POPULATION INDICATORS Theme Where we were Where we are Where we think we will be

Transcription

1 Key Indicators Overview of Performance 2015

2 POPULATION INDICATORS Theme Where we were Where we are Where we think we will be 2011 Base Mid-Year Estimate All Persons 345,442 0 to 3 18,223 4 to 15 44,851 0 to , to , Plus 100, Plus 45, Plus 6, Base Mid-Year Estimate 2026 Projection (LDP Option G) 354, % 18, % 46, % 126, % 240, % 105, % 48, % 7, % 395, % 17, % 51, % 130, % 261, % 125, % 59, % 9, %

3 People in Cardiff are Healthy HEALTH INDICATORS Life Expectancy at Birth (3 Year Rolling Averages) Source; Public Health Wales (PHW) Low Birth Weight (Percentage of singleton live births less than 2.5kg) Source; PHW Healthy Lifestyles Source; Welsh Health Survey Smoking Percentage of adults in Cardiff reporting to be a current smoker. Males 76.7 years Females 81.8 years ( ) (Age Standardised) Males 78.2 years Females 82.9 years ( ) (Age Standardised) 24% 21% Life expectancy is increasing however improvement not experienced equally across all areas of Cardiff. Within both Wales and Cardiff, the percentage of low birth weight babies is decreasing but at a very slow pace. Trends in smoking rates are improving slightly in Wales and Cardiff. Significant variation exits across Cardiff e.g. 14% in Cardiff North to 33% in Cardiff South West. Alcohol Consumption Percentage of adults in Cardiff reporting drinking above guidelines on a day in past week. Overweight and Obesity Levels Percentage of adults reporting to be overweight or obese. Fruit and Vegetable Consumption Adults who reported eating 5 or more portions of fruit and vegetables. 46% 43% 56% 55% 40% 34% Trend has remained consistent for Wales and Cardiff. In , 43% reported drinking above guidelines, slightly higher than the Wales average of 41%. Overweight and obesity have remained relatively constant in for both Wales at 58% and Cardiff. (Note that results based on self-reported data). Higher percentages of people living in least deprived areas of Cardiff report eating recommended levels. Physical Activity Participation rates in physical activity on 5 or more days in the past week. 25% 26% In Cardiff just over a quarter of adults reported being physically active compared to the Wales figure of 29%. Variation across Cardiff ranges from 20% in USOA Cardiff North & South East and 29% in Cardiff South West.

4 People in Cardiff have a clean, attractive and sustainable environment ENVIRONMENTAL INDICATORS Electricity: 3,690kWh Electricity: 3,548kWh Average Consumption of Domestic Gas and Electricity Source; Infobasecymru Per Capita CO 2 Emissions (t) Within Scope of Influence of Local Authorities Source; DECC Mode of Travel to Work by Sustainable Transport (Walked, used bus, cycled, used train or other sustainable modes) Source; Ask Cardiff Survey, City of Cardiff Council Reuse / Recycling & Composting Source; City of Cardiff Council How We Compare Gas: 16,275kWh (2008) 6.6t CO 2 48% 39.2% (2009/10) Gas: 12,769kWh 6.1t CO 2 43% 53.4% (2014/15) The difference between average consumption levels in Cardiff and Wales has reduced - if this pattern continues, the Wales figure will drop below that of Cardiff in the near future. Per capita CO 2 emissions have generally followed a downward trend in Cardiff, Wales and the UK. High proportion of journeys are made by car with resultant issues of congestion on strategic road network, increased journey times and reduced journey time reliability. Welsh Government statutory target for 14/15 of 52% exceeded. Cardiff and Welsh trends are generally consistent. Total CO 2 emissions per local authority (tonnes per person) City Bristol Birmingham Liverpool Nottingham Sheffield Manchester Glasgow Newcastle Cardiff Leeds

5 Crimes per thousand population People in Cardiff are safe and feel safe CRIME INDICATORS Total Recorded Crime per thousand population Source; Home Office Crime Statistics Violence Against the Person Crime per thousand population Source; Home Office Crime Statistics Dwelling House Burglary Crime per thousand population Source; Home Office Crime Statistics Number of Anti-Social Behaviour Incidents Source; Home Office Crime Statistics & South Wales Police How We Compare (2010/11) 12.6 (2010/11) 5.1 (2010/11) 27,893 (2010/11) 89.9 (2014/15) 18 (2014/15) 4.0 (2014/15) 14,252 (2014/15) Total recorded crimes (per thousand population) across UK Core Cities (2013/14) Whilst Cardiff s population has increased, recorded crime has reduced. (Recording of crime has changed since 2013/14 with the implementation of recording at source by South Wales Police.) The increase in this category correlates with the change in recording crimes at source as noted above. It should be noted that data collected for weekly violence related attendance at University Hospital Wales shows a continual decrease since Significant progress has been made in reduction of dwelling house burglaries. In 2013/14, Cardiff had the second lowest number of crimes in this category when compared to the Core Cities group. Anti-social behaviour incidents are categorised as; Environmental, Nuisance & Personal. Although overall trend is improving since 2010/11, figures over last 3 years have remained relatively static Manchester Nottingham Bristol Liverpool CARDIFF Leeds Newcastle Birmingham Sheffield

6 Cardiff has a thriving and prosperous economy ECONOMIC INDICATORS Gross Value Added Per Head - Cardiff & Vale of Glamorgan Source; ONS Employment Rate (Population aged 16-64) Source; Annual Population Survey Jan-Dec (APS) Births of New Enterprises (Business Start Ups) Source; Business Demography Median Gross Weekly Pay of Full-Time Workers Source; ASHE Workplace Analysis Economic Activity Rate (16-64) Source; APS Jobseekers Allowance Claimant Count Rate (Population aged 16-64) Source; Claimant Count, Nomis, ONS How We Compare 21,964 (2008) 67.9% 1,110 (2008) (2011) 74.2% 4.2% (March 2010) 22, % (June 2015) 1, % (2015) 2.5% (Sept. 2015) Employment Rate of Population Aged 16-64, Jan Dec 2004 to Jul 2014 June 2015 In 2013, GVA exceeded the comparable figure for Wales of 16,893 but was just below the UK level of 23,394. Employment rate is only 5 th highest rate among major cities, (59.7% in Liverpool to 73.7% in Edinburgh). (Wales 69.7%, UK 73.1%). When converted to new enterprises per 10,000 resident population, Cardiff s rate is 4 th lowest of major cities and compares poorly with UK but substantially above Wales. Weekly earnings for full-time workers consistently above Welsh average but below UK figure with the exception of Compares poorly with figures for both Wales (74.8%) and UK (77.5%) and is only 5 th of major cities. Claimant count rate fall is below declines in both Wales and the UK. Cardiff s claimant count is only joint 7 th lowest of major cities, (1.2% in Edinburgh to 3.7% in Birmingham).

7 People in Cardiff achieve their full potential EDUCATION & EMPLOYMENT INDICATORS Cardiff LEA School Leavers Known to be NEET Source; Careers Wales Year 11 = 8.9% Year 13 = 5.5% Year 11 = 4.3% Year 13 = 4.4% In 2014, Cardiff had the second highest Year 11 figure and above the Wales figure of 3.7%. Key Stage 4 Pupils Achieving the Level 2 Threshold (5 GCSEs at Grade A*- C) including English/Welsh and Maths Source; Welsh Government 44.3% 54.0% Although 2015 results not yet published, early indications anticipated to improve Cardiff s rank position across Wales from 13 th position in Percentage of Half-days Missed Due to Unauthorised Absences Pupils of statutory school age during the academic year Source; Welsh Government Primary: 92.8% Secondary: 90.6% Primary: 94.9% Secondary: 93.9% Levels of unauthorised absences have followed a similar pattern to Wales but have consistently been approximately double that of Wales. Percentage of Population Aged Qualified to NVQ4+ Source; APS January- December 38.5% 46.0% In 2014, Cardiff had the second highest proportion of degree level or equivalent qualified population amongst the major cities. JSA Claimant Count Rate (Population Aged 18-24) Source; Claimant Count NOMIS 6.4% (March 2010) 2.6% (Sept. 2015) Cardiff s JSA claimant count has consistently been below levels for both Wales (3.2%) and is now higher than the UK (2.2%).

8 How We Compare % of School Leavers Known Not to be in Education, Employment or Training Year 11 LEA % NEET Newport 4.7 Cardiff 4.3 Rhondda Cynon Taf 3.9 Neath Port Talbot 3.8 Bridgend 3.6 Caerphilly 3.5 Swansea 3.5 Blaenau Gwent 3.4 Carmarthenshire 3.4 Pembrokeshire 3.2 Vale of Glamorgan 2.8 Merthyr Tydfil 2.6 Powys 2.3 Torfaen 2.2 Denbighshire 2.1 Ceredigion 1.8 Conwy 1.8 Wrexham 1.8 Gwynedd 1.7 Isle of Anglesey 1.7 Monmouthshire 1.7 Flintshire 1.3 % of School Leavers Known Not to be in Education, Employment or Training Year 13 LEA % NEET Wrexham 7.9 Torfaen 7.7 Bridgend 7.5 Powys 6.7 Newport 6.3 Carmarthenshire 6.1 Rhondda Cynon Taff 5.9 Caerphilly 5.5 Pembrokeshire 4.5 Neath Port Talbot 4.4 Cardiff 4.4 Swansea 4.4 Vale of Glamorgan 4.1 Gwynedd 3.9 Monmouthshire 3.5 Conwy 3.4 Merthyr Tydfil 3.3 Ceredigion 3.1 Flintshire 3.1 Denbighshire 2.3 Isle of Anglesey 1.8 Blaenau Gwent 0.0

9 Cardiff is a great place to live, work and play INDICATORS Theme Personal Wellbeing Survey ( ) Comments Life Satisfaction Source; Annual Population Survey (0= Not at all satisfied) Average House Price How satisfied are you with Cardiff as a place to live? Overall quality of public services in Cardiff is good? Overall quality of Council services in Cardiff is good? How satisfied are you with parks and open spaces in Cardiff? How We Compare 7.40 UK & Wales Average ,137 (March 2010) Ask Cardiff Survey 39% (Very satisfied, 2014) 9.1% (Strongly Agree 2014) 58.4% (Tend to agree 2014) 7.0% (Strongly agree 2014) 50.1% (Tend to agree 2014) 37.8% (Very satisfied 2014) City 149,959 (March 2015) 40.8% (Very satisfied, 2015) 8.2% (Strongly Agree 2015) 57.4% (Tend to agree 2015) 5.4% (Strongly agree 2015) 48.8% (Tend to agree 2015) 39.4% (Very satisfied, 2015) Life Satisfaction - Core Cities ( ) Edinburgh 7.49 Newcastle 7.43 Nottingham 7.42 Leeds 7.42 Cardiff 7.40 Sheffield 7.36 Liverpool 7.25 Glasgow 7.23 Bristol 7.22 Manchester 7.22 Birmingham 7.11 Wales 7.46 UK 7.46 Average Rating Life satisfaction rating for Cardiff 7th lowest across Wales and 5th highest when compared with other major cities. Cardiff s March 2015 house price was 3 rd highest across major cities and above the Wales figure of 117,828.

10 % of Dependent Children (Aged 15 and under) Cardiff is a fair, just and inclusive society POVERTY & DEPRIVATION INDICATORS Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation (WIMD) (% of Cardiff s population living in most deprived decile in Wales) Source; WIMD % of population aged 0-18 in Cardiff living in most deprived decile in Wales Source; WIMD Median Weekly Earnings for Female Full-Time Workers Source; ASHE 53,000 persons / 15.3% of population (2011) 15,200 or 20.1% (2011) (2010) Male Total 61,800 persons / 17.6% of population 17,700 or 23.1% Male Total In 2014, Cardiff had the 3rd highest proportion of LSOAs, (Lower Super Output Areas), across Wales behind only Blaenau Gwent and Newport. In 2014, the median gross weekly earnings exceeded the Welsh average of but was 95.5% of the UK figure of Percentage of Dependent Children (Aged 15 & Under) Living in Workless Households 23.8% (2010) 15.6% In 2013, the proportion of dependent children living in workless households was 9 th lowest across Welsh local authorities although below Welsh average, exceeded figure for UK of 14.2%. How we compare Percentage of Dependent Children (aged 15 and under) Living in Workless Households, Blaenau Gwent Torfaen Rhondda, Cynon, Taff Carmarthenshire Newport Bridgend Merthyr Tydfil Neath Port Talbot Caerphilly Conwy Wales Denbighshire Swansea Wrexham CARDIFF Gwynedd UK Isle of Anglesey Vale of Glamorgan Pembrokeshire Monmouthshire Flintshire Powys Ceredigion

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