STAT 608 Guided Exercise 1

Transcription

1 STAT 608 Guided Exercise 1 Be sure to: Please submit your answers in a Word file to Sakai at the same place you downloaded the file Remember you can paste any Excel or JMP output into a Word File (use Paste Special for best results). Put your name and the Assignment # on the file name: e.g. Ilvento Guided1.doc Answer as completely as you can and show your work. 1. I love data controversies! Read these articles on Body Mass Index (BMI) (the letter is a follow-up to the original story in the Wilmington News Journal. So what is the BMI? Here is the information from the web site of the National Institutes of Health. BMI is a reliable indicator of total body fat, which is related to the risk of disease and death. The score is valid for both men and women but it does have some limits. The limits are: Page 1 of 6

2 It may overestimate body fat in athletes and others who have a muscular build. It may underestimate body fat in older persons and others who have lost muscle mass. The formula for BMI is: Metric Formula: weight (kg)/[height (m)] 2 Example: Weight = 68 kg, Height = 165 cm (1.65 m) Calculation: 68 (1.65) 2 = Pounds/inches Formula: weight (lbs)/[height (in.)] 2 * 703 Example: Weight = 150 lbs, Height = 5 5 (65") Calculation: [150 (65) 2 ] x 703 = The National Institutes of Health uses the following BMI Categories: Underweight = <18.5 Normal weight = Overweight = Obesity = BMI of 30 or greater BMI is an indicator variable. The meaning of an indicator variable is that it seeks to easily measure something that is complex is an easier, cheaper, and still meaningful way. There are other ways to measure body fat, but they are most costly and more invasive (e.g., you have to get into a body of water). With the BMI, you only need a persons height and weight. An indicator variable should be highly correlated (for now, think of correlated as related ) with a more accurate measure to be considered valid. Thus measures of total body fat and BMI should agree across a wide sample of subjects. A few additional things to note: It is true that the definition of being overweight changed in It is also true that the consideration of RISK from being overweight or obese involves other things, such as risks from such things as high blood pressure, cholesterol levels, and smoking. The writer of the first article does represent industries with an interest in selling food products. So, what do you think? Is the BMI a useful indicator of how overweight people are? Is the notion of being overweight too highly politicized? Should we be about labeling who is or is not overweight or obese? There are no right or wrong answers here, just your opinions! There are no right or wrong answers here, just your opinions! I just want you to realize that measurement is an important part of many data analyses and that some measures are not as simple as we might think. Page 2 of 6

3 2. Academy Award winners for best actor (and actress) since Each year the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences picks a best actor and best actress in a film. Below is the data for males and females since 1996, along with their age. We are going to plot and calculate sample statistics for both men and women to make a comparison. YEAR ACTOR MALE AGE ACTRESS FEMALE AGE 1996 Geoffrey Rush 45 Frances McDormand Jack Nicholson 60 Helen Hunt Roberto Benigni 46 Gwyneth Paltrow Kevin Spacey 40 Hilary Swank Russell Crowe 36 Julia Roberts Denzel Washington 47 Halle Berry Adrien Brody 29 Nicole Kidman Sean Penn 43 Charlize Theron Jamie Foxx 37 Hilary Swank Philip Seymour Hoffman 38 Reese Witherspoon Forest Whitiker 45 Helen Mirren Daniel Day-Lewis 50 Marion Cotillard Sean Penn 48 Kate Winslet Jeff Bridges 60 Sandra Bullock Colin Firth 50 Natalie Portman Jean Dujardin 39 Meryl Streep 62 a. Construct a Stem and Leaf plot for each group to compare the distributions. Stem and Leaf Plot of Actor s Age Males Females Stem Leaf Stem Leaf represents represents 61 The distribution for males is more symmetrical and centered in the 40 s. The distribution for females is centered in the 30 s and has two outliers at 61 and 62. Page 3 of 6

4 b. Calculate the measures of central tendency and variability for each group. The sum of X and the sum of X-squared for each group are. Male Female Sum X Sum X-squared Males Females Mean 713/16 = /16 = 36.0 Median Mode undefined undefined Range = = 37 Variance Standard Deviation Coefficient of Variation 18.6% 30.8% c. Briefly compare the two distributions with an emphasis on the measures of Central Tendency and Variability. The mean for males is higher than that of females, 44.6 versus 36. However, the mean and the median for males are very close while the mean for females is pulled upward by the outliers for females. There is more variability in the distribution for females with a higher variance, standard deviation, and Coefficient of Variation. All are being pulled by the outliers. d. For both men and women there are a few outliers. For men there are two individuals with a value of 60. For women there is one winner aged 61 and another aged 62. Calculate z-scores for these values and interpret their meaning. Males z = ( )/8.3 = 1.87 This observation is 1.87 standard deviations above the mean Female z1 = ( )/11.1 = 2.25 This observation is 2.25 standard deviations above the mean Female z2 = (62 36)/11.1 = 2.34 This observation is 2.34 standard deviations above the mean Suppose we wanted to remove the two female outliers from the data. Calculate the new mean for women winners for the remaining 14 winners. Hint: subtract the values from the old sum and divide by 14. Did the outliers influence the mean age much? New Sum = ( ) = 453 New Mean = 453/14 = The mean dropped by 3.64 years, or a 10% decline. Page 4 of 6

5 3. The following is some data from The Daily Beast on the 50 Most Stressful Universities in We are looking at the Acceptance rate for these 50 universities. The Acceptance rate is based on the percentage of applicants who were admitted. The Histogram and the Stem and Leaf Plot for this data is given below (note the Stem and Leaf Plot rounds the numbers to a whole number). Use the stem and leaf values for some calculations, such as the min and max. For other calculations, the Sum of (x) is and the Sum of (x 2 ) is The Median for this data is a. Calculate the: Mean = Median = Mode = 22 Maximum = 73 Minimum = 8 Range = 65 Variance = Standard Deviation = Coefficient of Variation = b. What is the position of the median value for this data? Since n=50, the position is between the 25 th and 26 th positions. We would take the average of these two values. c. Does the mode make sense as a measure of Central Tendency for this data? Based on the Stem and Leaf Plot, the mode is 22%. This is a measure of center for one bunching of the data, but there is much more spread and a other groupings of the data. d. Calculate a z-score for an acceptance rate of 61% z = ( )/16.04 = This value is 1.84 standard deviations above the mean e. Based on what you know about the different criteria used by different universities to judge students for admittance, why do you think this distribution looks the way it does? Think about the spread of the data and the measures of spread for the data, such as the range and standard deviation. Does the spread seem large? Hint: Harvard has the lowest acceptance rate at 7.9%. The Pennsylvania State University has an acceptance rate of 51.2%. The spread is very large. The CV is 50.94%. It might reflect differences between public and private institutions. Private institutions generally have lower acceptance rates. Public schools may have as part of their mission to have higher rates of acceptance to provide educational opportunities to citizens in the state. Even for the most stress universities, generally thought to be the most rigorous, the acceptance rate for public institutions should be higher. We could think of this data as being two populations. Page 5 of 6

6 The Box Plots show a difference between Public and private Universities. There still is a lot of spread for each type of university - some private universities have high acceptance rates and some public universities have low acceptance rates. But we can see two distinct groups. 3. Answer the following questions about variability of data sets: a. How would you describe the variance and standard deviation in words, rather than a formula? Think of what you are calculating and how it might be useful in describing a variable. The Variance is the average Squared deviation around the center (in this case the center is the mean). The standard deviation is the average deviation around the center (in this case the center is the mean). b. What is the primary advantage of using the inter-quartile range compared with the range when describing the variability of a variable? The range only uses two values - the maximum and the minimum - to calculate the range. It can be very sensitive to outliers. The inter-quartile range shows the range of the middle 50% of the values. c. Can the standard deviation ever be larger than the variance? Explain. In most cases the standard deviation is less than the variance since it is a square root of the variance. However, in the special case where the variance is between 0 and 1, the standard deviation will be more than the variance. For example, if S 2 =.5, then s =.71 d. Can the variance ever be negative? Why or why not? Since the variance is based on a squared measure, no, it cannot be negative. e. Show the formula for the Coefficient of Variation and explain what it is and how it can be useful in comparing the variability of different variables. The ratio of the standard deviation to the absolute value of the mean, usually multiplied by 100. It expresses the standard deviation in relation to the mean. It makes it easier to compare the spread of different variables, even if they are measured on different metrics Page 6 of 6