Consumer Trends and Consumer Behaviour Where are the opportunities for Dairy?

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1 Consumer Trends and Consumer Behaviour Where are the opportunities for Dairy? Dr Sinéad McCarthy Teagasc Food Research Centre, Dublin, Ireland Dairy Innovation Summit 2017, 6 th April, Amsterdam sinead.mccarthy@teagasc.ie

2 Irish for Knowledge Teagasc is the agriculture and food development authority in Ireland. Mission is to support science-based innovation in the agri-food sector and the broader bioeconomy that will underpin profitability, competitiveness and sustainability

3 Teagasc Locations Food Research Centre, Dublin Dairy Research Centre, Moorepark Advisory Offices Research Farms Colleges Food Research Centres Agricultural Research Centres HQ, Oak Park, Carlow

4 CONSUMER AND MARKET TRENDS 4

5 Consumer Trends & NPD Trends can act as a catalyst to provoke new ideas Many contemporary consumer trends such as sustainability, aging population, health and protein can be applied to dairy Sustainability and nutritional guidelines feeding more people with les resources while maintaining health Aging population changing health and food format requirements snacking, nutrient density to prevent malnutrition Young, fit and protein powered gym bunnies protein foods rather than powders Health Managers parents, carers providing diet for disease prevention

6 Product Claims & Trends These trends and many others have already been reflected in the dairy product categories launched to market Snacking, packaging, clean label, health, protein Operates differently in each of the categories 6

7 Top Claims in spoonable yogurt Global * % * * * * Clean label 30%

8 Yoghurt Snacking

9

10 Source: Mintel

11 Using cheese to explore some of the contemporary trends TEST DRIVING THE TRENDS 11

12 CheeseBoard Survey May 2016 Initial qualitative research for concept generation Representative online survey of adult consumers of cheese from Ireland and UK (n=600) Statements regarding attitudes to and usage situations of cheese Presented with a range of 8 full fat and 8 low fat cheese concepts to determine if the concepts were acceptable in a large scale survey Rate on a scale of 1-7 Perceived health: 1 very unhealthy to 7 very healthy Willingness to try: 1 definitely not try to 7 definitely try

13 General attitudes regarding cheese Cheese in Fridge 95 Prefere full fat 63 Cook with cheese 47 Sprinkle on food 38 Consume fortified foods 33 Choose low fat % always or frequently response to statements

14 Attitudes regarding cheese: shopping, health and usage Confidence in advertised product Compare labels Enjoy shopping Check price High in salt No additives Cheese a health food Natural ingredients Only a sandwich filler Never Crave cheese Cheese as snack % strongly agree & agree with statements

15 Perceived health and willingness to try FULL FAT CHEESE CONCEPTS

16 Benefit Claim Full Fat Cheese Concept No benefit Vitamins No claim No claim Protein and vitamins No claim Protein No claim Protein and vitamins Muscle claim Protein No benefit Vitamins Muscle claim Child development Child development Full fat cheese Full fat cheese with added vitamins Full fat cheese with added protein and vitamins Full fat cheese with added protein Full fat cheese with added protein and vitamins to support muscle maintenance and recovery Full fat cheese with added protein to support muscle maintenance and recovery Full fat cheese to support child development and growth Full fat cheese with added vitamins to support child development and growth Perceived health: 1 very unhealthy to 4 neutral to 7 very healthy Willingness to try: 1 definitely not try to 4 neutral to 7 definitely try

17 Full Fat Cheese Concepts: Willing to use and perceived healthiness Benefit Claim Willing to try Perceived health No benefit No claim Vitamins No claim Protein & vitamins No claim Protein No claim Protein & vitamins Muscle claim Protein No benefit Muscle claim Child development Vitamins Child development

18 Perceived health and willingness to try LOW FAT CHEESE CONCEPTS

19 Benefit Claim Low Fat Cheese Concept No benefit No claim Low fat cheese Vitamins No claim Low fat cheese with added vitamins Protein No claim Low fat cheese with added protein Protein and vitamins No claim Low fat cheese with added protein and vitamins No benefit Vitamins Protein Protein and vitamins Muscle claim Muscle claim Child development Child development Low fat cheese to support muscle maintenance and recovery Low fat cheese with added vitamins to support muscle maintenance and recovery Low fat cheese with added protein to support child development and growth Low fat cheese with added protein and vitamins to support child development and growth Perceived health: 1 very unhealthy to 4 neutral to 7 very healthy Willingness to try: 1 definitely not try to 4 neutral to 7 definitely try

20 Low Fat Cheese Concepts Benefit Claim Willing to try Perceived health Willing to use and perceived healthiness No benefit No claim Vitamins No claim Protein No claim Protein and vitamins No claim No benefit Muscle claim Vitamins Muscle claim Protein Child development Protein and vitamins Child development

21 Implications for new cheese product development Regular Full fat cheese is the most favoured cheese Presence of a claim diminishes willingness to try but increases the perceived healthiness Clear and effective communication of less familiar concepts From a TRUSTED source Health benefits most positively received among those with a carer role such as parents Gender differences An established and accepted concept from another food type can be used in cheese e.g. Super Cheese with added vitamins and minerals

22 Great minds think alike or.

23 DAIRY, SUSTAINABILITY & HEALTH 23

24 Sustainability: A global trend and diary issue GHG GWP Carbon dioxide 1 Nitrous oxide 298 Methane 25 88% of emissions 12% of emissions 24

25 Sustainability & Carbon Foot print Carbon footprint can be used as a support to management and decision making in value chains Better management practices in general Cost savings and performance Strengthen relationships with suppliers Market and trade advantages Enhanced brand image and reputation Products differentiation and access to niche markets A unique selling point

26 Consumer awareness of environmental food choice Biannual review of food attitudes in adults from ROI/GB/Continental Europe and USA conducted by the Irish Food Marketing Group Bord Bia Environmental motivation measured using the following statements I am more conscious of environmental issues in my choice of products today. I prefer to buy from companies that are aware of the impact of environmental issues.

27 Consumers motivated by environmental issues GB ROI Germany Motivated Neither/Nor Not Motivated France USA 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

28 I try to buy foods that are natural I always try to eat a balanced diet 60% Motivated Neither/Nor Not Motivated 60% Motivated Neither/Nor Not Motivated 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% Applies to me a lot Applies to me a little Does not apply to me 0% Applies to me a lot Applies to me a little Does not apply to me

29 How likely are you to buy functional foods Dairy foods (milk/cheese) are an important part of my diet 50% Motivated Neither/Nor Not Motivated 60% 45% 40% 50% 35% 30% 40% 25% 30% 20% 15% 20% 10% 10% 5% 0% Likely Not Sure Unlikely 0% Applies to me a lot Applies to me a little Does not apply to me

30 Sustainable diets FAO calls for the recognition that the health of humans cannot be isolated from the health of ecosystems. Sustainable diets have been defined as: diets with low environmental impacts which contribute to food and nutrition security and to healthy life for present and future generations. Sustainable diets are protective and respectful of biodiversity and ecosystems, culturally acceptable, accessible, economically fair and affordable; nutritionally adequate, safe and healthy; while optimizing natural and human resources

31 Sustainability and Nutritional guidelines Germany and Sweden are the only two European countries that feature messages about sustainability in their food guidelines The Netherlands and UK have also begun working to incorporate environmental considerations into their food guidelines, according to the report

32 Individual dairy food groups contribution towards dietary emissions in Irish adults GHGE (g CO 2 eq/d) Intake (g/d) Energy (kcal) Whole milk Low fat/skimmed milk Other milk Creams Cheese Yogurt Butter Total Dairy Red Meat

33 Population segmentation of patterns of dietary greenhouse gas emissions Distinguishing food groups: Processed meat Savoury snacks Alcohol Total: 7.4 kg CO 2 eq Unsustainable 25% Distinguishing food groups: Fruit & veg Fish Low red meat Total:6.4 kg CO 2 eq Nutritionally Sustainable 26% Distinguishing food groups: Red meat Dairy Starchy staples Total: 6.3 kg CO 2 eq Culturally Sustainable 48%

34 Food Patterns of Greenhouse dietary emissions across patterns of emissions in adult Irish men Unsustainable Starchy staples 657 Dairy 607 Vegetables 36 Fruit 28 Red meat 2131 Eggs, poultry, pork 707 Fish 96 Processed meat 685 Savoury snacks 606 Alcohol 1749 Total (kgco 2 eq) 9.0 Nutritionally Sustainable Culturally Sustainable

35 Implications 1 In terms of NPD, there is a considerable proportion of consumers are who are motivated by environmental issues as well as health etc. Potential to promote a bundle of products attributes as being part of a sustainable and healthy diet. Advantage could be taken of existing connecting motivations between healthiness and environmentally friendliness of foods to provide a combined set of product attributes. The greater importance attached to health by consumers offers an attractive pathway. Health should remain the overarching principle in communication to consumers, as this has a greater potential to support behaviour change towards healthy and sustainable diets. Point of sale difference

36 Implications 2 Ireland dietary GHGE (6.5kg CO 2 eq/d) are comparable to UK (7.3kg CO 2 eq/d) and EU (7.1kgCO 2 eq/d). National dietary guidelines can be combined with environmental recommendations to a achieve a sustainable diet Need to look at overall diet rather than individuals foods Alcohol and discretionary foods can contribute significantly towards higher dietary emissions. Total food intake also has an impact on overall emissions. Dairy as a food group in isolation may have a high climatic impact but Diary has pivotal a role in sustainable and healthy diets GHGE mitigation strategies to substitute or replace of animal based foods with plant based foods may not have the desired effects Requires consumer behaviour change Land use change

37 CONSUMER CONSIDERATIONS FOR NPD 37

38 Consumer insights for marketing of reformulated products Not all consumers were created equally at least not in terms of motivations for food choice One size does not fit all Can be overcome by different marketing approaches for different target segments

39 High importance to low Ranking of food choice motives in Irish Adults *

40 Impact of food choice motives on dietary behaviour n EI (kcal) %EFat BMI F&V Cost Ranked 1st/2nd ,2 28,1 * 202 * Ranked >3rd ,4 26,6 280 Convenience Ranked 1st/2nd ,1 27,4 210 * Other rankings ,4 26,7 279 Health Ranked 1st/2nd ,0 * 26,6 311 * Other rankings ,0 27,1 232 Nutrition Ranked 1st/2nd ,4 26,4 * 312 * Other rankings ,7 27,2 232 Taste Ranked 1st/2nd * 34,9 * 26,8 250 * Other rankings ,1 27,0 284

41 Impact of food choice motives on food intake Motive Ranking Fats and oils Meat, protein Dairy Fruit & veg Cereals, potatoes Cost 1st and 2nd ranking 76,3 NS 235,8 NS 255,8 NS 201,6 (b) 337,3 NS Other rankings 75,1 NS 225,5 NS 281,3 NS 279,6 (a) 358,3 NS Convenience 1st and 2nd ranking 77,9 NS 233,0 NS 266,0 NS 210,4 (b) 330,9 (a) Other rankings 74,7 NS 226,0 NS 279,1 NS 279,4 (a) 360,3 (b) Health 1st and 2nd ranking 74,5 NS 224,4 NS 300,1 (a) 311,2 (a) 373,4 (b) Other rankings 75,9 NS 229,4 NS 259,3 (b) 232,7 (b) 340,6 (a) Nutrition 1st and 2nd ranking 75,4 NS 222,1 NS 293,5 NS 312,1 (a) 376,4 (b) Other rankings 75,2 NS 230,9 NS 264,5 NS 232,3 (b) 338,5 (a) Taste 1st and 2nd ranking 78,0 NS 231,5 NS 267,6 NS 250,0 (b) 350,3 NS Other rankings 72,2 NS 222,3 NS 287,0 NS 284,3 (a) 359,3 NS Feel good 1st and 2nd ranking 77,4 NS 236,0 NS 263,1 NS 217,1 (b) 346,3 NS Other rankings 75,1 NS 226,3 NS 278,2 NS 271,2 (a) 355,4 NS Weight control 1st and 2nd ranking 63,0 (a) 210,9 NS 244,2 (b) 234,5 (b) 313,3 (a) 41 Other rankings 76,8 (b) 229,3 NS 280,9 (a) 270,0 (a) 359,8 (b)

42 NPD Considerations Younger consumers and men motivated to choose foods based on sensory and convenience attributes NPD focusing on healthy foods and targeted at younger male segment would benefit from focusing on taste and convenience as core product attributes. Older and female consumers food choices are more frequently guided by health, nutrition and taste. Foods designed for older and female consumers should seek to support their pre-existing health orientation. This research highlights a potential source for collaboration and negotiation between the food industry and public health bodies all consumers are not motivated to buy healthy food and are unlikely to purchase the healthy option unless it is convenient and low cost etc. Public health bodies and food companies can mutually benefit from incentives and supports to provide healthy options.

43 Go raibh míle maith agaibh! Research Funding: Dept of Agriculture & Food, Dublin Collaborators: Dr Mary McCarthy UCC Colleagues: Dr John Hyland, Dr Maeve Henchion

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