Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), a condition

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1 Elevated Serum Alanine Aminotransferase Activity and Calculated Risk of Coronary Heart Disease in the United States George N. Ioannou, 1,2,4 Noel S. Weiss, 6 Edward J. Boyko, 1,3,5 Dariush Mozaffarian, 7,8,9 and Sum P. Lee 1,2,4 In the United States, elevated serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) activity in the absence of viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption is most commonly attributed to nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). NAFLD is related to predictors of coronary heart disease (CHD) such as insulin resistance and central obesity. We examined the association between elevated serum ALT activity and the 10-year risk of CHD as estimated using the Framingham risk score (FRS). We performed a cross-sectional analysis comparing participants in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey with normal and elevated ALT activity (>43 IU/L), examining the mean levels of FRS. Among participants without viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption, those with elevated ALT activity (n 267) had a higher FRS than those with normal ALT activity (n 7,259), both among men (mean difference in FRS 0.25, 95% CI ; hazard ratio for CHD 1.28, 95% CI ) and women (mean difference in FRS 0.76, 95% CI ; hazard ratio for CHD 2.14, 95% CI ). The ALT threshold for increased risk of CHD was higher in men (>43 IU/L) than in women (>30 IU/L). Elevated ALT activity was not associated with higher FRS among nonobese participants with viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption. In conclusion, individuals with elevated serum ALT activity in the absence of viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption, most of whom have NAFLD, have an increased calculated risk of CHD. This association is more prominent in women. (HEPATOLOGY 2006;43: ) Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), a condition that may affect as much as 30% of the adult United States population, 1 is strongly associated with many predictors of cardiovascular disease Abbreviations: ALT, alanine aminotransferase; NAFLD, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease; CHD, coronary heart disease; FRS, Framingham risk score; NHANES, National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. From the 1 Research Enhancement Award Program, the 2 Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, and the 3 Epidemiologic Research and Information Center, Veterans Affairs Puget Sound Health Care System, Seattle, WA; the Divisions of 4 Gastroenterology and 5 General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; the 6 Department of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; the 7 Channing Laboratory, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women s Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA; and the Departments of 8 Nutrition and 9 Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA. Received October 25, 2006; accepted February 19, Supported by the American College of Gastroenterology Junior Faculty Development Award (G. N. I.), the Primary and Specialty Medical Care Service (S. P. L.), and the Research Enhancement Award Program (G. N. I., S. P. L.) of the Veterans Affairs Puget Sound Health Care System. Address reprint requests to: George Ioannou, M.D., M.S., Veterans Affairs Puget Sound Health Care System, Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, S-111-Gastro, 1660 S. Columbian Way, Seattle, WA georgei@medicine.washington.edu; fax: Copyright 2006 by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases. Published online in Wiley InterScience ( DOI /hep Potential conflict of interest: Nothing to report. such as hypercholesterolemia, hypertriglyceridemia, insulin resistance, central obesity, and the metabolic syndrome. 2 9 Given these strong associations, patients with NAFLD would be expected to have a high risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). However, the relationship between NAFLD and CHD in the United States is not well established. A recent study suggested that overall mortality was slightly greater among 420 persons diagnosed with NAFLD in Olmsted County between 1980 and 2000 than among the general population of Minnesota (standardized mortality ratio 1.34) 10 ; unfortunately, specific data on excess cardiovascular mortality were not reported. A retrospective chart review of 98 patients with biopsyproven NAFLD/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis from a tertiary referral center found 48 deaths over 8.3 years of follow-up, including 11 deaths attributed to cardiac causes 11 ; however, there was no appropriate control group to be compared with this highly selected group of NAFLD patients. Patients discharged from Danish hospitals with a diagnosis of nonalcoholic or unspecified fatty liver without mention of alcohol use between 1977 and 1993 had a 2.6-fold greater mortality than the general population; however, this study was based solely on patients who were hospitalized and would thus be expected to have a higher mortality than the general population. 12 In addition, it is 1145

2 1146 IOANNOU ET AL. HEPATOLOGY, May 2006 Fig. 1. Selection of study sample from NHANES III participants. questionable whether all the cases of unspecified fatty liver had NAFLD instead of alcoholic fatty liver disease. Villanova et al. 13 recently reported that the 10-year risk of coronary events of 52 patients with NAFLD attending the metabolic unit of the University Hospital of Bologna estimated using the Framingham risk score (FRS) was higher than the risk of 28 control patients without metabolic diseases. In addition, the NAFLD patients had lower flow-mediated vasodilation of the brachial artery in response to ischemia, suggesting the presence of endothelial dysfunction. Although the results of this study are interesting, they are based on a small sample of highly selected patients. The magnitude of the excess risk of coronary events, if any, in persons with NAFLD in the general United States population is largely unknown. For the purposes of epidemiological studies, NAFLD can be defined by the presence of elevated serum aminotransferase activity particularly alanine aminotransferase (ALT) in the absence of other common causes of liver disease such as viral hepatitis and excessive alcohol consumption, 3,14 because the vast majority of patients meeting these criteria are proven to have NAFLD/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis when further investigated via liver biopsy The goal of the present study was to determine whether in a large, representative sample of the United States population, persons with suspected NAFLD (defined by elevated serum ALT in the absence of viral hepatitis and excessive alcohol consumption) have an elevated 10-year risk of CHD as estimated using the FRS. Subjects and Methods Survey Design. Data were derived from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III), a cross-sectional study conducted by the National Center for Health Statistics between 1988 and 1994 to assess the health and nutritional status of the noninstitutionalized United States population. 18 Data included laboratory investigations, physical examination findings, and structured questionnaires conducted in mobile examination centers at 89 locations throughout the United States. Study Sample. Of 19,620 participants aged 18 years or older, we excluded 1,286 who reported a history of heart attack or congestive heart failure, 321 with a positive pregnancy test, 2,827 without available data on serum ALT level, 5,679 who fasted for fewer than 8 hours, 668 with missing information on at least 1 of the components of the FRS, 337 with missing information on hepatitis B or C status or alcohol consumption, and 121 with missing information on past history of heart attack or congestive heart failure (Fig. 1). This left 8,381 participants in the present analysis. Among these participants, 7,526 did not

3 HEPATOLOGY, Vol. 43, No. 5, 2006 IOANNOU ET AL have viral hepatitis B (determined by presence of hepatitis B surface antigen) or C (determined by presence of hepatitis C viral RNA) or excessive alcohol consumption (defined as 1 drink/d for women and 2 drinks/d for men 3,19,20 ), whereas 855 participants had at least 1 of these potential causes of chronic liver disease (Fig. 1). FRS. The FRS was calculated separately for men and women using the coefficients of the proportional hazards model reported by Wilson et al. 21 The score is computed based on each person s age, age squared (in women only), total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, blood pressure, diabetes status, and smoking status (Appendix I). The higher the risk score, the greater the 10- year risk of developing CHD, which was defined as angina pectoris, myocardial infarction, or coronary death. Total cholesterol was measured enzymatically. Highdensity lipoprotein cholesterol was measured after precipitation of other lipoproteins with a polyanion/divalent cation mixture. Three blood pressure readings were obtained in the mobile examination centers; we calculated the average of the second and third systolic and diastolic blood pressure readings. Patients were classified as diabetic if they had ever been told by a physician that they had diabetes mellitus or if their plasma glucose level was 126 mg/dl or higher after more than 8 hours of fasting. Smoking status was based on self-reported current smoking. Definition of Elevated Serum ALT Activity. Elevated ALT was defined as a level greater than 43 IU/L in both men and women in accordance with the NHANES III Plan and Operations Manual 18 and previous studies. 2,22 To evaluate whether there was a threshold of ALT above which the FRS was elevated and to look for a dose response relationship, we further categorized ALT into 0-25, 26-30, 31-43, and 43 IU/L. After collection of venous blood, samples were immediately centrifuged. Specimens were then frozen and shipped weekly to a central laboratory, were they were initially stored at 20 C and then at 70 C. Serum ALT assay was performed with a Hitachi model 737 multichannel analyzer (Boehringer Mannheim Diagnostics, Indianapolis, IN) using the -ketoglutarate reaction. Determinants of the Association Between Elevated ALT Activity and FRS. NAFLD is believed to be caused, to a large extent, by insulin resistance, obesity, and central fat distribution. These characteristics are also strong predictors of CHD. We evaluated whether any association between elevated ALT activity and elevated FRSs was due to the confounding effect of these characteristics by adjusting for them. Insulin resistance was calculated using the homeostasis model assessment (HOMA) 23,24 as: (fasting serum insulin [ U/mL] fasting serum glucose [mmol/l])/22.5. Obesity was measured using body mass index (kg/m 2 ). Central fat distribution was estimated using the waist-to-hip ratio. Elevated ALT Activity in Persons With Viral Hepatitis or Excessive Alcohol Consumption. Elevated serum ALT activity is a marker of hepatic inflammation. Therefore, it is possible that any association between elevated ALT activity and increased risk of CHD is related to hepatic inflammation and not to NAFLD or its predisposing conditions. To rule out this possibility, we performed a separate analysis limited to persons with viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption who were not obese. (We excluded obese persons to exclude NAFLD as much as possible, because in a previous study we demonstrated that NAFLD may be responsible for a substantial proportion of elevated ALT activity, even in persons with viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption 22 ). Statistical Analysis. We used linear regression to determine the mean difference in FRS between persons with and without elevated ALT activity after adjusting for age. To determine the confounding effect of insulin resistance, obesity, and central fat distribution, we additionally adjusted for homeostasis model assessment insulin resistance, body mass index, and waist-to-hip ratio modeled as continuous variables. We converted the FRS into 10-year risk of CHD for a 50-year-old man or woman with or without elevated ALT. This was done by first calculating the difference in FRS between such persons and the persons with baseline characteristics: FRS diff FRS x FRS baseline where FRS (baseline) is the FRS of persons with baseline or average characteristics and is given as for men and for women (as described by Wilson et al. 21 ); FRS (x) is the FRS of a man or woman aged 50 years with either normal or elevated ALT. The FRS of 50-year-old men and women with normal ALT levels was the average FRS of all men and women aged years in our dataset (3.18 for men and for women). For men or women with elevated ALT levels, we used a FRS equal to the FRS of men or women with normal ALT plus the adjusted mean difference in FRS between men/women with elevated and normal ALT levels. FRS (diff) was then used to calculate the expected 10 year risk of CHD using formula: 10-year risk of CHD for person X 1 Survival expfrs diff baseline where Survival (baseline) is the proportion of persons with baseline characteristics without CHD at 10 years and is

4 1148 IOANNOU ET AL. HEPATOLOGY, May 2006 Table 1. Comparison of Participants With Normal (<43 IU/L) and Elevated (43 IU/L) ALT With Respect to Predictors of CHD That Are Components of the Framingham Risk Score Variable Normal ALT (n 7,259) Elevated ALT (n 267) Age- and Sex-Adjusted Mean Difference Age- and Sex-Adjusted Odds Ratio Age (yr), mean 42.3 ( ) 37.1 ( ) NA Total cholesterol (mg/dl), mean ( ) ( ) 11.7 ( ) HDL cholesterol (mg/dl), mean 49.9 (49 51) 42.8 (40 46) 4.4 ( 7.3to 1.5) Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg), mean ( ) ( ) 2.9 ( 0.3 to 6.1) Diastolic blood pressure (mm Hg), mean 72.0 ( ) 79.4 (77 82) 6.4 ( ) Diabetes 3.8% ( ) 8.4% ( ) 3.9 ( ) Smoker 25.7% (24 27) 24.8% (15 35) 0.8 ( ) Men 46.5% (45 48) 74.0% (66 82) NA NOTE. The analysis is limited to persons without viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption. Values in parentheses are 95% confidence intervals. Abbreviations: NA, not applicable; HDL, high-density lipoprotein. given as for men and for women (as described by Wilson et al. 21 ). To increase the efficiency of the sampling process, NHANES III employed a complex, multistage sampling design in which potential participants were identified around 89 locations in the United States. This induces a correlation structure among the observations that cannot be treated as arising from a simple random sample. In addition, because NHANES III involved increased rates of sampling for certain age and racial groups, sample weights are provided to reflect this and also to attempt to adjust for nonresponse bias (due to people refusing to participate) and noncoverage bias (due to people who do not live in households and, therefore, could not participate). We used STATA version 9.1 software (StataCorp, College Station, TX) in our analyses to account for both the sampling and the weighting processes. Results Among 7,526 participants without viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption, 267 had elevated serum ALT activity, corresponding to 3.2% of the United States population. This finding is similar to previously reported estimates of the prevalence of ALT levels above 43 IU/L among persons without known causes of chronic liver disease. 2 Persons with elevated ALT levels were younger and more likely to be male than persons with normal ALT levels (Table 1). After adjustment for sex and age, persons with elevated ALT levels had higher total cholesterol, lower high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, higher systolic blood pressure, and higher diastolic blood pressure and were more likely to be diabetic compared with persons with normal ALT levels (Table 1). The prevalence of smoking was similar in the 2 groups. After adjustment for age, the mean FRS was higher in persons with elevated ALT levels compared with persons with normal ALT levels, both among men and among women (Table 2). The adjusted mean difference in the FRS of men with elevated ALT levels compared with men with normal ALT levels was 0.25 (95% CI ); among women this adjusted mean difference was 0.76 (95% CI ). These adjusted mean differences in Table 2. Comparison of Persons With Normal and Elevated ALT Activity With Respect to Framingham Risk Score and Estimated Risk of Developing CHD Average Risk of Developing Age-Adjusted Mean FRS* Age-Adjusted Mean Difference Age-Adjusted Hazard Ratio of 10-year CHD CHD over 10 Years in a 50- Year-Old Subject Normal ALT (n 7,259) Elevated ALT (n 267) in FRS risk Normal ALT Elevated ALT Men 2.5 ( ) 2.75 ( ) 0.25 ( ) 1.28 ( ) 10.8% 13.6% Women 8.7 ( ) 9.5 ( ) 0.76 ( ) 2.14 ( ) 5.9% 12.1% NOTE. The analysis is limited to persons without viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption. Values in parentheses are 95% confidence intervals. *The FRS is calculated using a different equation for men and women who have different baseline survival functions. Thus, the scores in men cannot be directly compared with the scores in women. The mean scores in persons with elevated ALT levels are adjusted to the age distribution of persons with normal ALT levels. The adjusted hazard ratio was calculated as exp(adjusted mean difference). The average FRS in 50-year-old persons with normal ALT levels was 3.18 for men and for women. We assumed that the average FRS in 50-year-old persons with elevated ALT levels would be for men and for women (i.e., adding the adjusted mean difference). The 10-year risk of CHD was then calculated as described by Wilson et al. 21 using a baseline FRS of for men and for women and a baseline 10-year risk of CHD of 9.985% for men and 3.754% for women.

5 HEPATOLOGY, Vol. 43, No. 5, 2006 IOANNOU ET AL Table 3. Comparison of Mean Framingham Risk Scores in Different Serum ALT Categories Age-Adjusted Mean FRS* Age-Adjusted Mean Difference in FRS ALT 0 25 (n 6,482) ALT (n 401) ALT (n 376) ALT >43 (n 267) ALT vs. ALT 0 25 ALT vs. ALT 0 25 ALT >43 vs. ALT 0 25 Men 2.5 ( ) 2.6 ( ) 2.6 ( ) 2.8 ( ) 0.14 (0.03 to 0.2) 0.10 ( 0.02 to 0.2) 0.28 (0.09 to 0.46) Women 8.7 ( ) 8.9 ( ) 9.2 ( ) 9.5 ( ) 0.21 ( 0.03 to 0.4) 0.53 (0.3 to 0.8) 0.78 ( ) NOTE. The analysis is limited to persons without viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption. Values in parentheses are 95% confidence intervals. *The mean scores in persons with elevated ALT levels are adjusted to the age distribution of persons with an ALT level of FRS correspond to an adjusted hazard ratio for CHD of 2.14 (95% CI ) in women and 1.28 (95% CI ) in men. The risk of developing CHD over 10 years in a 50-year-old man (as predicted by the Framingham equation 21 ) was 10.8% if the ALT level was normal and 13.6% if the ALT level was elevated (see Table 2 legend for calculation). Among women, the risk of developing CHD over 10 years in a 50-year-old was 5.9% if the ALT level was normal and 12.1% if the ALT level was elevated. When ALT levels were further categorized into 0-25, 26-30, 31-43, and 43 IU/L, it appeared that there was a stepwise increase in FRS that was more prominent in women than in men (Table 3). FRS increased appreciably after age adjustment for ALT values above 30 IU/L in women and above 43 IU/L in men. After further adjusting for insulin resistance, body mass index, and waist-to-hip ratio, the adjusted mean difference in FRS comparing persons with elevated ALT levels with those with normal ALT levels was much reduced and no longer statistically significant (0.13, 95% CI 0.05 to 0.3 in men; 0.32, 95% CI 0.02 to 0.7 in women). In analyses limited to persons with viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption who were not obese (n 674, including 81 with elevated ALT levels), elevated ALT activity was not associated with a higher FRS in men (adjusted mean difference 0.40, 95% CI 0.7 to 0.1) or women (adjusted mean difference 0.11, 95% CI 1.1 to 0.9). Discussion This study suggests that persons with elevated serum ALT levels ( 43 IU/L) in the absence of viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption have a higher risk of CHD (as calculated using the FRS) than persons with normal ALT levels. The relative increase in risk is much greater in women (hazard ratio 2.14, 95% CI ) than in men (hazard ratio 1.28, 95% CI ). Despite the fact that women have a lower absolute risk of CHD than men, the absolute increase in risk of CHD associated with elevated ALT activity was also higher in women than in men. Given that elevated serum ALT in the absence of viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption is most commonly due to NAFLD in the United States, our results suggest that NAFLD is associated with an increased risk of CHD. The threshold level of ALT above which there was appreciable increase in the calculated risk of CHD was higher in men ( 43 IU/L) than in women ( 30 IU/L). This supports the use of a higher threshold for men than for women to define abnormal ALT. However, the absolute values should be interpreted with caution, because there may have been some degradation of ALT activity as a result of freezing serum specimens in NHANES III. 25 Given the known associations between NAFLD (or elevated ALT activity) and several predictors of CHD such as insulin resistance, obesity, hypercholesterolemia, hypertriglyceridemia, and the metabolic syndrome, 2 9 it has been previously suggested that NAFLD is likely to be associated with increased risk of CHD. 10,26 This study demonstrates and quantifies this excess risk in the United States population, separately for men and women, and for different thresholds of ALT level. The higher FRS in persons with elevated ALT activity is primarily due to the higher total cholesterol level, diastolic blood pressure, and diabetes prevalence and the lower high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level in persons with elevated ALT levels compared with persons with normal ALT levels (Table 1). It is interesting to speculate whether these differences can be explained by the factors that are suspected to cause NAFLD (i.e., insulin resistance, obesity, and central fat distribution) or whether there is any excess calculated risk of CHD related to NAFLD over and above what would be expected due to the higher prevalence of insulin resistance, obesity, and central fat distribution. When we adjusted for these characteristics, the association between elevated ALT activity and calculated risk of CHD was reduced and was no longer statistically significant. This finding suggests that most of the excess Framingham-predicted risk of CHD associated with elevated ALT activity may be explained by insulin resistance, obesity, and central fat distribution, particu-

6 1150 IOANNOU ET AL. HEPATOLOGY, May 2006 larly because our adjustments for insulin resistance (approximated by the homeostasis model assessment) and central fat distribution (approximated by the waist-to-hip ratio) are likely to be incomplete. Among persons with viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption who were not obese, elevated ALT activity was not associated with a high FRS. Therefore, the higher FRSs that we identified in association with elevated ALT values in persons without viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption are unlikely to be related to hepatic necroinflammation, which is measured according to the ALT level. Interestingly, we found that among men with viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption, an elevated ALT level actually appeared to be associated with lower FRS. This finding is consistent with previous findings that atherosclerosis is rare in patients with advanced liver disease 27 and mortality from diabetes-related events is low. 28 Our study is limited by the absence of liver biopsy confirmation of the underlying liver disease responsible for the ALT elevation. However, liver biopsy would be impossible to perform routinely in a population-based study. We used the FRS to predict the risk of future CHD rather than follow the participants in time to determine the actual occurrence of CHD. However, use of the FRS for predicting CHD is appropriate in free-living, middle-aged persons, such as the majority of persons in this NHANES study. In addition, earlier versions of the Framingham CHD equations were applied with reasonable accuracy to the NHANES I epidemiological follow-up study 29 (which has a similar population composition to the NHANES III population used in the current study) as well as samples from Honolulu, Puerto Rico, Albany, Chicago, Los Angeles, Minneapolis, Tecumseh, and the Western Collaborative Group The FRS does not consider current use of medications to lower cholesterol or blood pressure. However, repeat analyses after excluding persons who reported taking such medication showed almost identical results (data not shown). The FRS was derived 21 in populations aged years, whereas our study population was over 18 years of age. The FRS may predict CHD risk less accurately in persons years old. In conclusion, elevated ALT activity among persons without viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol consumption is associated with a high risk of CHD as determined by FRS. This association is more prominent in women than in men. Most of this excess calculated risk of CHD in persons with elevated ALT levels appears to be related to an increased prevalence of insulin resistance, obesity, and central fat distribution, all of which are thought to be predisposing conditions of NAFLD. Appendix I. Beta Coefficients of the Proportional Hazards Regression Model Used to Calculate Framingham Risk Score* References Variable Men Women Age (yr) Age squared (yr) Total cholesterol (mg/dl) Referent Referent HDL cholesterol (mg/dl) Referent Referent Blood pressure Optimal Normal Referent Referent High normal Stage I hypertension Stage II-IV hypertension Diabetes Smoker Baseline survival function at 10 years NOTE. Table reproduced from: Wilson PW, D Agostino RB, Levy D, et al. Prediction of coronary heart disease using risk factor categories. Circulation 1998;97(18): Reprinted by permission from LWW. Abbreviation: HDL, high-density lipoprotein. *For example, for a 55-year-old man who is a smoker and has a cholesterol level of 250 mg/dl, a high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level of 39 mg/dl, blood pressure that indicates stage I hypertension (146/88 mm Hg), and no diabetes, the FRS is calculated as: Blood pressure categories are as follows: optimal systolic 120 mm Hg and diastolic 80 mmhg; normal systolic mm Hg or diastolic mm Hg; high normal systolic mm Hg or diastolic mm Hg; stage I hypertension systolic mm Hg or diastolic mm Hg; stage II-IV hypertension systolic 160 mm Hg or diastolic 100 mm Hg. 1. Browning JD, Szczepaniak LS, Dobbins R, Nuremberg P, Horton JD, Cohen JC, et al. Prevalence of hepatic steatosis in an urban population in the United States: impact of ethnicity. HEPATOLOGY 2004;40: Ruhl CE, Everhart JE. Determinants of the association of overweight with elevated serum alanine aminotransferase activity in the United States. Gastroenterology 2003;124: Clark JM, Brancati FL, Diehl AM. The prevalence and etiology of elevated aminotransferase levels in the United States. Am J Gastroenterol 2003;98: Marchesini G, Brizi M, Bianchi G, Tomassetti S, Bugianesi E, Lenzi M, et al. Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: a feature of the metabolic syndrome. Diabetes 2001;50: Marchesini G, Brizi M, Morselli-Labate AM, Bianchi G, Bugianesi E, McCullough AJ, et al. Association of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease with insulin resistance. Am J Med 1999;107:

7 HEPATOLOGY, Vol. 43, No. 5, 2006 IOANNOU ET AL Wanless IR, Lentz JS. Fatty liver hepatitis (steatohepatitis) and obesity: an autopsy study with analysis of risk factors. HEPATOLOGY 1990;12: Pagano G, Pacini G, Musso G, Gambino R, Mecca F, Depetris N, et al. Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, insulin resistance, and metabolic syndrome: further evidence for an etiologic association. HEPATOLOGY 2002;35: Sanyal AJ, Campbell-Sargent C, Mirshahi F, Rizzo WB, Contos MJ, Sterling RK, et al. Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis: association of insulin resistance and mitochondrial abnormalities. Gastroenterology 2001;120: Chitturi S, Abeygunasekera S, Farrell GC, Holmes-Walker J, Hui JM, Fung C, et al. NASH and insulin resistance: insulin hypersecretion and specific association with the insulin resistance syndrome. HEPATOLOGY 2002;35: Adams LA, Lymp JF, St Sauver J, Sanderson SO, Lindor KD, Feldstein A, et al. The natural history of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: a populationbased cohort study. 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Findings on liver biopsy to investigate abnormal liver function tests in the absence of diagnostic serology. J Hepatol 2001;35: Ratziu V, Giral P, Charlotte F, Bruckert E, Thibault V, Theodorou I, et al. Liver fibrosis in overweight patients. Gastroenterology 2000;118: Plan and Operation of the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, Hyatsville, MD: National Center for Health Statistics, Coates RA, Halliday ML, Rankin JG, Feinman SV, Fisher MM. Risk of fatty infiltration or cirrhosis of the liver in relation to ethanol consumption: a case-control study. Clin Invest Med 1986;9: Becker U, Deis A, Sorensen TI, Gronbaek M, Borch-Johnsen K, Muller CF, et al. Prediction of risk of liver disease by alcohol intake, sex, and age: a prospective population study. HEPATOLOGY 1996;23: Wilson PW, D Agostino RB, Levy D, Belanger AM, Silbershatz H, Kannel WB. Prediction of coronary heart disease using risk factor categories. Circulation 1998;97: Ioannou GN, Weiss NS, Boyko EJ, Kahn SE, Lee SP. Contribution of metabolic factors to alanine aminotransferase activity in persons with other causes of liver disease. Gastroenterology 2005;128: Matthews DR, Hosker JP, Rudenski AS, Naylor BA, Treacher DF, Turner RC. Homeostasis model assessment: insulin resistance and beta-cell function from fasting plasma glucose and insulin concentrations in man. Diabetologia 1985;28: Hanson RL, Pratley RE, Bogardus C, Narayan KM, Roumain JM, Imperatore G, et al. Evaluation of simple indices of insulin sensitivity and insulin secretion for use in epidemiologic studies. Am J Epidemiol 2000;151: Ioannou GN, Boyko EJ, Lee SP. The prevalence and predictors of elevated serum aminotransferase activity in the United States in Am J Gastroenterol 2006;101: McPherson DD. Circulatory dysfunction in NAFLD which is first, which is last, and what do we do in between? 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