Marquette Law School Poll: January 16-20, 2019

Transcription

1 Marquette Law School Poll: January 16-20, 2019 Registered voters (Percentages are rounded to whole numbers for reporting of results. Frequencies have been rounded to whole numbers but percentages are calculated based on non-integer weighted sample sizes.) Results for survey items among all registered voters are presented here. Please note that some questions are only asked of particular groups of respondents. In these instances, the row NA s includes the number and percent of total respondents omitted from the question. These omitted cases are ignored when calculating the Valid and Cumulative percent columns. Record Gender: (DO NOT ASK. RECORD ONLY ONE RESPONSE) Male Female Do you currently live in Wisconsin? Yes Do you currently live within Milwaukee city limits? Yes No NA NA NA Some people are registered to vote and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the precinct or ward where you now live, or aren t you? Yes, registered to vote No, not registered to vote Don t Know/Refused

2 Do you plan to register to vote, or is there a chance that you may not register? Plan to Register NA NA NA Some people seem to follow what s going on in politics most of the time, whether there s an election going on or not. Others aren t that interested. Would you say you follow what s going on in politics most of the time, some of the time, only now and then, or hardly at all? Most of the time Some of the time Only now and then Hardly at all Don t know Over the past year, do you feel the economy has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Don t know Refused Looking ahead, over the next year do you expect the economy to get better, get worse, or stay about the same? Get better Get worse Stay the same Don t know Donald Trump job approval, 2-category Table: Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? Approve Disapprove Don t know

3 Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don t know Tony Evers job approval, 2-category Approve Disapprove Don t know Refused Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Tony Evers is handling his job as Governor of Wisconsin? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don t know Refused WI Legislature job approval, 2-way Approve Disapprove Don t know Refused

4 Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way the Wisconsin legislature is handling its job? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don t know Refused Fav/Unfav: Ron Johnson Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Fav/Unfav: Tammy Baldwin Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Refused Fav/Unfav: Josh Kaul Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Fav/Unfav: Mandela Barnes Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough

5 Don t know Refused Fav/Unfav: Scott Walker Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Refused Fav/Unfav: Paul Ryan Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Fav/Unfav: Robin Vos Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Fav/Unfav: Scott Fitzgerald Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know

6 Fav/Unfav: Tony Evers Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Fav/Unfav: Donald Trump Favorable Unfavorable Haven t heard enough Don t know Do you think the use of marijuana should be made legal, or not? Yes, legal No, illegal Don t Know Refused NA NA NA Do you agree or disagree with this statement: Once a prisoner has served at least half of their sentence, they should be released from prison and given a less costly form of punishment if they can demonstrate that they are no longer a threat to society. Agree Disagree Don t know Refused NA NA NA Would you like to see Scott Walker run for governor or US Senate in 2022 or do you not want him to run for either office? Like to see him run Do not want him to run Don t know

7 NA NA NA Which is more important to you: reduce property taxes or increase spending on public schools? Reducing property taxes Increasing spending on public schools Don t know Refused NA NA NA Which is more important to you: keeping the gas tax and vehicle registration fees where they are now or raising the gas tax and registration fees to increase spending on roads and highways? Keep gas tax and fees where they are Raise tax and fees to increase spending on roads Don t know NA NA NA When it comes to marijuana, some people think that the drug should be fully legalized and regulated like alcohol. Do you agree or disagree with that view? Agree Disagree Don t know NA NA NA Do you agree or disagree with this statement: Once a prisoner has served at least two-thirds of their sentence, they should be released from prison and given a less costly form of punishment if they can demonstrate that they are no longer a threat to society. Agree Disagree Don t know Refused NA NA NA 7

8 Should Wisconsin accept federal funds to expand Medicaid, also called Badger-care, in order to cover those with incomes up to 138% of the poverty line or should the state reject federal funds and not expand Medicaid coverage beyond the poverty line as it is now? Accept Reject Don t know Refused NA NA NA Some people say the minimum wage should be raised to help low-income workers get by. Others say raising the minimum wage will lead some businesses to cut jobs. Given these arguments, do you support or oppose raising the minimum wage? Support Oppose Don t Know Refused NA NA NA Would you favor or oppose a major increase in state aid for special education for public school students? Support Oppose Don t know NA NA NA Thinking just about the state of Wisconsin, do you feel things in Wisconsin are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track? Right direction Wrong track Don t know Currently the State of Wisconsin is suing to strike down the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare. Do you want the state to continue its efforts to overturn the Affordable Care Act, or would you like the state to withdraw from that lawsuit? Continue suit to overturn

9 Withdraw from lawsuit Don t know Refused All in all, would you favor or oppose building a wall along the entire border with Mexico? Favor Oppose Don t know Do you think there is or is not enough cause right now for Congress to begin hearings into whether or not President Trump should be impeached? Is enough cause Is not enough cause Don t know Refused Do you think Governor Evers is trying to cooperate with Wisconsin legislative leaders or do you think he really isn t interested in cooperating? Trying to cooperate Not interested in cooperating Don t know Do you think the Wisconsin legislative leaders are trying to cooperate with Governor Evers or do you think they really aren t interested in cooperating? Trying to cooperate Not interested in cooperating Don t know

10 As you may have heard, after the November elections the legislature passed legislation that placed some new limits on the powers of the governor and the attorney general. Do you generally approve of the legislature taking these actions or do you disapprove of those actions? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don t know Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Walker s decision to sign that legislation into law? Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Don t know Refused As you may know, redistricting involves redrawing maps of legislative districts for the state legislature and for Congress. In your opinion, who should be responsible for drawing legislative districts the state legislature and governor or a non-partisan commission? Legislature and governor Non-partisan commission Don t know Do you think that Donald Trump has changed the Republican Party for the better or for the worse or don t you think he has changed the Republican Party much either way? Changed for the better Changed for the worse Hasn t changed Republican Party much either way Don t know Refused

11 Please tell me whether the following statement describes Donald Trump, or not.... he is someone who cares about people like me. Describes Does not describe Don t know Please tell me whether the following statement describes Donald Trump, or not.... he is someone who is honest. Describes Does not describe Don t know Refused If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to reelect Donald Trump, probably vote to reelect Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else? Definitely vote for Trump Probably vote for Trump Probably vote for someone else Definitely vote for someone else Don t know Refused Do you support or oppose shutting down the government over differences about federal government funding for a wall along the border with Mexico? Support Oppose Don t know Refused Regardless of how you feel about the government shutdown, who do you think is most responsible for it: President Trump, the Republicans in congress or the Democrats in congress? Trump

12 Republicans in Congress Democrats in Congress All equally (VOL) Don t know Thinking about your family s financial situation, would you say you are living comfortably, just getting by, or struggling to make ends meet? Living comfortably Just getting by Struggling Don t know Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent? Republican Democrat Independent Other/No preference (VOL) Don t know Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party? Republican Democratic Neither/Just Independent (VOL) Don t know NA NA NA Primary Choice: Former Vice-President Joe Biden A top choice An aceptable choice Would not support Haven t heard enough

13 Would not vote in Democratic primary (VOL) Don t know NA NA NA Primary Choice: Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders A top choice An aceptable choice Would not support Haven t heard enough Would not vote in Democratic primary (VOL) Don t know NA NA NA Primary Choice: California Senator Kamala Harris A top choice An aceptable choice Would not support Haven t heard enough Would not vote in Democratic primary (VOL) Don t know NA NA NA Primary Choice: Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren A top choice An aceptable choice Would not support Haven t heard enough Would not vote in Democratic primary (VOL) Don t know NA NA NA Primary Choice: New Jersey Senator Cory Booker A top choice An aceptable choice

14 Would not support Haven t heard enough Would not vote in Democratic primary (VOL) Don t know NA NA NA Primary Choice: Former Texas Congressman Beto O Rourke A top choice An aceptable choice Would not support Haven t heard enough Would not vote in Democratic primary (VOL) Don t know NA NA NA Primary Choice: Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar A top choice An aceptable choice Would not support Haven t heard enough Would not vote in Democratic primary (VOL) Don t know NA NA NA Primary Choice: Former US Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Julian Castro A top choice An aceptable choice Would not support Haven t heard enough Would not vote in Democratic primary (VOL) Don t know NA NA NA 14

15 What is the highest level of education you completed? Elementary school only Some high school / did not finish Completed high school Some college but didn t finish Two year college degree Four year college degree Some graduate work Completed masters or professional degree Advanced graduate work or Ph.D Don t know Refused What is your age?

16 Refused

17 [If Refused] Are you years old years old years old years old or more Don t know Refused NA NA NA Are you currently married, living with a partner but not married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married? Married Cohabiting Widowed Divorced Separated Never Married Don t know Refused How many children under 18 are currently living with you, if any? None One Two Three Four Five or more Don t know Refused Are you of Hispanic or Latino origin, such as Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban or some other Spanish background? Yes No Don t know Refused

18 Would you describe yourself as White, African American or Black, Asian, Native American, of more than one race or some other race? White African American or Black Asian, South Asian or Pacific Islander Native American or American Indian More than one race Hispanic or Latino Other (SPECIFY) Don t know Refused Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services... more than once a week, once a week, once or twice a month, a few times a year, seldom, or never? More than 1/wk /week month few times a year Seldom Never Don t know Refused What is your religious preference are you Protestant, Roman Catholic, Jewish, Muslim, another religion or no religion? Protestant Roman Catholic Jewish Muslim/Islam Mormon/Latter-Day Saints Other Christian Religion Other Non-Christian Religion No Religion/Atheist/Agnostic Don t know Refused Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not? born again

19 not born again Don t know NA NA NA Last year, that is in 2018, what was your total family income from all sources, before taxes? Just stop me when I get to the right category. Less than $10, to under $20, to under $30, to under $40, to under $50, to under $75, to under $100, to under $150, $150,000 or more Over $200, Don t know Refused Would you describe the place where you live as urban, suburban or rural? Urban Suburban Rural Don t know Refused In general, would you describe your political views as... Very conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Very liberal Don t know Refused

20 Are you or any member of your household a member of a local, state or national labor union? respondent another household member nobody in household Don t know Refused Do you or any member of your household work for federal, state, or local government for example, as a public school teacher, police officer, firefighter, or other government job? Yes No Don t know Refused Of all the personal telephone calls that you receive, do you get...? All or almost all on a cell phone Some on a cell phone and some on a home phone All or almost all on a regular home phone Don t know Refused Is this phone a cell phone? Yes No wave 1/19-22/ /16-19/ /22-25/ /26-29/ /9-12/ /23-26/ /13-16/

21 7/5-8/ /2-5/ /16-19/ /13-16/ /27-30/ /11-14/ /25-28/ /11-13/ /6-9/ /15-18/ /21-24/ /20-23/ /20-23/ /15-18/ /17-20/ /21-24/ /11-14/ /25-28/ /9-12/ /23-26/ /7-10/ /13-16/ /24-28/ /12-15/ /21-24/ /18-21/ /24-28/ /9-12/ /7-10/ /4-7/ /25-28/ /15-18/ /6-9/ /26-31/ /13-16/ /22-25/ /25-3/1/ /13-17/ /11-15/ /15-19/ /12-16/ /3-7/ /24-28/ /16-20/ Poll Dates

22 Sex Male Female Age 4 categories DK/NA/ Ref Age 6 categories DK/NA/Ref Race 3 categories White Black Other DK/NA/Ref Hispanic/Latino Yes No DK/NA/Ref

23 Education 5 categories Not HS HS Some Coll AA BA DK/NA/ Ref Education 5 with Post-BA Not HS hs Some Coll/AA ba Post BA DK/NA/Ref Education 6 AA, BA, and MA Not HS hs Some Coll aa ba Post-BA DK/NA/Ref category Party ID including leaners Republican Democrat Independent Other/None category Party ID no leaners Republican

24 Democrat Independent Other/None Party ID 5 categories, leaners separate Rep Lean Rep Ind Lean Dem Dem Other/None Race/Ethnicity White Black Hispanic Other DK/NA/ Ref Income Recode Under $40k $40k to $74k $75k up DK/NA/ Ref Region/Media Market MKE City Rest of MKE msn GB/A Rest of state

25 Region 2/MKE, WOW, Media Market MKE City WOW Counties Rest of MKE MSN GB/A Rest of state Region 7/MKE, WOW, Media Market MKE City WOW Counties Rest of MKE msn GB/A Lax/EC MSP,DS/WauRhine category Media Market MKE City WOW Counties Rest of MKE Dane Rock Rest of MSN Lax/EC GB/A Wau/MSP/DS