Fare clic per modificare lo stile del titolo. Regional Perspective on HPAI

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1 Regional Perspective on HPAI Emergency Center for Transboundary Animal Diseases Inception meeting of the OIE/JTF Project for Controlling Zoonoses in Asia under One Health Concept Tokyo, Japan, 19-20, December

2 Overview Fare HPAI clic Situation per modificare (outbreaks) gli stili del testo dello Economic schema impact Secondo Relevant activities livello Terzo Challenges livello Quarto Conclusion livello 2

3 HPAI H5N1 outbreaks in Asia

4 Country Fare clic per modificare lo stile No. of outbreaks* Japan Korea, R Korea, DPR China China HK Mongolia Vietnam Laos Cambodia Myanmar Indonesia Bangladesh India Nepal Bhutan Total of 2915 outbreaks* Hot spot in hot spots in Emergency Total Centre for Transboundary Animal Diseases 668 *Officially reported cases except West Asia (Source: Empres-i Asia) for Asia and the Pacific 4

5 Fare 7.2 clic per H5N1 modificare viruses in Asia lo stile H5N1 virus detected 2.2 Secondo 2.3.4livello HA clade distribution by region 6 clades of Wide spread of

6 Fare clic per modificare lo stile 5 sub-clades of HA clade virus B Fare clic per Clade modificare gli stili del testo E A D C HA?: suspected, to be confirmed Japan Korea East South East South China 7.2 X Mongolia Laos Viet Nam (South) Viet Nam (North) Hong Kong 1.1 X X A X X X B X X X C? X X X D X X? X X X E X X X X 6 X Cambodia X 2.2 X Indonesia Myanmar Bangladesh Bhutan Nepal India X X X X Distribution by country

7 Fare H5N1 clic per Epi-zones* modificare in Asia lo stile *Epi-zone: Geographical area where closely related viruses were shared, and frequent virus incursion/exchange is expected. Epi-zones are dynamic and changing. 7

8 Fare Economic clic per Impact modificare Market lo stile White feather broiler del Price titolo Fare clic (adult) per modificare gli stili (chick) del testo 140% 140% dello The broiler schema Price Index 120% 100% 80% Terzo livello 60% 40% 20% 20% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% White feather broiler White feather chick price index 0% 0% Source: & assembled by A. Kamata & U. Pica-Ciamarra 8

9 Quarto livello 40 White feather chick price index Quinto Egg price index livello 20 - Economic Impact Seasonality and Substitution Effects 2012 national index (%) 2013 national index (%) The white feather broiler Price Index The national pork price index Source: & assembled by A. Kamata & U. Pica-Ciamarra 9

10 Economic Impact Market Closure Live Yellow chicken wholesale price Province 13-Mar 20-Mar 27-Mar 03-Apr 10-Apr 17-Apr 24-Apr 09-May 15-May 22-May 29-May 5-Jun 14-Jun 19-Jun Anhui Jiangsu Jiangsu Jiangxi Hubei Guanxi Xingiang Xingiang Xingiang Xingiang Source: & assembled by A. Kamata & U. Pica-Ciamarra 10

11 Relevant activities 11

12 Fare Areas: clic Consumption per modificare or production gli stili centers del testo with dello existing schema live bird trade links to China Terzo places livello Surveillance along value chains Identifications and choices to be made Locations: Farms, vehicles with poultry, poultry stock houses/holding areas, live bird markets, slaughter Products: Breeding stock, chicks (Layer or Broiler DoCs), Broiler, Layer, Spent Hens, feathers, feces, mud, carcass cleaning water, Owners & permissions: Farmer, collector, middlemen, vendors, slaughterer, market authorities, 12

13 Fare clic per Areas modificare lo stile Source: FAO commissioned cross-border study reports 13

14 B E D D A D Linking Molecular Epidemiology and Value Chain Data Distribution by region D A B B C E A B C C C Poultry Movement Wild Bird Flyway C? 14

15 Emergence and spread of the new cluster C in July 2012 and poultry movement s Quinto Clade livello 2321C August 2012 Jan-Feb

16 Co-circulation of H5N1 clade 1 virus in Cambodia and South Vietnam Clade1 16

17 Guidelines Fare clic on per designing modificare livestock gli stili del value testo chain studies dello for schema disease risk assessment and control purposes FAO Value Chain Studies 17

18 Fare clic per modificare lo stile Markets Fare No rest clic period: modificare Continuous gli stili presence del testo of dello live birds schema Secondo Market infrastructure livello does not allow Terzo frequent livello cleaning and disinfection of Quarto surfaces livello and vehicles => High risk for continuous AI circulations and onward spread to poultry (incl. flocks in farms) & humans 18

19 Spent hen chain in Lan Son, Vietnam Fare clic per VIETNAM modificare gli stili del testo CHINA Border gathering Border - Porter : 5000 VND/hen - Porter master: 2000 VND/hen -Storehouse: mio VND per month -Bribes: n/a Price: 15,000- point Border control station - Motor bike transporter : VND/hen -Storehouse: mio VND per month -Chim lon: 120,000 VND per night -Bribes: n/a Source: FAO/RUDEC Price: 30,000-32,000 17,000 VND/kg VND/kg (LS) Inland gathering point Truck transporter: VND/kg to BG VND/kg to Hanoi (this includes bribes paid by transporter) Quarantine station Outside province TOTAL COST + 12,000-13,000 VND per hen or + 6,000-7,000 VND per kilo Price: 40,000-4, VND/kg (HN)

20 Thailand Live Chicken movement patterns Fare clic per modificare lo stile 1300 H / D H/D 500 H /D H/D S.Reap Battamban g Pursat Thailand Quarto? livello 80 H/D Live local chicken Commercial chicken Irregular flow Circulation inside province Heads per day 500 H /D 25 H /D 50 H /D 50 H /D 240 H /D 350 H/D K.Speu K.Chnang 1450 kg/d 250 H/D Takeo PP K.Thom 200 kg/d H/D Kandal 160 H/D P.Veng small Vietnam Kratie 50 kg /D 200 H /D Vietnam 690 kg/d 110 kg /D small 10% of total poultry 20 Source: Stoliaroff (FAO, 2009)

21 Summary Fare Value clic chain per information modificare together gli stili del with testo dello molecular schema characterization of viruses explains the virus circulation route and direction in the Secondo region livello Terzo Understanding livello poultry value chains is Quarto essential livello for risk targeted surveillance Assessment of value chain actor incentives Quinto and behaviors livello is a basis for developing sustainable and acceptable risk reduction interventions 21

22 Fare infrastructure clic per to modificare address the situation gli stili del testo Challenges 1. Presence/ABSENCE of necessary government - Surveillance and monitoring - Movement control - Public awareness/risk communication - Legislation with necessary funding support to address emergency situation 2. Capacity to cope to the dynamics on the ground - the situation is very dynamic and has many unknowns that need to be understood 22

23 Conclusion 23

24 dello Poultry schema value chain 1. Sustain efforts to build capacity to assess risks and needs, to improve understanding Exposure pathways ( - dynamic factors ) 2. Capacity to prevent and respond must be strengthened Planning for effective actions relies on science/evidence base information on the ground 24

25 3. Ability to predict (allows preparation) Fare must clic be per considered modificare gli stili del testo dello Search schema for pandemic progenitor viruses Identify/ understand drivers 4. Understand not only HPAI but overall Quarto animal livello influenza 25

26 1. Jan Hinrichs 2. Ken Inui Acknowledgment* 3. Wantanee Kalparavidh *Source of materials 26

27 Thank You! 27