CITY OF EL CERRITO HOUSING ELEMENT UPDATE. Community Workshop #1
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1 CITY OF EL CERRITO HOUSING ELEMENT UPDATE Community Workshop #1 July 19, 2014
2 Agenda Introductions Presentation 1. Housing Element Overview 2. Regional Housing Needs Allocation (RHNA) 3. Key Facts and Findings Questions, Answers, Discussion 2
3 Resources City Staff Community Development Department contacts: Hilde Myall, Housing Program Manager Margaret Kavanaugh Lynch, Development Services Manager City s Housing Element Web Page For this workshop presentation and other information, please visit cerrito.org/housingelement 3
4 1 Housing Element Overview 4
5 Housing Element Requirements One eof seven e mandated edgeneral e pa plan ee elementse New 8 year timeframe, set by State law Fifth cycle Housing Element, Due date January 1, 2015 Review by California Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD) for compliance with State law Plan to meet the existing and projected housing needs of all economic segments of the community 5
6 Housing Element Overview Part 1: Background Report Housing Needs Assessment Existing Housing Needs SpecialHousing Needs 8 Year Projected Housing Needs Housing Resources Financial Resources Residential Sites Inventory Potential HousingConstraints Governmental Constraints Non Governmental Constraints 6
7 Housing Element Overview Part 2: Policy Document Goals, Policies, Programs, and Quantified Objectives Adequate residential sites Assist in development of affordable housing, including special needs housing Conserve and improve the existing i housing stock Preserve affordable units at risk of converting to market rate Address constraints Promote equal housing opportunities 7
8 Housing Element Update This is a minor update of the Housing Element Update that will focus on: Updated housing and demographic data New information on the current housing market Evaluation of the Housing Element implementation Incorporating recent planning efforts: Climate Action Plan San Pablo Avenue Specific Plan Update housing programs as needed to address local priorities 8
9 2 Regional Housing Needs Allocation 9
10 Regional Housing Needs Assessment California (Housing and Community Development) ABAG Association of Bay Area Governments RHNA = 187,990 units Alameda County 44,036 Contra Costa County 20,630 Marin County 2,298 Napa County 1,482 San Francisco County 28,869 San Mt Mateo County 16,418 Santa Clara County 58,836 Solano County 6,977 Sonoma County 8,444 Antioch 1,448 Brentwood 760 Clayton 141 Concord 3,478 Danville 557 El Cerrito 398 Hercules 682 Lafayette 400 Martinez 469 Moraga 229 Oakley Orinda Pinole Pittsburg 1, ,025 Pleasant Hill 448 Richmond San Pablo 2, San Ramon 1,417 Walnut Creek 2,235 Unincorp. 1,
11 RHNA for El Cerrito by Income Category Income Category RHNA (Target Housing Units) HCD Income Range (4 person household)* Range of Affordable Monthly Rent** Extremely Low Income (<30% of Median Income) 50 Up to $28,050 <$700 Very Low Income (<50% of Median Income) 50 $28,050 $46,750 $701 $1,170 Low Income 63 (51 80% of Median Income) $46,750 $67,600 $1,170 $1,690 Moderate Income (81 120% of Median Income) 69 $67,600 $112,200 $1,690 $3,270 Above Moderate Income (>120% of Median Income) 166 >$112,200 >$3,270 TOTAL 398 *2014 HCD Area Median Income for 4-person household in Contra Costa County jurisdictions is $93,500 **Affordable rent is no more than 30% of household income (35% for moderate and above moderate income) 11
12 3 Key Facts and Findings 12
13 Demographic Trends 13
14 Population Growth 24,500 El Cerrito, ,000 23,500 23,000 23,171 23,354 23,398 23,379 23,305 23,120 23,193 23,030 22,952 23,350 23,549 23,649 23,801 23,945 24,087 22,500 22, Source: Department of Finance Population Estimates 14
15 Population By Age Group El Cerrito, 2000 & ,000 7,000 6, ,226 6,918 7,036 5,965 5,000 4,000 4,168 4,038 4,733 4,227 3,000 2,000 1,000 1,079 1,330 0 Preschool Age (0 4) School Age (5 24) Young Adults (25 44) Middle Age (45 64) Senior Adults (65+) Source: ABAG Pre Approved Data Package, 2000 and 2010 U.S. Census 15
16 Population By Age Group 35% 30% 25% 20% El Cerrito El Cerrito and Contra Costa County, 2010 Contra Costa County 29.4% 29.9% 26.7% 26.5% 27.9% 17.1% 17.9% 15% 12.4% 10% 5% 0% 5.6% 6.4% Preschool Age (0 4) School Age (5 24) Young Adults (25 44) Middle Age (45 64) Senior Adults (65+) Source: ABAG Pre Approved Data Package, 2010 U.S. Census 16
17 Race/Ethnicity 60% El Cerrito and Contra Costa County, % 40% 48.7% 48.2% El Cerrito Contra Costa County 30% 27.4% 24.6% 20% 10% 7.6% 9.0% 14.3% 5.1% 3.8% 11.2% 0% White, Non Hispanic Black, Non Hispanic Source: ABAG Pre Approved Data Package, 2010 U.S. Census Asian, Non Hispanic Two or More Races, Non Hispanici Hispanic Of Any Race 17
18 Household Types El Cerrito, Contra Costa County, % 28% 5% 24% 26% 37% 37% 34% Source: ABAG Pre Approved Data Package, ACS 18
19 Average Household Size Area California Contra Costa County El Cerrito Source: Association of Bay Area Governments, 2000 and 2010 U.S Census 19
20 Special Needs Housing State Law requires analysis of six special needs groups: Seniors People with Disabilities Large Households (5 or more) Single Female Headed Households with Children Farmworkers Homeless 20
21 Special Needs Housing Seniors (65 and older) In 2010, 18% of the population in El Cerrito were over the age of 65 Compared to 12.5% in Contra Costa County Senior population p decreased from 20.5% in
22 Special Needs Housing People with disabilities In 2011, 2,421 persons, or 10.9%, had one or more type(s) of disability Compared to 10.5% in Contra Costa County 22
23 Special Needs Housing Large households (5 or more) In 2010, large households accounted for only 6.5% of allhouseholds (or667households) Compared to 13.2% in Contra Costa County 23
24 Special Needs Housing Single female headed households with children In 2010, single mothers made up 8% of total families in El Cerrito Compared to 10.7% in Contra Costa County 6% of single mothers had incomes below the poverty level in El Cerrito Compared to 22.2% in Contra Costa County 24
25 Special Needs Housing Farmworkers In 2011, 70 residents were employed in agriculture,, or 0.5% of the employed civilian population 25
26 Special Needs Housing Homeless In 2013, there were 27 unsheltered homeless people in El Cerrito This accounts for 2% of total t unsheltered hlt dhomeless people in Contra Costa County In2013, there were 747unsheltered homeless people in Contra Costa County Source: Contra Costa Inter Jurisdictional Council on Homelessness: Homeless Count
27 Who is Lower Income? Very Low Income Occupations Home Health Aides Childcare Workers Cashiers Paramedics Low Income Occupations Preschool Teachers Administrative Support Truck Drivers Moderate Income Occupations Firefighters Kindergarten Teachers Social Workers Carpenters Source: California Employment Development Department, Occupational Employment Alameda and Contra Costa Counties (May 2012) and Wage Date (First quarter 2013) Only 8.6 percent of homes in Contra Costa County are affordable on a teacher's salary Source: Redfin, home affordability for teachers.html#.u2kqdpldumnhtml# 27
28 Housing Characteristics 28
29 Housing Types El Cerrito, % Single Family Detached Single Family Attached 2 4 Units 5+ Units Mobile Homes 3% 13% 13% 70% Source: ABAG Pre Approved Data Package, 2013 Department of Finance 29
30 Housing Occupancy El Cerrito, % 17% 10% 29% Persons per occupied home 1 Person 2 Persons 3 Persons 33% 4 Persons 5 or More Persons Source: ABAG Pre Approved Data Package, 2010 U.S. Census 30
31 Housing Tenure Contra Costa County El Cerrito Source: ABAG Pre Approved Data Package, 2000 and 2010 U.S. Census 31
32 Housing Market Trends 32
33 Median Home Sale Price Compared to Neighboring Jurisdictions, 2013 El Cerrito $565,000 Brentwood $412,500 Clayton $595,000 Hercules $350,000 Lafayette $1,070,000, Moraga Orinda $912,500 $1,017,000 Pinole Richmond San Pablo San Ramon Walnut Creek $216,491 $225,000 $315, countywide median sale price: $410,000 $576,375 $797,774 Source: DQNews, accessed July 2014 $0 $200,000 $400,000 $600,000 $800,000 $1,000,000 $1,200,000 33
34 Median Home Sale Price Compared to Neighboring Jurisdictions, 2013 El Cerrito Albany $565,000 $603,000 Berkeley $752,375 Emeryville Hercules Oakland Pinole $350,000 $350,000 $407,004 $315,000 Richmond San Pablo $216,491 $225,000 Walnut Creek $576,375 Source: DQNews, accessed July 2014 $0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000 $600,000 $700,000 $800,000 34
35 Home Affordability Median Home Sale Prices El Cerrito, vs. Ability to Pay by Income $800, El Cerrito median sale price: $643,300 $700,000 $600,000 $500,000 What can different households* afford? $400,000 $300,000 $95,600 Moderate Income Household Earning $95,600* $200,000 $100,000 $0 Jun 2004 Jun 2005 Jun 2006 Jun 2007 Jun 2008 Jun 2009 Jun 2010 Jun 2011 Jun 2012 Jun 2013 Low Income Household Earning $55,750* Very Low Income Household Earning $39,850* * Based on a 3 person household. Source: zillow.com, accessed July
36 Rental Affordability $3,000 $2,500 Average Rents El Cerrito, , by Bedroom vs. Ability to Pay by Income Level What can different households* afford? $2,000 Moderate Income Household Earning $95,600* $1,500 $1,000 $500 $ Low Income Household Earning $55,750* Very Low Income Household Earning $39,850* *Based on a 3 person household. Average Rent 1 Bedroom Bd 1 Bth Bath 2 Bedroom Bd 1 Bth Bath 2 Bedroom Bd 2 Bth Bath Source: realfacts.com 36
37 4 Process and Schedule 37
38 Proposed Schedule Milestone Schedule Community Workshop #1 July 19, 2014 Community Workshop #2 August 13, 2014 Public Review Draft September 2014 Planning Commission Study Session October 2014 City Council Study Session October 2014 HCD Review of Draft Housing Element October 2014 Planning Commission Adoption Hearing January 2015 City Council Adoption Hearings February
39 Questions? 39
40 Discussion Questions What are the major housing issues in the city? What members of the community are most in need of housing and housing related services? What are the barriers to affordable housing? What can the City and community do to address these issues and barriers? 40
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