CSC2720H: Systems Thinking for Global Problems
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1 CSC2720H: Systems Thinking for Global Problems Prof Steve Easterbrook Dept of Computer Science 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license.
2 Course Goals To change your perspective To give you new thinking tools To provide concepts & terms to help understand dynamic, complex systems To persuade you that systems thinking offers a coherent intellectual field of study To encourage you to apply these ideas in your own research 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 2
3 Outline Course Intro Ä Website: Ä Books Ä Assignments Key Ideas Ä Linear Thinking vs Systems Thinking Ä Parts vs Wholes; Reductionism vs Holism Ä Dynamic equilibrium Ä Modeling: Stocks & Flows; Feedback loops Ä Second order cybernetics Ä System transformation, collapse, and resilience Ä Boundary critique 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 3
4 Books Donella Meadows Thinking In Systems Gerald Weinberg Intro to General Systems Thinking Bryan Walker & David Salt Resilience Thinking Michael C. Jackson Systems Approaches to Management Ramage & Shipp Systems Thinkers 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 4
5 Class Participation Ä Show up Ä Do stuff Ä Get credit Assignments A 5-minute talk about a prominent systems thinker Ä Must agree on who does whom Ä Sources: Ramage & Shipp s book, course website Ä Bonus marks: Make it a Pecha Kucha! Term Paper Ä E.g. A Case Study applying ST in your own research area Ä Or? 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 5
6 Why Systems Thinking? What makes a traffic jam? How do epidemics spread? Why does the stock market fluctuate? How should we address climate change? What general principles characterize the behaviour of complex systems? 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 6
7 1. Intro 2. Feedback Loops 3. Metabolism of the Anthropocene 4. Delay and Inertia 5. Resilience and Collapse Course Overview 7. Chaos and Complexity Theory 8. Leverage Points 9. Interpretivist Systems Thinking 10. Boundary Critique 11. Mindfulness! 6. Systems Archetypes 12. Applied Systems Thinking 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 7
8 So what is a system? Ackoff: A system is a set of two or more elements that satisfies the following conditions: Ä The behaviour of each element has an effect on the behaviour of the whole Ä The behaviour of the elements and their effect on the whole are interdependent Ä However sub-groups of elements are formed, each has an effect on the behaviour of the whole and none has an independent effect on it Weinberg: A system is a way of looking at the world Ä Systems don t really exist! Ä Just a convenient way of describing things (cf: set theory) 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 8
9 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 9
10 Elements of a system Boundary Ä Separates a system from its environment Ä Often not sharply defined Ä Also known as an interface Environment Ä Part of the world with which the system can interact Ä System and environment are interrelated Observable Interactions Ä How the system interacts with its environment (inputs and outputs) Ä A closed system has no interaction with its environment Ä No system is fully closed Subsystems Ä Can decompose a system into parts Ä Each part is also a system Ä For each subsystem, the remainder of the system is its environment Ä Subsystems are inter-dependent Control Mechanism Ä How the behaviour of the system is regulated to allow it to endure Ä Often a natural mechanism, relying on feedback loops Emergent Properties Ä Properties that hold of a system, but not of any of the parts Ä Properties that cannot be predicted from studying the parts 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 10
11 University of Toronto Open vs. Closed? 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 11
12 University of Toronto Here is a system 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 12
13 Systems AcCvity: AVALANCHE 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license.
14 Reading for Next Week Chapters 1 & 2 of Meadows 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 14
15 Summary: Systems Thinking 2014 Steve Easterbrook. This presentation is available free for non-commercial use with attribution under a creative commons license. 15
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