtrière Hospital University Paris 6

DISCLOSURE 1) Consultancy: Eli Lilly 2) Funding for my Institution: Pfizer, Roche

1984 The NINCDS-ADRDA Criteria : a 2-Step Process Dementia of the Alzheimer type AD Threshold of dementia McKhann et al, 1984

The previous diagnosis of AD has several limitations A low accuracy (60 to 80%) because it does not take into account the specific features of the disease example from the recent trials with MAB Late in the course of the disease only when the dementia threshold is reached! Two requirements: 1) to be earlier 2) to be more specific

The different biomarkers of AD PATHOPHYSIOLOGICAL MARKERS LESIONS of AD CSF Abeta and tau levels nature 2 types amyloid, tau amyloid PET and tau PET location Amnestic syndrome of the hippocampal type Hippocampal atrophy (MRI) Cortical hypometabolism (FDG-PET) TOPOGRAPHICAL MARKERS

IWG research criteria for AD diagnosis 2007 and 2014 Why are the new criteria more useful for DM trials? First introduction of biomarkers pathophysiological markers (Abeta and tau) topographical markers (MRI, FDG-PET ) First introduction of different AD clinical stages prodromal stage dementia stage First introduction of different AD preclinical states asymptomatic at risk (biomarker positive) presymptomatic (mutation carriers) One disease: one set of criteria AD: a clinico-biological entity

FCSRT is the best predictor of AD pathology memory measures CSF (+) n = 74 CSF ( ) n = 111 effect size (d) FCSRT Total Recall 13.4 15.4 0.97 Logical Memory Delayed Recall 8.12 13.59 0.74 CERAD verbal Delayed recall 4.22 5.63 0.71 Wagner M et al, Neurology 2012 Alzheimer disease: can the exam predict the pathology? Swerdlow and Jicha, 2012

Combination of biomarkers increases diagnostic specificity Dement Geriatr Cogn Disord 2010;29:294 300 DOI: 10.1159/000289814 Combination of Hippocampal Volume and Cerebrospinal Fluid Biomarkers Improves Predictive Value in Mild Cognitive Impairment C. Eckerström a U. Andreasson a E. Olsson b, c S. Rolstad a K. Blennow a H. Zetterberg a H. Malmgren c Å. Edman a A. Wallin a Institutes of a Neuroscience and Physiology and b Biomedicine, and c Department of Philosophy, Linguistics and Theory of Science, University of Gothenburg, Mölndal, Sweden The new Alzheimer s criteria in a naturalistic series of patients with MCI Key Words Mild cognitive impairment Hippocampal volume Cerebrospinal fluid -Amyloid 42 Total tau Abstract Background: Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is a heterogeneous condition, and the prognosis differs within the group. Recent findings suggest that hippocampal volumetry and CSF biomarkers can be used to predict which MCI patients have an underlying neurodegenerative disorder. Objective: To examine the combined predictive value of hippocampal volume and CSF levels of total tau (T-tau) and -amyloid 42 left hippocampi, lower CSF A 42 and to both the stable MCI group and the tivariate analysis revealed that a co ables outperformed the prognostic variables. Conclusions: Hippocampa the prognostic accuracy of CSF A 42 a Introduction The term mild cognitive impairm a state where the cognitive function (A 42 ) in stable and converting MCI patients. The participants (n clinic = 68) included population patients with MCI baseline and to be described as dementia [1]. Th than would be expected from aging who converted to dementia by the time of the 2-year followup (n = 21), stable MCI patients (n = 21) and healthy controls group [2]. Community studies hav multifactorial and the prognosis di (n = 26). Methods: The Göteborg MCI study is a clinically MCI patients convert to dementia based longitudinal study with biannual clinical assessments. sion rate of 5%, whereas the majori Hippocampal volumetry was performed manually, based on to Alz heimer s disease (AD) [3]. T data from the 0.5-tesla MRI investigations at baseline. Baseline CSF levels of T-tau and A 42 were measured using com- ing -amyloid (A ), and the intrac characteristics of AD are extracell mercially available, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. of neurofibrillary tangles [4]. Neuro Results: The converting MCI group had significantly smaller in the medial temporal lobe (MTL Specificity of revised AD criteria in a memory Copy Fax +41 61 306 12 34 E-Mail karger@karger.ch www.karger.com 2010 S. Karger AG, Basel 1420 8008/10/0294 0294$26.00/0 Accessible online at: www.karger.com/dem Carl Eckerström Institute of Neuroscience and Physiology Wallinsgatan 6 SE 431 41 Mölndal (Sweden) Tel. +46 31 343 8668, Fax +46 31 776 9055, E-Mail car Galluzzi et al., 2010 Bouwman et al., 2010

The conceptual shift 1984 NINCDS-ADRDA clinical pathological entity [ CLINICAL POST-MORTEM MCI AD dementia probable/possible neuropathology 1) the clinical diagnosis of AD cannot be certified 2) the clinical diagnosis is only made at the threshold of dementia 2007 IWG clinical biological entity [ CLINICAL BIOLOGICAL typical / atypical biomarkers Thanks to biomarkers: The new rules 1) the clinical diagnosis can now be established in vivo 2) the clinical diagnosis can be established before dementia

2011 NIA/AA diagnostic Criteria The NIA/AA criteria acknowledge that : brain changes can occur long before dementia symptoms disease biomarkers might be useful for the diagnosis 3 recognized stages with 3 different diagnostic algorithms AD dementia stage (10 categories) MCI stage (4 categories) preclinical stage (3 categories) 2 types of MCI criteria : for clinical setting for research purposes that are based on the use of biomarkers: Cognition Likelihood of AD Biomarker Evidence MCI High likelihood (+) amyloid-β biomarker AND (+) neuronal injury biomarker* MCI Intermediate likelihood (+) amyloid-β biomarker OR (+) neuronal injury biomarker* MCI Uninformative situation Biomarkers fall in ambiguous ranges, conflict, not obtained MCI Unlikely due to AD Demonstrated absence of AD-type molecular marker and possible presence of marker suggestive of non-ad disorder

2014 The «IWG-2 criteria» A simplified algorithm is proposed: In any condition and at any stage of the disease, the diagnosis of AD relies on the presence of a pathophysiological marker. Typical Amnestic synd. of the hippocampal type Atypical Posterior cortical atrophy Logopenic variant Frontal variant Asymptomatic at risk No AD phenotype (typical or atypical) Presymptomatic (AD mutation) No AD phenotype (typical or atypical) CSF (low β1 42 and high T or P-tau) OR Amyloid PET (high retention of tracer) Dubois et al, Lancet Neurol, 2014

Prodromal versus MCI due to AD Characteristics IWG-2 NIA/AA Different levels of likelihood NO YES Pathophysiological markers only YES NO At least, amyloid marker necessary YES NO Specific clinical phenotype required YES NO Integration within a continuum YES NO

«Early AD»: the right target This includes Prodromal + Mild AD dementia IWG-2 criteria with MMS 20 prodromal IWG-2 Mild AD 30 Dementia 20 Advantages: Focus on early stage of AD One disease = One set of criteria Possibility for a secondary stratification

Added-value of the IWG-2 criteria They focus on the entire continuum of AD including the preclinical states They utilize a single diagnostic framework for the entire range of clinical severity (from preclinical to dementia states) They rely on the association of a specific clinical and of a biological evidence of AD They integrate pathophysiological biomarkers into all phases of the diagnostic approach to improve on the diagnostic specificity AD diagnosis is now based at least on the presence of brain amyloidosis They are simple to apply They can be used for inclusion of patients with «early AD», an important target for clinical trials

We gratefully acknowledge the IWG participants H Feldman, C Jacova, H Hampel, JL Molinuevo, K Blennow, ST DeKosky, S Gauthier, D Selkoe, R Bateman, S Cappa, S Crutch, S Engelborghs, GB Frisoni, NC Fox, D Galasko, M-O Habert, GA Jicha, A Nordberg, F Pasquier, G Rabinovici, P Robert, C Rowe, S Salloway, M Sarazin, S Epelbaum, L de Souza, B Vellas, PJ Visser, L Schneider, Y Stern, P Scheltens, JL Cummings

The 2 strategies for research projects/clinical trials Test BM: CSF PET Strategy 1 liberal cut-off Patients enrolled Strategy 2 Strict cut-off Patients enrolled